Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Aegon | Supreme court rules in favor in tax dispute • Fugro | incident with one of its geophysical survey vessels • InPost | to take full control of Yodel?</li><li> • Just Eat Takeaway.com | provides update on public offer</li></ul>

In this edition: • Aegon | Supreme court rules in favor in tax dispute • Fugro | incident with one of its geophysical survey vessels • InPost | to take full control of Yodel? • Just Eat Takeaway.com | provides update on public offer

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 24 March (Aegon | Fugro | InPost | Just Eat Takeaway.com)

<ul><li>In this edition: • Aegon | rumoured to be considering divesting part or all of its non-US operations • Ferrari Group | no real surprises in 3Q25; reiterates FY25 guidance • bpostgroup | signs MoU to expand collaboration with Temu in Belgium and Canada • Black Friday | spike in online transactions on Tuesday; November MTD volumes +32% • E-commerce & Logistics | France takes legal action against AliExpress and Joom</li></ul>

In this edition: • Aegon | rumoured to be considering divesting part or all of its non-US operations • Ferrari Group | no real surprises in 3Q25; reiterates FY25 guidance • bpostgroup | signs MoU to expand collaboration with Temu in Belgium and Canada • Black Friday | spike in online transactions on Tuesday; November MTD volumes +32% • E-commerce & Logistics | France takes legal action against AliExpress and Joom

<ul><li>In this edition: • ABN Amro | launches a neobank alternative aimed at youngsters • Aegon / a.s.r. Nederland | Aegon reduced its stake in ASR; ASR absorbs EUR 105m itself • InPost | post earnings call comment: investment case remains intact • Dutch CPI | consumer prices rose 2.8% YoY in August</li></ul>

In this edition: • ABN Amro | launches a neobank alternative aimed at youngsters • Aegon / a.s.r. Nederland | Aegon reduced its stake in ASR; ASR absorbs EUR 105m itself • InPost | post earnings call comment: investment case remains intact • Dutch CPI | consumer prices rose 2.8% YoY in August

What's News in Amsterdam - 3 September (ABN Amro | Aegon/ASR | InPost | Dutch CPI)

<ul><li>In today's edition: • Aegon | 1H25 OCG looks a bit light; review to relocate legal domicile and head office to US • a.s.r. Nederland | post earnings call comment • dsm-firmenich | in exclusive talks with CVC on its AHN division; may keep minority stake • Alfen | reiterates FY25 guidance, however, revises FY26 ambition downward • bpostgroup | temporarily suspends individual parcel shipments to the US</li></ul>

In today's edition: • Aegon | 1H25 OCG looks a bit light; review to relocate legal domicile and head office to US • a.s.r. Nederland | post earnings call comment • dsm-firmenich | in exclusive talks with CVC on its AHN division; may keep minority stake • Alfen | reiterates FY25 guidance, however, revises FY26 ambition downward • bpostgroup | temporarily suspends individual parcel shipments to the US

What's News in Amsterdam - 21 August (Aegon | a.s.r. Nederland | dsm-firmenich | Alfen | bpostgroup)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18</li>
<li>Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. </li>
<li>So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18
Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. 
So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Netherlands

AEGON N.V. offers life and health insurance, and related pension, savings, and investment products in Europe and North America.  The Company also offers property and casualty insurance in the Netherlands, Spain, and Hungary, and financial services including banking, equipment lease financing, and mortgage lending.

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Aegon NV (AGN NA)

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 24 March (Aegon | Fugro | InPost | Just Eat Takeaway.com)

In this edition: • Aegon | Supreme court rules in favor in tax dispute • Fugro | incident with one of its geophysical survey vessels • InPost |...

The IDEA!

bpost SA - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Aegon | rumoured to be considering divesting part or all of its non-US operations • Ferrari Group | no real surprises in 3Q25;...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 3 September (ABN Amro | Aegon/ASR | InPost | Dutch CPI)

In this edition: • ABN Amro | launches a neobank alternative aimed at youngsters • Aegon / a.s.r. Nederland | Aegon reduced its stake in ASR; ASR...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 21 August (Aegon | a.s.r. Nederland | dsm-firmenich | Alfen | bpostgroup)

In today's edition: • Aegon | 1H25 OCG looks a bit light; review to relocate legal domicile and head office to US • a.s.r. Nederland | post...

The IDEA!

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Upgrading Europe to Overweight EURO $STOXX 50 $FEZ; Supports Holding on MSCI $ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM. Latest 4-6% pullback remains healthy...

Vermilion Research

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