HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Ping An Healthcare and Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Recent surge of share price is driven by the craze for DeepSeek/AI in digital healthcare, not the improvement of fundamentals or effective validation of business model.So, the rally won’t last.</li>
<li>Although AI is a great story, the extent to which DeepSeek can bring substantial benefits to PAGD remains to be verified. Small revenue scale may lead to low valuation premium.</li>
<li>PAGD is expected to turn loss into profits in 2024. Short-term valuation should be lower than peers. When PAGD achieve profitability/revenue in large scale, P/B would approach the industry average.</li>
</ul>


Recent surge of share price is driven by the craze for DeepSeek/AI in digital healthcare, not the improvement of fundamentals or effective validation of business model.So, the rally won’t last.
Although AI is a great story, the extent to which DeepSeek can bring substantial benefits to PAGD remains to be verified. Small revenue scale may lead to low valuation premium.
PAGD is expected to turn loss into profits in 2024. Short-term valuation should be lower than peers. When PAGD achieve profitability/revenue in large scale, P/B would approach the industry average.


Ping An Good Doctor (1833 HK) - The Mandatory General Offer and DeepSeek Story May Not Turn the Tide

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our "Buy the Worst" strategy has outperformed the HSI by 1.7pp in the first two months. Meanwhile, the basket of best-performing constituents have underperformed 1.9pp. </li>
<li>More news on stimulating consumptions should be positive to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a>, and even <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a> has been weighed down by weaker profitability on higher costs. Earnings risks may negatively affect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Our "Buy the Worst" strategy has outperformed the HSI by 1.7pp in the first two months. Meanwhile, the basket of best-performing constituents have underperformed 1.9pp. 
More news on stimulating consumptions should be positive to Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK), and even Hang Lung Properties (101 HK). 

Trip.com Group (9961 HK) has been weighed down by weaker profitability on higher costs. Earnings risks may negatively affect Meituan (3690 HK) and China Hongqiao (1378 HK). 


"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Initial Win Against HSI This Year

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

WeDoctor Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We Doctor Holdings, a top-tier provider of AI-enabled medical services and digital platform which connects hospitals, doctors, and pharmacies, plans to go public in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>We Doctor Holdings has raised ~$1.5B to date from investors, including Tencent, 5Y Capital, Goldman Sachs, Hillhouse Capital, AIA, and Qiming Venture Partners, among others.</li>
<li>The Hangzhou-based healthtech company has delivered explosive revenue growth of 107% y/y for the six months ended Jun-24.  </li>
</ul>


We Doctor Holdings, a top-tier provider of AI-enabled medical services and digital platform which connects hospitals, doctors, and pharmacies, plans to go public in Hong Kong.
We Doctor Holdings has raised ~$1.5B to date from investors, including Tencent, 5Y Capital, Goldman Sachs, Hillhouse Capital, AIA, and Qiming Venture Partners, among others.
The Hangzhou-based healthtech company has delivered explosive revenue growth of 107% y/y for the six months ended Jun-24.  


We Doctor Holdings IPO Preview: Explosive Growth and Narrowing Losses, The Right Time for an IPO

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia, Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Evolve Capital Research

Mid-market focused investment bank within SE Asia

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

Econ Healthcare Asia Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/econ-healthcare-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33015:1" rel="noopener">Econ Healthcare Asia Ltd (ECON SP)</a> received a privatization offer from TPG Capital on 14th Feb 25. </li>
<li>Per the announcement, TPG is offering S$0.33 per share in cash, representing a 20% premium over the last undisturbed price of S$0.275 / share on 14th Jan 25. </li>
<li>While the deal is hardly a fantastic one, we would still recommend that minority shareholders accept the deal and redeploy their funds.</li>
</ul>



Econ Healthcare Asia Ltd (ECON SP) received a privatization offer from TPG Capital on 14th Feb 25. 
Per the announcement, TPG is offering S$0.33 per share in cash, representing a 20% premium over the last undisturbed price of S$0.275 / share on 14th Jan 25. 
While the deal is hardly a fantastic one, we would still recommend that minority shareholders accept the deal and redeploy their funds.


Econ Healthcare (Asia) - Not the Best but Still an Exit Opportunity

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.</li>
<li>Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.</li>
<li>That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. </li>
</ul>


This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.
Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.
That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. Tencent (700 HK) saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

China

Alibaba Health Information Technology Limited is an integrated healthcare information and content service provider. The Company uses product identification, authentication, and tracking system data for its healthcare information.

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Alibaba Health Information Tec (241 HK)

Ping An Good Doctor (1833 HK) - The Mandatory General Offer and DeepSeek Story May Not Turn the Tide

Surge in share price is driven by AI craze in digital healthcare. If the fundamentals do not improve with the development/iteration of AI, then...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Initial Win Against HSI This Year

"Buy the worst" strategy outperforms HSI by 1.7pp, while best-performing stocks lag by 1.9pp. Stimulating consumption news could benefit...

Osbert Tang, CFA

We Doctor Holdings IPO Preview: Explosive Growth and Narrowing Losses, The Right Time for an IPO

We Doctor, a Tencent-backed online healthcare platform and provider of AI-enabled medical services in China, has refiled PHIP to proceed with up to...

Andrei Zakharov

Econ Healthcare (Asia) - Not the Best but Still an Exit Opportunity

Econ Healthcare Asia Ltd received a privatization offer from TPG Capital on 14th Feb 25. While the deal is hardly fantastic , we would still...

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

SOUTHBOUND volumes have popped significantly. Lots of day-trading. Still-strong net buying. Tech/Consumer and Finance are still the big net buys.

Travis Lundy

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Ping An Good Doctor (1833 HK) - The Mandatory General Offer and DeepSeek Story May Not Turn the Tide

​Surge in share price is driven by AI craze in digital healthcare. If the fundamentals do not improve with the development/iteration of AI, then...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

"Buy the Worst" HSI Strategy: Initial Win Against HSI This Year

​"Buy the worst" strategy outperforms HSI by 1.7pp, while best-performing stocks lag by 1.9pp. Stimulating consumption news could benefit...

Osbert Tang, CFA

We Doctor Holdings IPO Preview: Explosive Growth and Narrowing Losses, The Right Time for an IPO

We Doctor, a Tencent-backed online healthcare platform and provider of AI-enabled medical services in China, has refiled PHIP to proceed with up to...

Andrei Zakharov

Econ Healthcare (Asia) - Not the Best but Still an Exit Opportunity

Econ Healthcare Asia Ltd received a privatization offer from TPG Capital on 14th Feb 25. While the deal is hardly fantastic , we would still...

Evolve Capital Advisory Pte Ltd

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

SOUTHBOUND volumes have popped significantly. Lots of day-trading. Still-strong net buying. Tech/Consumer and Finance are still the big net buys.

Travis Lundy

Surge in share price is driven by AI craze in digital healthcare. If the fundamentals do not improve with the development/iteration of AI, then...

"Buy the worst" strategy outperforms HSI by 1.7pp, while best-performing stocks lag by 1.9pp. Stimulating consumption news could benefit...