Healthcare Analyst

Wilfred Yuen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On Harmoni squamous NSCLC, SMMT expects FPS data in "backend of 2026" and believes interim OS data in 1H27 (with follow-up of low 20s months) to be "key focal point"</li>
<li>On Harmoni-3 (2L EGFRm NSCLC post TKI), SMMT provided updated OS analysis (showing consistent HR of 0.76 for Asian and western patients). FDA PDUFA date on 14 November</li>
<li>See inside for additional SMMT takeaways (on Ivonescimab's competitions and commercial preparation) and catalyst table on ivonescimab</li>
</ul>


On Harmoni squamous NSCLC, SMMT expects FPS data in "backend of 2026" and believes interim OS data in 1H27 (with follow-up of low 20s months) to be "key focal point"
On Harmoni-3 (2L EGFRm NSCLC post TKI), SMMT provided updated OS analysis (showing consistent HR of 0.76 for Asian and western patients). FDA PDUFA date on 14 November
See inside for additional SMMT takeaways (on Ivonescimab's competitions and commercial preparation) and catalyst table on ivonescimab


Akeso (9926.HK): SMMT 2Q26 Call Takeaways on Ivonescimab

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market has regained momentum and strength since bottoming in June.  The materials and healthcare sectors have outperformed this month, with gold's advance underpinning metals' outperformance.</li>
<li>Growth factor investing continues to lag, while large-cap stocks have had the highest Sharpe ratio over the last year.  Value and dividend yield factors have outperformed in the long-only space.</li>
<li>GenScript Biotech (1548 HK) broke out to new highs in August, surpassing its 2022 high.  The company has seen a surge in its mainland revenue over the last year.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market has regained momentum and strength since bottoming in June.  The materials and healthcare sectors have outperformed this month, with gold's advance underpinning metals' outperformance.
Growth factor investing continues to lag, while large-cap stocks have had the highest Sharpe ratio over the last year.  Value and dividend yield factors have outperformed in the long-only space.
GenScript Biotech (1548 HK) broke out to new highs in August, surpassing its 2022 high.  The company has seen a surge in its mainland revenue over the last year.


Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (August 2026)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight key updates from October's ESMO meeting: 1) Akeso's ivonescimab in 1L BTC, 2) Kelun/Merck's sac-TMT (Lung04, Lung06, TroFuse-005), 3) Hutchmed/AZ's savo, 4) Hansoh/GSK's B7H3 ADC, 5) Innovent IBI363...</li>
<li>BD deal flows this week: 1) Innocare/Lilly on 5-target drug discovery, 2) Earendil Labs/Genentech on bispecific, 3) Insilico Medicine/AI frontier model lab, 4) BoomRay/Novartis on radioligand, 4) Henlius/Amberstone on TCE</li>
<li>Other updates/news: 1) LEGN's 5-year Carvykti OS data in Cart-2 study, 2) BeOne's first-in-class GPC3/4-1BB entering ph3 study in HCC, 3) TYK/Qilu deal update...</li>
</ul>


We highlight key updates from October's ESMO meeting: 1) Akeso's ivonescimab in 1L BTC, 2) Kelun/Merck's sac-TMT (Lung04, Lung06, TroFuse-005), 3) Hutchmed/AZ's savo, 4) Hansoh/GSK's B7H3 ADC, 5) Innovent IBI363...
BD deal flows this week: 1) Innocare/Lilly on 5-target drug discovery, 2) Earendil Labs/Genentech on bispecific, 3) Insilico Medicine/AI frontier model lab, 4) BoomRay/Novartis on radioligand, 4) Henlius/Amberstone on TCE
Other updates/news: 1) LEGN's 5-year Carvykti OS data in Cart-2 study, 2) BeOne's first-in-class GPC3/4-1BB entering ph3 study in HCC, 3) TYK/Qilu deal update...


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Ind. (669 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> have a very high reliance on the US market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vtech-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18812:1" rel="noopener">Vtech Hldgs (303 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK)</a> ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. </li>
<li>The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prada-s-p-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:889:1" rel="noopener">Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK), Techtronic Ind. (669 HK), Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK), and WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) have a very high reliance on the US market.

Vtech Hldgs (303 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK) ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. 
The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like Orient Overseas International (316 HK) and Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK).


China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

United Laboratories / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.</li>
<li>Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.</li>
<li>United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.</li>
</ul>


WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.
Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.
United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.


China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

China

Akeso is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of innovative antibody drugs. It develops treatments for major diseases such as cancer, autoimmune diseases, inflammation, and metabolic diseases, with key products including cadonilimab, ivonescimab, and penpulimab. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, Guangdong, China.

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Akeso (9926 HK)

Akeso (9926.HK): SMMT 2Q26 Call Takeaways on Ivonescimab

SMMT: FPS data for Harmoni sq in late 2026; interim OS data in 1H27 being a crucial focus. Harmoni-3 update shows consistent HR 0.76 for Asian vs...

Wilfred Yuen

Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (August 2026)

Genscript shares gain after the company announced it will provide wet-lab services to companies participating in Eli Lilly's TundeLab, helping them...

David Mudd

China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (21-25 Sep)

We highlight 1) key studies to watch for upcoming October's ESMO updates, 2) deal flows Innocare/Lilly, BoomRay/Novartis, Earendil Labs...

Wilfred Yuen

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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Akeso (9926.HK): SMMT 2Q26 Call Takeaways on Ivonescimab

​SMMT: FPS data for Harmoni sq in late 2026; interim OS data in 1H27 being a crucial focus. Harmoni-3 update shows consistent HR 0.76 for Asian vs...

Wilfred Yuen

Technically Speaking Breakouts & Breakdowns - HONG KONG (August 2026)

Genscript shares gain after the company announced it will provide wet-lab services to companies participating in Eli Lilly's TundeLab, helping them...

David Mudd

China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (21-25 Sep)

We highlight 1) key studies to watch for upcoming October's ESMO updates, 2) deal flows Innocare/Lilly, BoomRay/Novartis, Earendil Labs...

Wilfred Yuen

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

​Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

SMMT: FPS data for Harmoni sq in late 2026; interim OS data in 1H27 being a crucial focus. Harmoni-3 update shows consistent HR 0.76 for Asian vs...

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...