Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

AngloGold Ashanti Spon Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>AngloGold Ashanti reported a strong financial and operational performance in 2025, marked by several records and notable improvements across its portfolio.</li><li>Safety reached a new milestone with the company achieving its lowest ever total recordable injury frequency rate of 0.97, significantly outperforming industry averages.</li><li>Operationally, the integration of Sukari, a Tier 1 asset, contributed to a 16% increase in overall production to 3.1 million ounces of gold, with managed operations producing 2.8 million ounces, a 19% rise primarily driven by Sukari and Obuasi.</li></ul>

AngloGold Ashanti reported a strong financial and operational performance in 2025, marked by several records and notable improvements across its portfolio.Safety reached a new milestone with the company achieving its lowest ever total recordable injury frequency rate of 0.97, significantly outperforming industry averages.Operationally, the integration of Sukari, a Tier 1 asset, contributed to a 16% increase in overall production to 3.1 million ounces of gold, with managed operations producing 2.8 million ounces, a 19% rise primarily driven by Sukari and Obuasi.

AngloGold Ashanti: Initiation Of Coverage

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a> rejected <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25109:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ)</a>'s proposal (0.3125 shares plus A$7.25 cash, implied A$27.00, 22.1% premium). It cited undervaluation, scrip risk, opportunistic timing and onerous conditions.</li>
<li>Elliott, the key activist, needs a higher offer. Its return would be modest; NST's turnaround has barely started; Gold Fields keeps most synergies; and hard exclusivity shuts out rival bidders.</li>
<li>Gold Fields will likely return at around A$28–30, with more cash and no hard exclusivity. Synergies and past deals support this, but the deal's size acts as a constraint.</li>
</ul>



Northern Star Resources (NST AU) rejected Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ)'s proposal (0.3125 shares plus A$7.25 cash, implied A$27.00, 22.1% premium). It cited undervaluation, scrip risk, opportunistic timing and onerous conditions.
Elliott, the key activist, needs a higher offer. Its return would be modest; NST's turnaround has barely started; Gold Fields keeps most synergies; and hard exclusivity shuts out rival bidders.
Gold Fields will likely return at around A$28–30, with more cash and no hard exclusivity. Synergies and past deals support this, but the deal's size acts as a constraint.


Northern Star (NST AU): Gold Fields Rejection Justified, Sweetened Bid Likely

Investment Strategist, Transparently.AI

Mark Jolley

Investment Strategist

AI detection of accounting fraud and manipulation

Transparently.AI

Fraud and manipulation of their numbers see companies lose USD1 trillion+ per year for their stakeholders. Transparently.AI has developed an AI system that determines:

1. The likelihood that a company is committing fraud/serious manipulation of their books;
2. Whether it is serious enough to result in total corporate failure;
3. Estimated $ losses to stakeholders;
4. How that manipulation/fraud evolves through time; and
5. Detailed analytics on the forms of manipulation/fraud (e.g. which parts of the accounts, what tricks of the trade, questions for analysts to ask management, where/how to investigate further, etc.).

This is effectively automating the analysis of forensic accountants, activist short sellers, credit analysts, etc to do work that would typically take weeks per company, and instead run it in seconds and for thousands of companies simultaneously.

Critically, this solution frequently alerts users to the presence of serious manipulation risk up to 2-3 years in advance of the wider market and short sellers becoming aware of problems.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Rising inflation historically benefits gold, offering superior real returns compared to stocks and bonds. </li>
<li>Accounting quality is crucial when selecting gold miners, emphasizing transparency to mitigate manipulation risk.</li>
<li>Investors can use Transparently Risk Engine to screen for gold miners with solid accounting quality.</li>
</ul>


Rising inflation historically benefits gold, offering superior real returns compared to stocks and bonds. 
Accounting quality is crucial when selecting gold miners, emphasizing transparency to mitigate manipulation risk.
Investors can use Transparently Risk Engine to screen for gold miners with solid accounting quality.


Gold Stocks in Trump’s New International Order

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

<ul><li>Interview with Vuslat, who runs a mining investment company in South Africa</li><li>South Africa is rich in commodities like PGMs, Chrome, Manganese, Coal, and Iron Ore</li><li>South Africa offers rule of law, democracy, and security of tenure, making it an attractive investment destination for mining companies</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Interview with Vuslat, who runs a mining investment company in South AfricaSouth Africa is rich in commodities like PGMs, Chrome, Manganese, Coal, and Iron OreSouth Africa offers rule of law, democracy, and security of tenure, making it an attractive investment destination for mining companiesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Extracting value from overlooked mines (Vuslat Bayoglu Interview)

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.</li>
<li>We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.</li>
<li>HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.</li>
</ul>


This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.
We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.
HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.


Active GEM Funds:  Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

South Africa

AngloGold Ashanti Limited is a holding company for a group of companies which explore for and mine gold internationally. The Group has operations in the Vaal River and West Witwatersrand areas of South Africa as well as Namibia, Mali, Brazil, Argentina, Australia, Tanzania and the United States.

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Anglogold Ashanti (ANG SJ)

AngloGold Ashanti: Initiation Of Coverage

AngloGold Ashanti reported a strong financial and operational performance in 2025, marked by several records and notable improvements across its...

Baptista Research

Northern Star (NST AU): Gold Fields Rejection Justified, Sweetened Bid Likely

NST rejected Gold Fields' A$27.00 bid (22.1% premium) as too low. Elliott wants more. Gold Fields is likely to return at ~A$28–30 with more cash,...

Arun George

Gold Stocks in Trump’s New International Order

Gold stocks are on the investment radar as the tariff wars fuel inflationary concerns. Find out how accounting quality is a useful screening tool...

Mark Jolley

Extracting value from overlooked mines (Vuslat Bayoglu Interview)

In summary, Mina is a private mining investment company in South Africa, benefiting from the country's rich ore deposits and supportive government...

Money of Mine

Active GEM Funds: Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

GEM Extreme Stocks. HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.

Steven Holden

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