Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ETF flows in the Asian region continued their positive momentum during August with Southbound Connect positive again for the week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a> will increase its dividends and buybacks after positive earnings surprise. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a> saw a surge in new policies from mainlanders in HK.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd-b751749a-8feb-4b4d-85a7-d99ac0308fe7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40067:1" rel="noopener">Lufax Holding (6623 HK)</a> reported an earnings miss with declining loan volume. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8427:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (3668 HK)</a> reported a decline of 57% in earnings which was below analysts' estimates.
</li>
</ul>


ETF flows in the Asian region continued their positive momentum during August with Southbound Connect positive again for the week.

Stella International (1836 HK) will increase its dividends and buybacks after positive earnings surprise. AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) saw a surge in new policies from mainlanders in HK.


Lufax Holding (6623 HK) reported an earnings miss with declining loan volume. Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) reported a decline of 57% in earnings which was below analysts' estimates.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 26)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 16th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC, Galaxy Ent, Link Reit.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 16th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC, Galaxy Ent, Link Reit.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC, Galaxy Ent, Link Reit

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Samsonite International (1910 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Samsonite International (1910 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 23rd): Tencent, Aia, Samsonite International

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Emerging Market allocations are stabilizing among active Global equity funds.</li>
<li>Country-Level shifts show China &amp; HK allocations more than halving since 2022, while Taiwan has seen strong gains. India becomes the top country underweight.</li>
<li>Alibaba has declined to record lows, Tencent ownership is stabilizing, and TSMC has reached new highs.</li>
</ul>


Emerging Market allocations are stabilizing among active Global equity funds.
Country-Level shifts show China &amp; HK allocations more than halving since 2022, while Taiwan has seen strong gains. India becomes the top country underweight.
Alibaba has declined to record lows, Tencent ownership is stabilizing, and TSMC has reached new highs.


Emerging Markets:  Structural Shifts as Allocations Stabilise Among Global Funds.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>CN listed insurers released better-than-expected July premiums with life prints showing continued strong momentum on top of a high base in 7M23.</li><li>Six Hshare listed life peers in aggregate grew by +8.8%/+3.1% YoY to RMB 118bn/ RMB1,291bn in July and 7M24, +0.4pct/+0.5pct from last month.</li><li>Top life names contributed resilient increases as China Life/ Ping An Life/ NCI/ PICC Life each rose by +8.3%/+17.2%/+11.3% /+21.8% YoY in July.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CN listed insurers released better-than-expected July premiums with life prints showing continued strong momentum on top of a high base in 7M23.Six Hshare listed life peers in aggregate grew by +8.8%/+3.1% YoY to RMB 118bn/ RMB1,291bn in July and 7M24, +0.4pct/+0.5pct from last month.Top life names contributed resilient increases as China Life/ Ping An Life/ NCI/ PICC Life each rose by +8.3%/+17.2%/+11.3% /+21.8% YoY in July.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 7M24 Monthly: Life Momentum Kept Strong

Hong Kong

AIA Group Limited offers insurance and financial services. The Company writes life insurance for individuals, businesses, accident, and health insurance, as well as retirement planning and wealth management services.

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AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 26)

ETF flows were again led by China. Stella International reported a surge in earnings and AIA announced new policy growth exceeded expectations....

David Mudd

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC, Galaxy Ent, Link Reit

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 16th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Aug 23rd): Tencent, Aia, Samsonite International

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Emerging Markets: Structural Shifts as Allocations Stabilise Among Global Funds.

Average EM weights of 7.05% sit near the lower end of the decade-long range. While active managers remain structurally underweight EM, this has...

Steven Holden

China Insurance - 7M24 Monthly: Life Momentum Kept Strong

CN listed insurers released better-than-expected July premiums with life prints showing continued strong momentum on top of a high base in 7M23.

CMB International

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