Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a>'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a>'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. </li>
<li>The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kroger-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20824:1" rel="noopener">Kroger Co (KR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albertsons-cos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33026:1" rel="noopener">Albertsons Cos (ACI US)</a> spells trouble for ACT and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Nec Networks (1973 JP)'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.

Singapore Post (SPOST SP)'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. 
The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of Kroger Co (KR US) and Albertsons Cos (ACI US) spells trouble for ACT and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a> announced an offering of 36% of its shares at end-May. Long-time "owner" <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> was getting out. Since then, the company has bought back shares.</li>
<li>Activist Murakami Group has bought 27% of the company. Between Murakami and the buyback, the public has net sold 5% of the company since end-March. Kinda shocking.</li>
<li>There is another 35% of Max Real World Float to buy back, and at current pace, they'll be done by mid-March 2025. Then what? That's the really big question.</li>
</ul>



Exedy Corp (7278 JP) announced an offering of 36% of its shares at end-May. Long-time "owner" Aisin (7259 JP) was getting out. Since then, the company has bought back shares.
Activist Murakami Group has bought 27% of the company. Between Murakami and the buyback, the public has net sold 5% of the company since end-March. Kinda shocking.
There is another 35% of Max Real World Float to buy back, and at current pace, they'll be done by mid-March 2025. Then what? That's the really big question.


[Japan Activism] Exedy (7278 JP) - Buying Back Bigly

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$840 million secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a>’s shares have been down 3.9% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,160 per share (26 November).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Sanrio’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 10 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$840 million secondary offering, Sanrio (8136 JP)’s shares have been down 3.9% from the undisturbed price of JPY5,160 per share (26 November).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Sanrio’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 10 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hulic-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:388:1" rel="noopener">Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 85.4 million shares (98.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$800 million (US$920 million including overallotment).</li>
<li>Unlike the 2021 offer, this is a pure secondary offering. It is smaller in terms of outstanding shares and 1-year ADV. The shares are hovering around all-time highs.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 12 December (likely 10 December).</li>
</ul>



Hulic Co Ltd (3003 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 85.4 million shares (98.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$800 million (US$920 million including overallotment).
Unlike the 2021 offer, this is a pure secondary offering. It is smaller in terms of outstanding shares and 1-year ADV. The shares are hovering around all-time highs.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 12 December (likely 10 December).


Hulic (3033 JP): A US$800 Million Secondary Offering

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 25.9  million shares (29.8 million including overallotment), worth around US$840 million (US$970 million including overallotment). </li>
<li>Sanrio's goal with the secondary offering is (i) to reduce cross-shareholdings and (ii) to expand and diversify the shareholder base, which should further enhance liquidity.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 13 December (likely 10 December).</li>
</ul>



Sanrio (8136 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 25.9  million shares (29.8 million including overallotment), worth around US$840 million (US$970 million including overallotment). 
Sanrio's goal with the secondary offering is (i) to reduce cross-shareholdings and (ii) to expand and diversify the shareholder base, which should further enhance liquidity.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 10 and 13 December (likely 10 December).


Sanrio (8136 JP): A US$840 Million Secondary Offering

Japan

Aisin Corporation manufactures and distributes motor vehicle parts. The Company produces drive train, transmissions, clutches, disc brakes, anti-skid brake system, suspensions, oil pumps, power windows, power door locks, and more. Aisin operates sales and production subsidiaries worldwide.

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Aisin (7259 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan Activism] Exedy (7278 JP) - Buying Back Bigly

Exedy is buying back shares very aggressively. On an average day since they started 12 Nov, they are 28% of the volume. At this pace, they will...

Travis Lundy

Sanrio (8136 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 10 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

Hulic (3033 JP): A US$800 Million Secondary Offering

Unlike the 2021 offer, this is a pure secondary offering. It is smaller in terms of outstanding shares and 1-year ADV. The shares are hovering...

Arun George

Sanrio (8136 JP): A US$840 Million Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to the recent large Japanese placement. Looking at recent large...

Arun George

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