Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Anglo and Teck have decided to merge, creating a ~$53bn copper-focused mining major that ranks #4 globally with ~1.2 Mt of output in 2024.</li>
<li>The deal targets ~$800m in annual savings by year four, though history suggests full delivery is unlikely.</li>
<li>The combined group offers strong leverage to copper’s structural growth and top-3 scale in seaborne met coal as a cash engine.</li>
</ul>


Anglo and Teck have decided to merge, creating a ~$53bn copper-focused mining major that ranks #4 globally with ~1.2 Mt of output in 2024.
The deal targets ~$800m in annual savings by year four, though history suggests full delivery is unlikely.
The combined group offers strong leverage to copper’s structural growth and top-3 scale in seaborne met coal as a cash engine.


Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow

Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anglo-american-plc-04f6cda9-c726-4c33-8544-c5046bc74b29" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28603:1" rel="noopener"></a>Anglo American and Teck Resources merge in a $53 billion deal, creating the world’s fifth-largest copper producer with defensive scale.</li>
<li>The merger promises $800 million in annual cost synergies by the end of 4th year, but execution across multiple jurisdictions will remain a challenge.</li>
<li>Regulatory approval in Canada and key stakeholder positions, including Keevil and Elliott, will be pivotal to deal success.</li>
</ul>



Anglo American and Teck Resources merge in a $53 billion deal, creating the world’s fifth-largest copper producer with defensive scale.
The merger promises $800 million in annual cost synergies by the end of 4th year, but execution across multiple jurisdictions will remain a challenge.
Regulatory approval in Canada and key stakeholder positions, including Keevil and Elliott, will be pivotal to deal success.


Anglo-Teck Merger: Scaling Up to Fortify Copper Empire

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Anglo and Teck agreed an at-market merger of equals, creating a copper-tilted major. Pro forma ownership about 62%/38%; HQ Vancouver, primary LSE listing. Anglo plans a sizeable pre-close special dividend.</li>
<li>Scenario-Based synergy valuation indicates multi-billion upside, with recurring cost savings earlier and long-dated Chile adjacency optionality subject to partner alignment and permitting. This frames interloper incentives, break-price support, and re-rating.</li>
<li>Approvals hinge on Canada’s net-benefit test and multi-jurisdictional antitrust; shareholder hurdles look manageable. I favor a hedged long-TECK/short-AAL pair capturing a double-digit spread, with dividend liabilities on the AAL short.</li>
</ul>


Anglo and Teck agreed an at-market merger of equals, creating a copper-tilted major. Pro forma ownership about 62%/38%; HQ Vancouver, primary LSE listing. Anglo plans a sizeable pre-close special dividend.
Scenario-Based synergy valuation indicates multi-billion upside, with recurring cost savings earlier and long-dated Chile adjacency optionality subject to partner alignment and permitting. This frames interloper incentives, break-price support, and re-rating.
Approvals hinge on Canada’s net-benefit test and multi-jurisdictional antitrust; shareholder hurdles look manageable. I favor a hedged long-TECK/short-AAL pair capturing a double-digit spread, with dividend liabilities on the AAL short.


Copper Convergence — Anglo–Teck’s Path to Scale and Value

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

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Index Rebalance

<ul><li>JSE indices are due for rebalancing in the closing auction on Friday.</li><li>There will be no changes to the Top 40 index. GLN will be added to the RESI 10 and BHG will be deleted.</li><li>ISO will be added to ALSI (+Small Cap index), the exposure is estimated to be c 3bps of the Capped ALSI.</li></ul>

JSE indices are due for rebalancing in the closing auction on Friday.There will be no changes to the Top 40 index. GLN will be added to the RESI 10 and BHG will be deleted.ISO will be added to ALSI (+Small Cap index), the exposure is estimated to be c 3bps of the Capped ALSI.

JSE December 2025 Rebalance: No Top 40 Changes

<ul>
<li>JSE indexes will be rebalanced in the closing auction tomorrow. </li>
<li>MCG will fall out of the TOPI and DTOP and HAR will enter. The ALSI gets reviewed semi-annually in March and September.</li>
<li>ACL and LBR will fall out of the ALSI, ALSI SWIX and the capped variants.</li>
</ul>


JSE indexes will be rebalanced in the closing auction tomorrow. 
MCG will fall out of the TOPI and DTOP and HAR will enter. The ALSI gets reviewed semi-annually in March and September.
ACL and LBR will fall out of the ALSI, ALSI SWIX and the capped variants.


United Kingdom

Anglo American PLC is a global mining company. The Company's mining portfolio includes bulk commodities including iron ore, manganese and metallurgical coal, base metals including copper and nickel and precious metals and minerals including platinum and diamonds.  Anglo American PLC has mining operations in Africa, Europe, North and South America, Asia and Australia.

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Anglo American (AAL LN)

Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow

Anglo and Teck merge to create $53bn copper-focused mining major, aiming for $800m in annual savings by year four with strong leverage to copper's...

Rahul Jain

Anglo-Teck Merger: Scaling Up to Fortify Copper Empire

Anglo and Teck aim to unite in a $53 billion copper powerhouse, boosting scale, defending against rivals, while navigating regulatory and...

Mint Finance

Copper Convergence — Anglo–Teck’s Path to Scale and Value

Anglo–Teck nil-premium merger creates a copper-heavy major. Double-digit spread solid synergies, approvals manageable. Trade: long TECK/short AAL...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

JSE December 2025 Rebalance: No Top 40 Changes

The end of an era: SWIX indices to be terminated 31 Dec 2025, methodology adopted throughout index series since the harmonisation in March 2024

DMA

JSE September 2023 Index Rebalance

Top 40 & Top 40 SWIX: HAR to enter, MCG to fall out. NPN/PRX Cross-holding unwind: yesterday's trading session. JSE indexes will be rebalanced...

DMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow

​Anglo and Teck merge to create $53bn copper-focused mining major, aiming for $800m in annual savings by year four with strong leverage to copper's...

Rahul Jain

Anglo-Teck Merger: Scaling Up to Fortify Copper Empire

Anglo and Teck aim to unite in a $53 billion copper powerhouse, boosting scale, defending against rivals, while navigating regulatory and...

Mint Finance

Copper Convergence — Anglo–Teck’s Path to Scale and Value

Anglo–Teck nil-premium merger creates a copper-heavy major. Double-digit spread solid synergies, approvals manageable. Trade: long TECK/short AAL...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

JSE December 2025 Rebalance: No Top 40 Changes

The end of an era: SWIX indices to be terminated 31 Dec 2025, methodology adopted throughout index series since the harmonisation in March 2024

DMA

JSE September 2023 Index Rebalance

Top 40 & Top 40 SWIX: HAR to enter, MCG to fall out. NPN/PRX Cross-holding unwind: yesterday's trading session. JSE indexes will be rebalanced...

DMA

Anglo and Teck merge to create $53bn copper-focused mining major, aiming for $800m in annual savings by year four with strong leverage to copper's...