Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This leads to large flows.</li>
<li>The gross round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$41.1bn (US$5.3bn). The net round-trip trade is HK$37.3bn (US$4.8bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan</a> ,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank</a> are the largest buys. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongan-online-p-c-insurance-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23681:1" rel="noopener">ZhongAn Online</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent </a>are the largest sells.</li>
</ul>


The March rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This leads to large flows.
The gross round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$41.1bn (US$5.3bn). The net round-trip trade is HK$37.3bn (US$4.8bn).

Meituan ,  JD.com, Baidu, Horizon Robotics, ICBC, BeiGene, Kuaishou Technology and China Construction Bank are the largest buys. Alibaba, Xiaomi, HSBC, ZhongAn Online and Tencent are the largest sells.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$5.3bn of Flows Post Capping (Mar 2025)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes cleared HK$800bn for the second week in a row. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$75bn which was perhaps a new record.</li>
<li>Notable again is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$865bn traded and SOUTHBOUND "only" bought HK$75bn, HK$395bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.</li>
<li>Last week I flipped to short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>. Sentiment may worsen and there's lots to sell later this week. Staying short Alibaba for now. </li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes cleared HK$800bn for the second week in a row. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$75bn which was perhaps a new record.
Notable again is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$865bn traded and SOUTHBOUND "only" bought HK$75bn, HK$395bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.
Last week I flipped to short Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK). Sentiment may worsen and there's lots to sell later this week. Staying short Alibaba for now. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Feb 2025); Big Volumes, HUGE Net Buys on Blue Chips, Tech-Y Names

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li><strong>Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.</strong> is making a record-breaking bet on artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing, announcing on Monday that it will inject more than 380 billion yuan ($53 billion) into cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years — more than its total capital expenditure over the past decade.</li><li>The Chinese tech giant said in a statement that the investment marks the largest private-sector commitment to cloud and AI hardware in China.</li><li>Since its 2014 initial public offering, Alibaba’s total capital expenditures from 2015 to 2024 have amounted to approximately 376 billion yuan.</li></ul>

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. is making a record-breaking bet on artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing, announcing on Monday that it will inject more than 380 billion yuan ($53 billion) into cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years — more than its total capital expenditure over the past decade.The Chinese tech giant said in a statement that the investment marks the largest private-sector commitment to cloud and AI hardware in China.Since its 2014 initial public offering, Alibaba’s total capital expenditures from 2015 to 2024 have amounted to approximately 376 billion yuan.

Alibaba’s $53 Billion Bet on an AI and Cloud Expansion Windfall 

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

<ul><li>Hong Kong has halted land sales in order to boost the office market within the region.</li><li>Singapore's Centurion saw their profits more than double to $257M, driven by soaring property valuations.</li><li>Alibaba announces plans to invest a substantial $53 billion in AI infrastructure development.</li></ul>

Hong Kong has halted land sales in order to boost the office market within the region.Singapore's Centurion saw their profits more than double to $257M, driven by soaring property valuations.Alibaba announces plans to invest a substantial $53 billion in AI infrastructure development.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (28-Feb-2025): HK halts commercial land sales to cure office slump.

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Alibaba reported C4Q24 top line in-line with our estimate and consensus, but non-GAAP NI beat our estimate/consensus by 12%/11%, attributable to cost control and AntFin's profitability improvement;</li>
<li>But what drives the stock was the strong performance in AliCloud and an articulation of a clear investment logic on Generative AI (GAI), </li>
<li>While the AI inflection point has arrived earlier than we expected, we remain eying for the domestic e-commerce turnaround with Jiang Fan at the helms. </li>
</ul>


Alibaba reported C4Q24 top line in-line with our estimate and consensus, but non-GAAP NI beat our estimate/consensus by 12%/11%, attributable to cost control and AntFin's profitability improvement;
But what drives the stock was the strong performance in AliCloud and an articulation of a clear investment logic on Generative AI (GAI), 
While the AI inflection point has arrived earlier than we expected, we remain eying for the domestic e-commerce turnaround with Jiang Fan at the helms. 


[Alibaba (BABA US,BUY, TP US$150) TP Change]: AI’s Inflection Point Arrived, Will E-Commerce’s Also?

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$5.3bn of Flows Post Capping (Mar 2025)

The March rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Feb 2025); Big Volumes, HUGE Net Buys on Blue Chips, Tech-Y Names

HK SOUTHBOUND Connect flows were again huge, both short-term trading and actual net buying. Last week flipped to short Alibaba. This week stays...

Travis Lundy

Alibaba’s $53 Billion Bet on an AI and Cloud Expansion Windfall

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. is making a record-breaking bet on artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing, announcing on Monday that it will...

Caixin Global

Asia Real Estate Tracker (28-Feb-2025): HK halts commercial land sales to cure office slump.

Hong Kong stops land sales, Centurion profits double in Singapore, Alibaba to invest $53B in AI, Hotel Indigo Auckland for sale.

Asia Real Estate Tracker

[Alibaba (BABA US,BUY, TP US$150) TP Change]: AI’s Inflection Point Arrived, Will E-Commerce’s Also?

Alibaba beats estimates with strong non-GAAP net income, driven by AliCloud and investment in Generative AI, eyeing e-commerce turnaround.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$5.3bn of Flows Post Capping (Mar 2025)

The March rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 Feb 2025); Big Volumes, HUGE Net Buys on Blue Chips, Tech-Y Names

HK SOUTHBOUND Connect flows were again huge, both short-term trading and actual net buying. Last week flipped to short Alibaba. This week stays...

Travis Lundy

Alibaba’s $53 Billion Bet on an AI and Cloud Expansion Windfall

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. is making a record-breaking bet on artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing, announcing on Monday that it will...

Caixin Global

Asia Real Estate Tracker (28-Feb-2025): HK halts commercial land sales to cure office slump.

Hong Kong stops land sales, Centurion profits double in Singapore, Alibaba to invest $53B in AI, Hotel Indigo Auckland for sale.

Asia Real Estate Tracker

[Alibaba (BABA US,BUY, TP US$150) TP Change]: AI’s Inflection Point Arrived, Will E-Commerce’s Also?

​Alibaba beats estimates with strong non-GAAP net income, driven by AliCloud and investment in Generative AI, eyeing e-commerce turnaround.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Alibaba beats estimates with strong non-GAAP net income, driven by AliCloud and investment in Generative AI, eyeing e-commerce turnaround.