Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.</li>
<li>There are a lot of implementations this week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.</li>
</ul>


There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.
There are a lot of implementations this week, with KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.
There were big inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).</li>
<li>Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).
Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbfc-finance-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36713:1" rel="noopener">SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN)</a> raised around US$131m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR57/share, the top end of its IPO price range.</li>
<li>SBFC Finance is a systematically important, non-deposit taking non-banking finance company (NBFC-ND-SI), offering secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN) raised around US$131m in its India IPO, after the deal was priced at INR57/share, the top end of its IPO price range.
SBFC Finance is a systematically important, non-deposit taking non-banking finance company (NBFC-ND-SI), offering secured MSME Loans and Loans against Gold. 
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


SBFC Finance IPO Trading - Strong Demand but Priced at Fair Value

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Singapore Airlines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> will announce its price range in the coming week, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kelun-biotech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36801:1" rel="noopener">Kelun Biotech</a> tries to break the US$100m+ deal silence in HK. </li>
<li>On the placement front, even Singapore joined in the placement action this week, with only HK deal remaining absent over the past month.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Tryt Inc (9164 JP) will announce its price range in the coming week, while Kelun Biotech tries to break the US$100m+ deal silence in HK. 
On the placement front, even Singapore joined in the placement action this week, with only HK deal remaining absent over the past month.


ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) - Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin

Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

Senior executives are rushing for the exit door at Aditya Birla Finance Ltd. (ABFL), the non-bank finance company (NBFC) subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-capital-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27031:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCAP IN)</a> (ABC), the holding company for all the financial services business of the Aditya Birla group. Since May 2021, at least five senior officials in-charge of business verticals and control functions including the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) have quit. Coincidentally, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)  <a href="https://hemindrahazari.com/2021/06/23/aditya-birla-finances-loans-to-a-shell-company-another-reason-why-corporates-shouldnt-be-allowed-to-control-banks/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">issued</a>  a show cause notice to ABFL as the regulator was investigating the NBFC’s dubious role in structuring and disbursing loans to a shell company linked to the erstwhile promoters of CG Power wherein the funds were used to transfer liabilities from the erstwhile promoter companies to the listed CG Power. The SEBI show cause notice cited by ET Prime specifically mentioned the role played by <a href="https://www.adityabirlacapital.com/about-us/leadership-team/ajay-srinivasan" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ajay Srinivasan</a>  (non-executive director, ABFL and group CEO, ABC) and <a href="https://abfl.adityabirlacapital.com/pages/individual/about-us/peopledescription.aspx?ItemID=67&amp;TeamType=SM" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Devang Rawal</a> (then Head - Corporate Finance and subsequently promoted as Head – Corporate and Institutional, ABFL).Interestingly, ABFL is led by two CEOs, <a href="https://www.adityabirlacapital.com/about-us/leadership-team/rakesh-singh" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Rakesh Singh</a> (Managing Director and CEO, ABFL) and <a href="https://www.adityabirlacapital.com/about-us/leadership-team/tushar-shah" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tushar Shah</a> (CEO for infrastructure business) and all the five individuals who have resigned reported to the former. Incidentally, Devang Rawal’s division which is currently being extensively investigated by SEBI also reports to Rakesh Singh.ABC declined to respond to queries sent by this analyst to enquire why these executives had quit and whether the board of directors at ABFL and ABC, especially the independent directors were informed of their departure.Stakeholders are concerned when there is a flurry of exits by senior executives in any firm as was seen in the recent case of <a href="https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2021/sep/02/top-level-exits-irk-investorsof-au-smallfinance-bank-2353132.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AU Small Finance Bank</a>. That such an event at ABFL coincides with agencies investigating dodgy deals at a NBFC belonging to a prestigious industrial house should send alarm bells ringing.

Senior executives are rushing for the exit door at Aditya Birla Finance Ltd. (ABFL), the non-bank finance company (NBFC) subsidiary of Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCAP IN) (ABC), the holding company for all the financial services business of the Aditya Birla group. Since May 2021, at least five senior officials in-charge of business verticals and control functions including the Chief Financial Officer (CFO) have quit. Coincidentally, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)  issued  a show cause notice to ABFL as the regulator was investigating the NBFC’s dubious role in structuring and disbursing loans to a shell company linked to the erstwhile promoters of CG Power wherein the funds were used to transfer liabilities from the erstwhile promoter companies to the listed CG Power. The SEBI show cause notice cited by ET Prime specifically mentioned the role played by Ajay Srinivasan  (non-executive director, ABFL and group CEO, ABC) and Devang Rawal (then Head - Corporate Finance and subsequently promoted as Head – Corporate and Institutional, ABFL).Interestingly, ABFL is led by two CEOs, Rakesh Singh (Managing Director and CEO, ABFL) and Tushar Shah (CEO for infrastructure business) and all the five individuals who have resigned reported to the former. Incidentally, Devang Rawal’s division which is currently being extensively investigated by SEBI also reports to Rakesh Singh.ABC declined to respond to queries sent by this analyst to enquire why these executives had quit and whether the board of directors at ABFL and ABC, especially the independent directors were informed of their departure.Stakeholders are concerned when there is a flurry of exits by senior executives in any firm as was seen in the recent case of AU Small Finance Bank. That such an event at ABFL coincides with agencies investigating dodgy deals at a NBFC belonging to a prestigious industrial house should send alarm bells ringing.

Flurry of Senior Level Exits at Aditya Birla Financial Services

India

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCL) is a non-banking financial company and the financial services flagship of the Aditya Birla Group. It offers a comprehensive suite of financial solutions, including loans, investments, insurance, and payments. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 2007.

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Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAP IN)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index resulting in 1-way turnover of 58.2% and in a 1-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m). Adds...

Brian Freitas

SBFC Finance IPO Trading - Strong Demand but Priced at Fair Value

SBFC Finance Limited (1547353D IN) raised around US$131m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other...

Ethan Aw

ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) - Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Flurry of Senior Level Exits at Aditya Birla Financial Services

When senior executives quitting an organisation coincides with regulatory investigations stakeholders should be concerned

Hemindra Hazari

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