Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.
We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

<ul>
<li>Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.</li>
<li>Post listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN)</a> should be added to the LargeCap segment while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delhivery-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33471:1" rel="noopener">Delhivery (1058656D IN)</a> should be added to the MidCap segment.</li>
<li>On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.</li>
</ul>


Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.
Post listing, Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN) should be added to the LargeCap segment while Delhivery (1058656D IN) should be added to the MidCap segment.
On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.


India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ruchi-soya-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12707:1" rel="noopener">Ruchi Soya Industries (RSI IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$560m via a follow-on public offer.</li>
<li>The deal is almost akin to a relisting, as the free float was just at 1% prior to this deal. </li>
<li>Given the tight float, instead of discussing its track record , we will discuss the timeline of events leading up to the deal, past performance and undertake a peer comparison/valuation. </li>
</ul>



Ruchi Soya Industries (RSI IN) is looking to raise up to US$560m via a follow-on public offer.
The deal is almost akin to a relisting, as the free float was just at 1% prior to this deal. 
Given the tight float, instead of discussing its track record , we will discuss the timeline of events leading up to the deal, past performance and undertake a peer comparison/valuation. 


Ruchi Soya Placement - Almost Akin to a Relisting

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Vedant Fashions raised around US$420m in its India IPO. While insti demand was decent, retail investor gave it a miss. </li>
<li>It is a fashionwear company targeting the Indian wedding and celebration wear segment. According to CRISIL, it was the largest company in India in the men’s Indian wedding wear segment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the trading updates and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Vedant Fashions raised around US$420m in its India IPO. While insti demand was decent, retail investor gave it a miss. 
It is a fashionwear company targeting the Indian wedding and celebration wear segment. According to CRISIL, it was the largest company in India in the men’s Indian wedding wear segment.
In this note, we will talk about the trading updates and other deal dynamics.


Vedant Fashions IPO Trading - Liked by Instis While Retail Gave It a Miss

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-wilmar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34763:1" rel="noopener">Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN)</a> is up ~70% since its listing two days ago. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wilmar-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:172:1" rel="noopener">Wilmar International (WIL SP)</a>'s shares remain largely unchanged since Adani Wilma's IPO was officially floated. </li>
<li>90%-Held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdings-co-ltd-8e397b7b-30b8-4284-afc1-e1dc799b2e5c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33230:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings (300999 CH)</a> is down 52% in the past year, but trading in line with its average forward multiples since listing. </li>
</ul>



Adani Wilmar (AWLTD IN) is up ~70% since its listing two days ago. 

Wilmar International (WIL SP)'s shares remain largely unchanged since Adani Wilma's IPO was officially floated. 
90%-Held Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings (300999 CH) is down 52% in the past year, but trading in line with its average forward multiples since listing. 


Wilmar Largely Unchanged As Wilmar Adani's IPO Surges

India

AWL Agri Business Limited manufactures packaged food products. The Company offer a wide range of edible oil products, including soyabean, palm, sunflower, rice bran, mustard, pulses, refined wheat flour, cottonseed, and blended oil, as well as soaps, detergents, cosmetics, and polymer. AWL Agri Business serves customers worldwide.

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AWL Agri Business (AWL IN)

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

With 9 trading days to go in the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from Mid to Large and 7 stocks moving the other way. 2 new listings will be...

Brian Freitas

India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see quite a few changes to the Large/Mid/Small Cap classification for Indian stocks. The upward...

Brian Freitas

Ruchi Soya Placement - Almost Akin to a Relisting

Ruchi Soya Industries (RSI IN) is looking to raise up to US$560m via a follow-on public offer. The deal is almost akin to a relisting, as the free...

Clarence Chu

Vedant Fashions IPO Trading - Liked by Instis While Retail Gave It a Miss

Vedant Fashions raised around US$420m in its India IPO. While institutional demand was decent, retail investor gave it a miss.

Sumeet Singh

Wilmar Largely Unchanged As Wilmar Adani's IPO Surges

Wilmar is relatively inexpensive, even taking into account its cross-border, possibly-difficult-to-short subsidiary. Management's average buyback...

David Blennerhassett

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