Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Non-Core items boosted Q3 earnings, but core margins plunged vs Q2</li>
<li>In a surprise move, ZTO has abandoned its aggressive pursuit of share</li>
<li>Medium term growth is likely to slow, and pressure on margins remains</li>
</ul>


Non-Core items boosted Q3 earnings, but core margins plunged vs Q2
In a surprise move, ZTO has abandoned its aggressive pursuit of share
Medium term growth is likely to slow, and pressure on margins remains


ZTO Express Q3: Margins Plunge Vs Q2 | Abandons Pursuit of Share Gains | Is There a New Strategy?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10482:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)</a>'s US$1.3 billion secondary offering; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK)</a> IPOs</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-best-rescue-system-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13367:1" rel="noopener">Japan Best Rescue System Co (2453 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-international-securities-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13153:1" rel="noopener">Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)'s US$1.3 billion secondary offering; ZEEKR (ZK US), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) and Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK) IPOs
Event-Driven developments Benefit One Inc (2412 JP), Japan Best Rescue System Co (2453 JP), Eoflow (294090 KS), Haitong International Securities Group (665 HK), Vinda International (3331 HK), Amara Holdings (AMA SP).



Weekly Deals Digest (19 Nov) - Benefit One, JBR, Eoflow, Haitong, Vinda, Asahi, Tata Tech, Zeekr

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, there are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December. However, there are float and capping changes for a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.29bn (US$679m). There are 4 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The largest selling will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> offset by buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


As expected, there are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December. However, there are float and capping changes for a lot of stocks.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.29bn (US$679m). There are 4 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.
The largest selling will be on Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) offset by buying in Meituan (3690 HK), JD.com (9618 HK) and Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK). 


HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Round-Trip Trade of US$1.4bn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC</a> ended up doing well, as expected. Now <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies </a>will be another one to watch.</li>
<li>The placements continued to flow in this week as well, with both Australia and Japan deals coming relatively thick and fast, at least by 2023's pace.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, WuXi XDC ended up doing well, as expected. Now Tata Technologies will be another one to watch.
The placements continued to flow in this week as well, with both Australia and Japan deals coming relatively thick and fast, at least by 2023's pace.


ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng</a> at the close on 1 December taking the number of index constituents to 82.</li>
<li>Neither inclusion is a surprise. The non-inclusion of primary listed foreign companies is a bigger surprise - that could take place at the next rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.53%, estimated one-way trade is HK$6.88bn (US$882m). Capping leads to buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> and selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC (5 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Li Auto (2015 HK) and WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng at the close on 1 December taking the number of index constituents to 82.
Neither inclusion is a surprise. The non-inclusion of primary listed foreign companies is a bigger surprise - that could take place at the next rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.53%, estimated one-way trade is HK$6.88bn (US$882m). Capping leads to buying in Alibaba (9988 HK) and selling in Tencent (700 HK) and HSBC (5 HK). 


Hang Seng Index Rebalance: Li Auto (2015) & WuXi AppTec (2359) Added

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Nov) - Benefit One, JBR, Eoflow, Haitong, Vinda, Asahi, Tata Tech, Zeekr

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Benefit One, JBR, Eoflow, Celltrion Healthcare, Haitong Intl., Vinda, OreCorp, Amara,...

Arun George

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Round-Trip Trade of US$1.4bn

There are no constituent changes for the HSTECH in Dec. Float and capping changes will result in a round-trip trade of US$1.4bn. There could be...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng Index Rebalance: Li Auto (2015) & WuXi AppTec (2359) Added

Li Auto and WuXi AppTec will join the HSI at the close on 1 Dec. Non-inclusion of foreign companies is a surprise. Capping increases turnover and...

Brian Freitas

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ZTO Express Q3: Margins Plunge Vs Q2 | Abandons Pursuit of Share Gains | Is There a New Strategy?

ZTO has long employed a strategy of market share gains it uses to offset declining unit prices. Under current depressed market conditions, it has...

Tracking Traffic

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Nov) - Benefit One, JBR, Eoflow, Haitong, Vinda, Asahi, Tata Tech, Zeekr

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Benefit One, JBR, Eoflow, Celltrion Healthcare, Haitong Intl., Vinda, OreCorp, Amara,...

Arun George

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Round-Trip Trade of US$1.4bn

There are no constituent changes for the HSTECH in Dec. Float and capping changes will result in a round-trip trade of US$1.4bn. There could be...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng Index Rebalance: Li Auto (2015) & WuXi AppTec (2359) Added

Li Auto and WuXi AppTec will join the HSI at the close on 1 Dec. Non-inclusion of foreign companies is a surprise. Capping increases turnover and...

Brian Freitas