Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have started a market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover.</li>
<li>There is US$281bn tracking the Select Sector Indices from the SPDR ETFs. The market consultation will have a larger impact on indices where there is a high degree of concentration.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/conocophillips" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18090:1" rel="noopener">Conocophillips</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netflix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20451:1" rel="noopener">Netflix</a> while the largest outflows will be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/procter-gamble-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:978:1" rel="noopener">Procter &amp; Gamble</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costco-wholesale-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18404:1" rel="noopener">Costco Wholesale</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms</a>.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have started a market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover.
There is US$281bn tracking the Select Sector Indices from the SPDR ETFs. The market consultation will have a larger impact on indices where there is a high degree of concentration.
The largest inflows are expected in Apple, Conocophillips, Amazon.com and Netflix while the largest outflows will be from Microsoft, NVIDIA, Chevron, Procter &amp; Gamble, Exxon Mobil, Costco Wholesale and Meta Platforms.


Select Sector Indices - HUGE Impact of Proposed Constituent Weighting Changes

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The second quarter 2024 financial results for Amazon.com Inc. showcased both growth and challenges as the company continues to navigate a complex global economic environment.</li><li>Overall, Amazon.com reported an 11% year-over-year increase in revenue, totaling $148 billion, which excludes the effects of foreign exchange rates.</li><li>The operating income notably increased by 91% year-over-year to $14.7 billion, and the free cash flow adjusted for leases surged by 664% to $51.4 billion.</li></ul>

The second quarter 2024 financial results for Amazon.com Inc. showcased both growth and challenges as the company continues to navigate a complex global economic environment.Overall, Amazon.com reported an 11% year-over-year increase in revenue, totaling $148 billion, which excludes the effects of foreign exchange rates.The operating income notably increased by 91% year-over-year to $14.7 billion, and the free cash flow adjusted for leases surged by 664% to $51.4 billion.

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

BrainBees Solutions / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We highlight several red flags  with regard to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">BrainBees Solutions (0172540D IN)</a> operations, business strategy and governance for investors' careful consideration.</li>
<li>At the announced IPO price band of Rs440 - Rs465, Brainbees implied EV/Revenues (FY24) works out to 3.5X - 3.7X - a significant discount to India listed online retail verticals.</li>
<li>Despite seemingly inexpensive relative valuations, we do not see a compelling reason to invest in the company, specially given the several red flags discussed below.</li>
</ul>


We highlight several red flags  with regard to BrainBees Solutions (0172540D IN) operations, business strategy and governance for investors' careful consideration.
At the announced IPO price band of Rs440 - Rs465, Brainbees implied EV/Revenues (FY24) works out to 3.5X - 3.7X - a significant discount to India listed online retail verticals.
Despite seemingly inexpensive relative valuations, we do not see a compelling reason to invest in the company, specially given the several red flags discussed below.


BrainBees Solutions IPO: Five Facts Why FirstCry Is Not a First Class Company

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">BrainBees Solutions (0172540D IN)</a> that operates FirstCry, India's leading Online Mom and Child vertical, has launched a USD500 mn IPO that closes on August 8th.</li>
<li>The IPO pricing suggest a post-money equity valuation of around USD 2.8 billion and an EV/Revenue multiple in the range of 3.5X-3.7X.</li>
<li>Brainbees operates in an attractive online vertical noted for its high frequency purchases and long term customer relationship. However it has not built significant competitive advantages versus leading horizontal platforms.</li>
</ul>



BrainBees Solutions (0172540D IN) that operates FirstCry, India's leading Online Mom and Child vertical, has launched a USD500 mn IPO that closes on August 8th.
The IPO pricing suggest a post-money equity valuation of around USD 2.8 billion and an EV/Revenue multiple in the range of 3.5X-3.7X.
Brainbees operates in an attractive online vertical noted for its high frequency purchases and long term customer relationship. However it has not built significant competitive advantages versus leading horizontal platforms.


Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: Key Facts, Financials and Valuations

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Amazon released (2 Aug HKT) 2Q24 results: revenue was US$148.0bn, up 10% YoY, and was largely inline with Bloomberg consensus, and total operating profit was US$14.7bn, up 70% YoY, 7% better than consensus, driven by OPM margin beat for AWS aided by efficient cost control.</li><li>In view of this, customers are more careful with their spending.</li><li>Management also turns more cautious, and guided for revenue of US$154.0bn-158.5bn for 3Q24E, the mid-point of which is 1% lower than consensus. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Amazon released (2 Aug HKT) 2Q24 results: revenue was US$148.0bn, up 10% YoY, and was largely inline with Bloomberg consensus, and total operating profit was US$14.7bn, up 70% YoY, 7% better than consensus, driven by OPM margin beat for AWS aided by efficient cost control.In view of this, customers are more careful with their spending.Management also turns more cautious, and guided for revenue of US$154.0bn-158.5bn for 3Q24E, the mid-point of which is 1% lower than consensus. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon (AMZN US)

Select Sector Indices - HUGE Impact of Proposed Constituent Weighting Changes

The market consultation to change the index weighting methodology will set off a US$28bn trade in Sep. Inflows to Apple, Conocophillips, Amazon.com...

Brian Freitas

Amazon.com Inc.: Expansion of AWS

The second quarter 2024 financial results for Amazon.com Inc. showcased both growth and challenges as the company continues to navigate a complex...

Baptista Research

BrainBees Solutions IPO: Five Facts Why FirstCry Is Not a First Class Company

No compelling reason to invest despite seemingly inexpensive relative valuations, specially given the several red flags discussed here.

Devi Subhakesan

Brainbees Solutions (FirstCry) IPO: Key Facts, Financials and Valuations

Brainbees USD500 mn IPO closes on August 8th. India's leading player in the Online Mom and Kid vertical has not built significant competitive...

Devi Subhakesan

Amazon (AMZN US) - 2Q Earnings Beat

Amazon released (2 Aug HKT) 2Q24 results: revenue was US$148.0bn, up 10% YoY, and was largely inline with Bloomberg consensus, and total operating...

CMB International

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