Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) started the year with strong quarterly production of 813koz at an US$832/oz total cash cost and a US$1,125/oz all-in sustaining cost (AISC). A number of records were achieved, including in cash flow and safety. This marks the final quarter incorporating 50% of production from Canadian Malartic. From 30 March, this will increase to 100%, following AEM’s acquisition of Yamana’s Canadian assets, which will add c 80–90koz in attributable production per quarter. Guidance for FY23 remains unchanged at 3.24–3.44Moz at a cash cost of US$840–890/oz and AISC of US$1,140–1,190/oz. An unchanged quarterly dividend of US$0.40/share was declared.</p>

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) started the year with strong quarterly production of 813koz at an US$832/oz total cash cost and a US$1,125/oz all-in sustaining cost (AISC). A number of records were achieved, including in cash flow and safety. This marks the final quarter incorporating 50% of production from Canadian Malartic. From 30 March, this will increase to 100%, following AEM’s acquisition of Yamana’s Canadian assets, which will add c 80–90koz in attributable production per quarter. Guidance for FY23 remains unchanged at 3.24–3.44Moz at a cash cost of US$840–890/oz and AISC of US$1,140–1,190/oz. An unchanged quarterly dividend of US$0.40/share was declared.

Agnico Eagle Mines - A year of optimisation ahead

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-January/early-February we've recommended shifting to defensives considering our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the $SPX in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible.</li>
<li>Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives and believe that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives</li>
<li>Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX). </li>
</ul>


Since late-January/early-February we've recommended shifting to defensives considering our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the $SPX in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible.
Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives and believe that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives
Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX). 


Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> disclosed a revised non-binding indicative privatisation proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> at 0.400 Newmont shares per Newcrest share + US$1.10 special dividend. </li>
<li>Since the 6 February announcement, the average implied value of the revised offer is A$29.14 per share, which is 11.6% higher than the average of the previous offer of A$26.12.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates. Expect a binding proposal. </li>
</ul>



Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) disclosed a revised non-binding indicative privatisation proposal from Newmont Mining (NEM US) at 0.400 Newmont shares per Newcrest share + US$1.10 special dividend. 
Since the 6 February announcement, the average implied value of the revised offer is A$29.14 per share, which is 11.6% higher than the average of the previous offer of A$26.12.
The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates. Expect a binding proposal. 


Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Newmont Returns with a Revised Offer

Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The precious metals and mining market significantly outperformed broader indices in the month of March with the GDX rising 15% versus the TSX being down slightly </li><li>Gold rallied heavily following the collapse of several major banks and the U.S. Fed guiding for a pause on rates in the near term</li><li>This month only strengthens our confidence that 2023 will be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly Gold rose 7.2% in the month to $1,969.7/oz, silver rose 14.5% to $24.0/oz, and copper sat flat, down just 1.8% to $4.10/lb.</li></ul>

The precious metals and mining market significantly outperformed broader indices in the month of March with the GDX rising 15% versus the TSX being down slightly Gold rallied heavily following the collapse of several major banks and the U.S. Fed guiding for a pause on rates in the near termThis month only strengthens our confidence that 2023 will be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly Gold rose 7.2% in the month to $1,969.7/oz, silver rose 14.5% to $24.0/oz, and copper sat flat, down just 1.8% to $4.10/lb.

<p>FY22 marked a record-breaking year for Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) after its Kirkland Lake acquisition, achieving annual gold production of 3,281koz at a US$780/oz total cash cost and a US$1,090/oz all-in sustaining cost (AISC). In Q422, AEM delivered strong gold production of 799koz at a US$863/oz cash cost, despite inflationary pressure and reduced production at LaRonde, Kittila and Pinos Altos. AEM’s quarterly dividend was maintained at US$0.40/share and it expects its recently announced acquisition of Yamana’s Canadian assets to close in March.</p>

FY22 marked a record-breaking year for Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) after its Kirkland Lake acquisition, achieving annual gold production of 3,281koz at a US$780/oz total cash cost and a US$1,090/oz all-in sustaining cost (AISC). In Q422, AEM delivered strong gold production of 799koz at a US$863/oz cash cost, despite inflationary pressure and reduced production at LaRonde, Kittila and Pinos Altos. AEM’s quarterly dividend was maintained at US$0.40/share and it expects its recently announced acquisition of Yamana’s Canadian assets to close in March.

Agnico Eagle Mines - A record-breaking year

Canada

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is a gold producer with operations primarily in northwestern Quebec, northern Mexico, northern Finland and Nunavut.  The Company also has exploration activities in Canada, Europe, Latin America, and the United States.  Agnico Eagle Mines focuses on the exploration, development, and expansion of its gold properities primarily from underground operations.

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Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM CN)

Agnico Eagle Mines - A year of optimisation ahead

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) started the year with strong quarterly production of 813koz at an US$832/oz total cash cost and a US$1,125/oz all-in...

Edison Investment Research

Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

Defensive Sectors including Health Care $XLV, Utilities $RYU $XLU, and Staples $XLP are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price...

Vermilion Research

Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Newmont Returns with a Revised Offer

The offer is attractive in terms of historical prices and VWAP ratios but carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates. Expect a...

Arun George

Mining Monthly: March Edition

he precious metals and mining market significantly outperformed broader indices in the month of March with the GDX rising 15% versus the TSX being...

Atrium Research

Agnico Eagle Mines - A record-breaking year

FY22 marked a record-breaking year for Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) after its Kirkland Lake acquisition, achieving annual gold production of 3,281koz...

Edison Investment Research

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