HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Throughout the year 2020, the COVID-19 had certain negative impact on the economy. The pharmaceutical industry has the attributes of relatively rigid demand and countercyclical, and some medical products and services were benefited from the epidemic. Therefore, in 2020/1H, the pharmaceutical industry outperformed the market significantly. As the epidemic in China has been effectively under control and the resumption of work and production has been comprehensively promoted, domestic investment hotspots have been frequently switched, and the pharmaceutical sector has undergone periodic adjustments. Besides, in 2020/2H, the advance of new volume-based purchasing policy in the field of drugs and high-value medical consumables also negatively impact the performance of healthcare sector. However, the development and potential of the China healthcare industry is still very promising, and there will be good investment opportunities in the future.

Throughout the year 2020, the COVID-19 had certain negative impact on the economy. The pharmaceutical industry has the attributes of relatively rigid demand and countercyclical, and some medical products and services were benefited from the epidemic. Therefore, in 2020/1H, the pharmaceutical industry outperformed the market significantly. As the epidemic in China has been effectively under control and the resumption of work and production has been comprehensively promoted, domestic investment hotspots have been frequently switched, and the pharmaceutical sector has undergone periodic adjustments. Besides, in 2020/2H, the advance of new volume-based purchasing policy in the field of drugs and high-value medical consumables also negatively impact the performance of healthcare sector. However, the development and potential of the China healthcare industry is still very promising, and there will be good investment opportunities in the future. 

2021 High Conviction - Investment Opportunities in China Healthcare Industry

On October 16, 2020, the government released a new policy for the intensive procurement of coronary stents, which kicked off the nationwide intensive procurement for high-value medical consumables. According to the policy, The amount of coronary stents purchased in the first year was around 1,074,000, accounting for about 70% of the national annual consumption of coronary stents. The results of this policy have a strong reference for the future expansion of high-value medical consumables' intensive procurement. On November 5, the policy was formally implemented and the result was released.

On October 16, 2020, the government released a new policy for the intensive procurement of coronary stents, which kicked off the nationwide intensive procurement for high-value medical consumables. According to the policy, The amount of coronary stents purchased in the first year was around 1,074,000, accounting for about 70% of the national annual consumption of coronary stents. The results of this policy have a strong reference for the future expansion of high-value medical consumables' intensive procurement. On November 5, the policy was formally implemented and the result was released.

Insights on China Healthcare Policy: New Intensive Procurement Policy for High-Value Medical Devices

1.Industry viewpoints
<ul>
<li>China's biopharmaceutical market is still in its early days, but it has a strong growth potential.</li>
<li>Q3 earning season kicks off.</li>
<li>Favorable policies may still not ensure the golden time for the industry of Chinese traditional medicine.</li>
</ul>
2.Company news
News of Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Innovent Biologics and BeiGene on the progress of new drugs and amended agreement.
3.Market review
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector rose 2.86%, while CSI 300 rose 2.04% over the same period of time.
4.Risk Disclosure 
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, company risk and COVID-19 risk

1.Industry viewpoints

China's biopharmaceutical market is still in its early days, but it has a strong growth potential.
Q3 earning season kicks off.
Favorable policies may still not ensure the golden time for the industry of Chinese traditional medicine.

2.Company news
News of Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Innovent Biologics and BeiGene on the progress of new drugs and amended agreement.
3.Market review
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector rose 2.86%, while CSI 300 rose 2.04% over the same period of time.
4.Risk Disclosure 
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, company risk and COVID-19 risk

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (CSI 300, MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (KOSPI) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (CSI 300, MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (KOSPI) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.

Upside momentum continues to wane for global equities. Price action this week has indeed confirmed lower highs for now in the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes. These lower highs increase the probability for breakdowns and a deeper pullback, but we do not want to get ahead of ourselves. Until we see breakdowns we still view global equities as being in a period of consolidation. We outline important technical levels across markets and highlight actionable set ups within Technology, Health care and Staples.

Upside momentum continues to wane for global equities. Price action this week has indeed confirmed lower highs for now in the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes. These lower highs increase the probability for breakdowns and a deeper pullback, but we do not want to get ahead of ourselves. Until we see breakdowns we still view global equities as being in a period of consolidation. We outline important technical levels across markets and highlight actionable set ups within Technology, Health care and Staples.

Global Equity Strategy: Stay Defensive With Technology, Health Care, Staples

China

Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd provides ophthalmological services.  The Company's services include ophthalmological diagnosis and treatments.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH)

2021 High Conviction - Investment Opportunities in China Healthcare Industry

This article reviewed the performance of China healthcare industry in 2020 and analyzed good investment opportunities (innovative drugs, CRO/CDMO,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Insights on China Healthcare Policy: New Intensive Procurement Policy for High-Value Medical Devices

The article analyzed potential impact of China's new intensive procurement policy on high-value medical devices. If interested in investing China...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.9)

This insight summarized the important industry viewpoints, news of listed healthcare companies and capital market review for the last week of China...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Remain Overweight EM Relative To EAFE

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Stay Defensive With Technology, Health Care, Staples

Upside momentum continues to wane for global equities. Price action this week has indeed confirmed lower highs for now in the MSCI ACWI, ACWI...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)