Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HK$128bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity the first two weeks of the year, and net buying of HK$43bn.</li>
<li>Relatively high div low vol SOEs were net sold. Again. China Mobile shellacked with net selling every day for 10 days (actually net sold every day since 11 Dec). </li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HK$128bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity the first two weeks of the year, and net buying of HK$43bn.
Relatively high div low vol SOEs were net sold. Again. China Mobile shellacked with net selling every day for 10 days (actually net sold every day since 11 Dec). 
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 16 Jan 2026) - China Mobile Sold Heavily, Tech Bought Heavily

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 9th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xiaomi (1810 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xtalpi (2228 HK), Xi2Csophstech (7552 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 9th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Xiaomi (1810 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xtalpi (2228 HK), Xi2Csophstech (7552 HK).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, AIA, Xtalpi

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 16th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CCB, China Life, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Hang Seng Bank, Laopu Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 16th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CCB, China Life, Meituan, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Hang Seng Bank, Laopu Gold.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 16th): Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CCB, China Life

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical (RTP HK)

<ul>
<li>As a digital circulation platform, Rong Tai’s business essence is a “middleman”, with limited added value and a naturally lower profit margin than that of R&amp;D-oriented pharmaceutical companies.</li>
<li>Rong Tai’s profitability is disappointing. It’s difficult for the Company to bring decent returns to investors. This actually reflects from the side the flaws of Rong Tai's business model/channel resources.</li>
<li>Reasonable valuation is RMB1.6bn, lower than post-money valuation after Series B Financing(RMB2.7bn). If market sentiment is pessimistic at the time of IPO, there could be big downward space for valuation.</li>
</ul>


As a digital circulation platform, Rong Tai’s business essence is a “middleman”, with limited added value and a naturally lower profit margin than that of R&amp;D-oriented pharmaceutical companies.
Rong Tai’s profitability is disappointing. It’s difficult for the Company to bring decent returns to investors. This actually reflects from the side the flaws of Rong Tai's business model/channel resources.
Reasonable valuation is RMB1.6bn, lower than post-money valuation after Series B Financing(RMB2.7bn). If market sentiment is pessimistic at the time of IPO, there could be big downward space for valuation.


Pre-IPO Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical - Low Profitability Is a Pain Point

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 constituent changes for the CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index in December. Plus there are large capping changes for some stocks.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.9% and the round-trip trade is HK$26.6bn (US$3.4bn). There are 16 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds drifted lower vs the deletes in September and October but have started outperforming in December. There could be more outperformance following announcement of the index changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 constituent changes for the CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index in December. Plus there are large capping changes for some stocks.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.9% and the round-trip trade is HK$26.6bn (US$3.4bn). There are 16 stocks with more than 1x ADV to trade.
The adds drifted lower vs the deletes in September and October but have started outperforming in December. There could be more outperformance following announcement of the index changes.


CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index Rebalance: Large Flows & Impact on Friday

Hong Kong

Alibaba Health is the flagship healthcare platform of Alibaba Group, providing digital health services and resources. It operates pharmaceutical direct sales, an e-commerce platform for medications and health products, and offers healthcare and digital services including telemedicine consultations. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 1998.

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Alibaba Health (241 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 16 Jan 2026) - China Mobile Sold Heavily, Tech Bought Heavily

SOUTHBOUND started the year with net buying. Except for China Mobile. That has been net sold by SB every day since 11 Dec 2025. A bit mixed but...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, AIA, Xtalpi

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 9th and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, AIA, Xtalpi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 16th): Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CCB, China Life

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), China Mobile (941...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical - Low Profitability Is a Pain Point

Rong Tai's digital circulation platform operates as a "middleman" with limited added value,leading to low profitability/potential downward...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index Rebalance: Large Flows & Impact on Friday

There are 2 constituent changes for the index in Dec. Plus there are a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.9%...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 16 Jan 2026) - China Mobile Sold Heavily, Tech Bought Heavily

SOUTHBOUND started the year with net buying. Except for China Mobile. That has been net sold by SB every day since 11 Dec 2025. A bit mixed but...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, AIA, Xtalpi

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 9th and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, AIA, Xtalpi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jan 16th): Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CCB, China Life

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), China Mobile (941...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Guangdong Rong Tai Pharmaceutical - Low Profitability Is a Pain Point

​Rong Tai's digital circulation platform operates as a "middleman" with limited added value,leading to low profitability/potential downward...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CSI Hong Kong Connect Internet Index Rebalance: Large Flows & Impact on Friday

There are 2 constituent changes for the index in Dec. Plus there are a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 11.9%...

Brian Freitas

Rong Tai's digital circulation platform operates as a "middleman" with limited added value,leading to low profitability/potential downward...