External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Amazon announced (2 May HKT) 1Q25 results: revenue was US$155.7bn, up 8.6% YoY (1Q24: 12.5%), inline with both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimate, and total operating profit was US$18.4bn, up 20% YoY, 2/5% better than our estimates/consensus, mainly driven by OPM margin beat in AWS segment, thanks to ongoing operating efficiency improvement.</li><li>Management guided for US$159.0-164.0bn revenue for 2Q25E (consensus: US$161.4bn), implying 7-11% YoY growth, and US$13.0-17.5bn operating profit (consensus: US$17.8bn) after accounting for regular impact from step-up in share-based compensation annually, and additional Project Kuiper related expenses to be booked.</li><li>We lower 2025-2027E revenue/OP forecast by 0.5- 0.8%/3.2-5.1% to factor in additional Kuiper expenses, and our target price is lowered by 8% to US$247.0 (was US$268.0), based on 18.3x EV/EBITDA (was 18.5x), inline with the two-year trading average. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon announced (2 May HKT) 1Q25 results: revenue was US$155.7bn, up 8.6% YoY (1Q24: 12.5%), inline with both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimate, and total operating profit was US$18.4bn, up 20% YoY, 2/5% better than our estimates/consensus, mainly driven by OPM margin beat in AWS segment, thanks to ongoing operating efficiency improvement.Management guided for US$159.0-164.0bn revenue for 2Q25E (consensus: US$161.4bn), implying 7-11% YoY growth, and US$13.0-17.5bn operating profit (consensus: US$17.8bn) after accounting for regular impact from step-up in share-based compensation annually, and additional Project Kuiper related expenses to be booked.We lower 2025-2027E revenue/OP forecast by 0.5- 0.8%/3.2-5.1% to factor in additional Kuiper expenses, and our target price is lowered by 8% to US$247.0 (was US$268.0), based on 18.3x EV/EBITDA (was 18.5x), inline with the two-year trading average. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon (AMZN US) - 1Q earnings beat; pace of earnings growth to enter a healthy stage

<ul><li>Amazon released (1 Nov HKT) 3Q24 results: revenue was US$158.9bn, up 11% YoY (3Q23: 13%), and was 2%/1% better than our estimates/Bloomberg consensus, while total operating profit was US$17.4bn, up 56% YoY, 18/16% better than our estimates/consensus, driven by an all-round OPM margin beat for all three business segments (North America, International, and AWS).</li><li>Management guided for US$181.5bn-188.5bn revenue for 4Q24E, implying 7- 11% YoY growth, and US$16.0-20.0bn operating profit (consensus: US$17.5bn).</li><li>We believe Amazon’s structural YoY margin expansion trend is on track, aided by the continued improvement in cost to serve, as well as increase in revenue contribution from relatively high-margin ads and AWS businesses. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon released (1 Nov HKT) 3Q24 results: revenue was US$158.9bn, up 11% YoY (3Q23: 13%), and was 2%/1% better than our estimates/Bloomberg consensus, while total operating profit was US$17.4bn, up 56% YoY, 18/16% better than our estimates/consensus, driven by an all-round OPM margin beat for all three business segments (North America, International, and AWS).Management guided for US$181.5bn-188.5bn revenue for 4Q24E, implying 7- 11% YoY growth, and US$16.0-20.0bn operating profit (consensus: US$17.5bn).We believe Amazon’s structural YoY margin expansion trend is on track, aided by the continued improvement in cost to serve, as well as increase in revenue contribution from relatively high-margin ads and AWS businesses. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon (AMZN US) - Structural Margin Improvement Trend Intact

<ul><li>Amazon released (2 Aug HKT) 2Q24 results: revenue was US$148.0bn, up 10% YoY, and was largely inline with Bloomberg consensus, and total operating profit was US$14.7bn, up 70% YoY, 7% better than consensus, driven by OPM margin beat for AWS aided by efficient cost control.</li><li>In view of this, customers are more careful with their spending.</li><li>Management also turns more cautious, and guided for revenue of US$154.0bn-158.5bn for 3Q24E, the mid-point of which is 1% lower than consensus. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Amazon released (2 Aug HKT) 2Q24 results: revenue was US$148.0bn, up 10% YoY, and was largely inline with Bloomberg consensus, and total operating profit was US$14.7bn, up 70% YoY, 7% better than consensus, driven by OPM margin beat for AWS aided by efficient cost control.In view of this, customers are more careful with their spending.Management also turns more cautious, and guided for revenue of US$154.0bn-158.5bn for 3Q24E, the mid-point of which is 1% lower than consensus. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Overseas hyperscalers (Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, covered by our internet team) have all released their CY1Q25 earnings.</li><li>During the quarter, the aggregated capex of the Big Four held strong at US$73bn, up 63% YoY and flattish QoQ, after hitting a record of US$72.8bn in CY4Q24 (up 68% YoY / 22% QoQ).</li><li>The outlook for the rest of 2025 remains optimistic. Amazon, Google and Microsoft doubled down on their spending plans, while Meta revised up its capex target by 7%-11% from its previous plan. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Overseas hyperscalers (Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, covered by our internet team) have all released their CY1Q25 earnings.During the quarter, the aggregated capex of the Big Four held strong at US$73bn, up 63% YoY and flattish QoQ, after hitting a record of US$72.8bn in CY4Q24 (up 68% YoY / 22% QoQ).The outlook for the rest of 2025 remains optimistic. Amazon, Google and Microsoft doubled down on their spending plans, while Meta revised up its capex target by 7%-11% from its previous plan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Resilient 1Q25 Capex Among Hyperscalers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>EXCL reported a 21% increase in data service traffic during the period of March 28–April 6, 2025, compared to regular days before Ramadan.</li><li>During the Ramadan and Eid period, service traffic was primarily driven by streaming, which rose by 17%, followed by file access with a 16% increase, web browsing up 12%, and gaming soaring by 46%.</li><li>The highest data traffic surge was recorded in Central Java, which saw a 44% rise compared to regular days. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EXCL reported a 21% increase in data service traffic during the period of March 28–April 6, 2025, compared to regular days before Ramadan.During the Ramadan and Eid period, service traffic was primarily driven by streaming, which rose by 17%, followed by file access with a 16% increase, web browsing up 12%, and gaming soaring by 46%.The highest data traffic surge was recorded in Central Java, which saw a 44% rise compared to regular days. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS TMT News - Thursday, April 10, 2025

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)

Amazon (AMZN US) - 1Q earnings beat; pace of earnings growth to enter a healthy stage

We are looking for 18% YoY growth in OP in 2025E aided by optimization in cost to serve and improvement in scale effect, which we believe could be...

CMB International

Amazon (AMZN US) - Structural Margin Improvement Trend Intact

Amazon released (1 Nov HKT) 3Q24 results: revenue was US$158.9bn, up 11% YoY (3Q23: 13%), and was 2%/1% better than our estimates/Bloomberg consensus

CMB International

Amazon (AMZN US) - 2Q Earnings Beat

Amazon released (2 Aug HKT) 2Q24 results: revenue was US$148.0bn, up 10% YoY, and was largely inline with Bloomberg consensus, and total operating...

CMB International

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Resilient 1Q25 Capex Among Hyperscalers

Bloomberg consensus projects the Big Four’s capex to increase by 48% YoY / 8% QoQ to ~US$78.6bn in CY2Q25E, and full-year capex to top US$319bn...

CMB International

BRIDS TMT News - Thursday, April 10, 2025

EXCL reported a 21% increase in data service traffic during the period of March 28–April 6, 2025, compared to regular days before Ramadan.

BRI Danareksa Research

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