Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/straumann-holding-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22493:1" rel="noopener">Straumann Holding AG (STMN SW)</a> is the global leader in dental implantology, with ~29% market share. With multi-brand implant portfolio, the company is well-positioned to capture the market opportunity.  </li>
<li>Straumann raised expectations for 2022 organic revenue growth to the mid-teen percentage range from low double-digit percentage range earlier, versus the strong comparative year (+42% organic revenue growth in 2021).</li>
<li>Straumann has significantly expanded its addressable market to CHF18B+. To achieve the company’s ambition of CHF5B revenue by 2030, an average organic growth rate of ~10% annually is needed.</li>
</ul>



Straumann Holding AG (STMN SW) is the global leader in dental implantology, with ~29% market share. With multi-brand implant portfolio, the company is well-positioned to capture the market opportunity.  
Straumann raised expectations for 2022 organic revenue growth to the mid-teen percentage range from low double-digit percentage range earlier, versus the strong comparative year (+42% organic revenue growth in 2021).
Straumann has significantly expanded its addressable market to CHF18B+. To achieve the company’s ambition of CHF5B revenue by 2030, an average organic growth rate of ~10% annually is needed.


Straumann Holding AG (STMN SW): Strong Organic Revenue Growth Indicates Continued Business Recovery

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>Economic slowdown, China lockdown and more competition has hit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/align-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2817:1" rel="noopener">Align Technology (ALGN US)</a> share performance. Quantity and quality of innovations suggests a solid moat that should help a comeback.</li>
<li>ALGN has dominant leadership in digital design and mass custom manufacture of clear aligner orthodontics. A return of demand should lead to strong upside. </li>
<li>Dentistry has seen significant new technologies we list the top fifteen innovators in the sector. Align is primarily in the narrow business of straightening teeth, but dominates the space.</li>
</ul>


Economic slowdown, China lockdown and more competition has hit Align Technology (ALGN US) share performance. Quantity and quality of innovations suggests a solid moat that should help a comeback.
ALGN has dominant leadership in digital design and mass custom manufacture of clear aligner orthodontics. A return of demand should lead to strong upside. 
Dentistry has seen significant new technologies we list the top fifteen innovators in the sector. Align is primarily in the narrow business of straightening teeth, but dominates the space.


Align Technology - Very Well Positioned when Demand Returns

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Angelalign Technology  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The rebound of Angelalign's share price isn’t based on the reversal of its fundamentals,but increasing confidence in China's economic recovery. Investors could take the opportunity to trade during this time.</li>
<li>It’s “a helpless move” for Angelalign to participate in centralized procurement. The price change brought about by centralized procurement would weaken the brand advantage of leading manufacturers and change consumers’  preferences.</li>
<li>We are not optimistic about Angelalign’s 2022 performance. Its performance in 2023 could still be lower-than-expected after China reopens. When COVID-19 is no longer an excuse, true color reveals. </li>
</ul>


The rebound of Angelalign's share price isn’t based on the reversal of its fundamentals,but increasing confidence in China's economic recovery. Investors could take the opportunity to trade during this time.
It’s “a helpless move” for Angelalign to participate in centralized procurement. The price change brought about by centralized procurement would weaken the brand advantage of leading manufacturers and change consumers’  preferences.
We are not optimistic about Angelalign’s 2022 performance. Its performance in 2023 could still be lower-than-expected after China reopens. When COVID-19 is no longer an excuse, true color reveals. 


Angelalign Technology (6699.HK) - About the Share Price Rebound, the Outlook and the Challenges

<ul>
<li>On a constant-currency basis, Q3 revenue of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/align-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2817:1" rel="noopener">Align Technology (ALGN US)</a> was reduced by 3% sequentially and 6% year-over-year, one of the largest quarterly foreign exchange impacts.</li>
<li>Weak consumer sentiment is taking a toll on Invisalign shipment, with adult case starts plunging 11% q/q and 16% y/y to 377K. Invisalign ASPs nosedived to nine-quarter low of $1,150.  </li>
<li>Amid increasing competition and macroeconomic headwinds, long-term model of 20–30% revenue growth is hard to achieve. The company is also expected to miss 2022 operating margin target of 20%.</li>
</ul>


On a constant-currency basis, Q3 revenue of Align Technology (ALGN US) was reduced by 3% sequentially and 6% year-over-year, one of the largest quarterly foreign exchange impacts.
Weak consumer sentiment is taking a toll on Invisalign shipment, with adult case starts plunging 11% q/q and 16% y/y to 377K. Invisalign ASPs nosedived to nine-quarter low of $1,150.  
Amid increasing competition and macroeconomic headwinds, long-term model of 20–30% revenue growth is hard to achieve. The company is also expected to miss 2022 operating margin target of 20%.


Align Technology (ALGN US): Q3 Result Not Aligned with Consensus; Outlook Remains Cloudy

<ul>
<li>Due to declining performance, lack of core competitiveness and increasing competition, the market has to re-examine the growth potential and outlook of Angelalign.The era of high margin is fading away.</li>
<li>Angelalign’s low-price strategy is easily hit by similar products with lower prices. Once its price loses advantage, it will directly lead to a rapid and substantial decline in overall performance.</li>
<li>Due to its worse-than-expected 2022H1 performance and economic downturn, we lowered our 2022 forecast of Angelalign. Angelalign shouldn't be valued that much higher than Align Technology, expecting more downside ahead. </li>
</ul>


Due to declining performance, lack of core competitiveness and increasing competition, the market has to re-examine the growth potential and outlook of Angelalign.The era of high margin is fading away.
Angelalign’s low-price strategy is easily hit by similar products with lower prices. Once its price loses advantage, it will directly lead to a rapid and substantial decline in overall performance.
Due to its worse-than-expected 2022H1 performance and economic downturn, we lowered our 2022 forecast of Angelalign. Angelalign shouldn't be valued that much higher than Align Technology, expecting more downside ahead. 


Angelalign Technology (6699.HK) 22H1 - Still “Bubble” in Valuation; The Era of High Margin Is Over

United States

Align Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets the Invisalign System, a method for treating the misalignment of teeth.  The Company's system corrects the misalignment using a series of clear, removable appliances that move teeth to a desired final position.

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Align Technology (ALGN US)

Straumann Holding AG (STMN SW): Strong Organic Revenue Growth Indicates Continued Business Recovery

During 9M 2022, Straumann reported organic revenue growth of 18% YoY. The company has raised 2022 organic revenue growth guidance to the mid-teen...

Tina Banerjee

Align Technology - Very Well Positioned when Demand Returns

Decline in earnings has driven the sell-off, but with patience and tolerance for volatility ALGN's innovation dominance should lead to good long...

Pyari Menon