Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Introducing AI Flow Private Pools Newsletter. Using data from PM Insights, we examine the monthly valuation changes in private companies in the AI space.</li><li>Unlike traditional company valuation assessments done quarterly, PM Insights data show equity price fluctuations between funding rounds and regular financial reporting periods.</li><li>We are following ~46 private companies in AI from PM Insights data and created a WTR AI Private Pools Index, with a market value (as of 3/9/26) of $1.73 trillion.</li></ul>

Introducing AI Flow Private Pools Newsletter. Using data from PM Insights, we examine the monthly valuation changes in private companies in the AI space.Unlike traditional company valuation assessments done quarterly, PM Insights data show equity price fluctuations between funding rounds and regular financial reporting periods.We are following ~46 private companies in AI from PM Insights data and created a WTR AI Private Pools Index, with a market value (as of 3/9/26) of $1.73 trillion.

AI Flow Private Pools Newsletter : Exploring Private Company Valuations in AI

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's recent partnership yet again enforces the idea of AI infra expansion no longer being solely driven by hyperscaler balance sheets; external capital is increasingly underwriting capacity buildouts.</li>
<li>AMD is attempting to enter AI deployments earlier in the decision cycle, positioning its hardware within sovereign and enterprise infrastructure plans.</li>
<li>Frontier AI labs are beginning to emphasise compute economics and margin structure, reflecting the growing importance of sustainable infrastructure utilisation.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's recent partnership yet again enforces the idea of AI infra expansion no longer being solely driven by hyperscaler balance sheets; external capital is increasingly underwriting capacity buildouts.
AMD is attempting to enter AI deployments earlier in the decision cycle, positioning its hardware within sovereign and enterprise infrastructure plans.
Frontier AI labs are beginning to emphasise compute economics and margin structure, reflecting the growing importance of sustainable infrastructure utilisation.


[Wafer Watch] AI Is Scaling Physically Faster Than Its Economics Are Settling

AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly, The Physical Layer

The Physical Layer

AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly

A journal on the physical constraints behind the AI buildout: power, grid connection, data centres, cooling and the supply chains that gate them. Written to be understood by anyone.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Broadcom makes the switch chips that let thousands of AI processors work as one machine, whoever made the processors.</li><li>It also designs the custom AI chips that Google, Meta, OpenAI and others are building to rely less on Nvidia.</li><li>So whichever way the biggest buyers turn, the work runs through Broadcom, and the risk sits with a handful of very powerful customers.</li></ul>

Broadcom makes the switch chips that let thousands of AI processors work as one machine, whoever made the processors.It also designs the custom AI chips that Google, Meta, OpenAI and others are building to rely less on Nvidia.So whichever way the biggest buyers turn, the work runs through Broadcom, and the risk sits with a handful of very powerful customers.

Broadcom is paid whether the cloud giants stay with Nvidia or leave

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing, Sacra

Sacra

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing

Bringing transparency to private markets so investors, founders, and employees can build on conviction. Sacra delivers deeply researched insights on the private companies shaping tomorrow's markets. By surfacing the data, context, and operator perspective that are missing from private markets today, we help secondary buyers and sellers price equity accurately and unlock liquidity for the people building these businesses.

Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Sacra estimates that Lovable reached $600M in annualized revenue by September 2026, up 20% from $500M in May and 2.4x from $250M at the end of 2025.</li><li>Lovable was valued at $13.3B following its $400M Series C round led by Menlo Ventures and co-led by the Scaleup Europe Fund, managed by EQT, in August 2026.</li><li>Lovable monetizes through workspace subscriptions and usage-based credits.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates that Lovable reached $600M in annualized revenue by September 2026, up 20% from $500M in May and 2.4x from $250M at the end of 2025.Lovable was valued at $13.3B following its $400M Series C round led by Menlo Ventures and co-led by the Scaleup Europe Fund, managed by EQT, in August 2026.Lovable monetizes through workspace subscriptions and usage-based credits.

Data-driven Insight on Companies & Consumer Trends, TickerTrends

TickerTrends

Data-driven Insight on Companies & Consumer Trends

<ul><li>In 102 posts about Muse and competing tools, OpenAI was named most often (32 posts), followed by Google / Gemini (28) and Claude (15).</li><li>The posts show different levels of switching: 24 claimed a direct switch or reduced use of another tool, 6 expressed intent to switch, and 60 compared Muse with another tool on a task.</li><li>Some of those comparisons described choosing Muse for that task, even without claiming a broader switch. </li></ul>

In 102 posts about Muse and competing tools, OpenAI was named most often (32 posts), followed by Google / Gemini (28) and Claude (15).The posts show different levels of switching: 24 claimed a direct switch or reduced use of another tool, 6 expressed intent to switch, and 60 compared Muse with another tool on a task.Some of those comparisons described choosing Muse for that task, even without claiming a broader switch. 

Meta Muse: Switching Reports and Task Activity

United States

Anthropic, PBC operates as an AI safety and research company. The Company builds reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems. Anthropic serves customers in the United States.

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Anthropic (1892140D US)

[Wafer Watch] AI Is Scaling Physically Faster Than Its Economics Are Settling

Nvidia is expanding AI infra with external capital, AMD is focusing onestablishing presence in sovereign and enterprise plans, while Frontier AI...

Mint Finance

Broadcom is paid whether the cloud giants stay with Nvidia or leave

Broadcom makes the switch chips that let thousands of AI processors work as one machine, whoever made the processors. It also designs the custom...

The Physical Layer

Primer: Lovable - 28 Sep 2026

AI-powered editor for generating and visually editing full-stack web apps

Sacra

Meta Muse: Switching Reports and Task Activity

TickerTrends tracks which tools people say they are leaving for Muse and what they are using it to do. In 102 posts about Muse and competing tools,...

TickerTrends

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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AI Flow Private Pools Newsletter : Exploring Private Company Valuations in AI

Introducing AI Flow Private Pools Newsletter. Using data from PM Insights, we examine the monthly valuation changes in private companies in...

Water Tower Research

[Wafer Watch] AI Is Scaling Physically Faster Than Its Economics Are Settling

​Nvidia is expanding AI infra with external capital, AMD is focusing onestablishing presence in sovereign and enterprise plans, while Frontier AI...

Mint Finance

Broadcom is paid whether the cloud giants stay with Nvidia or leave

Broadcom makes the switch chips that let thousands of AI processors work as one machine, whoever made the processors. It also designs the custom...

The Physical Layer

Primer: Lovable - 28 Sep 2026

AI-powered editor for generating and visually editing full-stack web apps

Sacra

Meta Muse: Switching Reports and Task Activity

TickerTrends tracks which tools people say they are leaving for Muse and what they are using it to do. In 102 posts about Muse and competing tools,...

TickerTrends

Nvidia is expanding AI infra with external capital, AMD is focusing onestablishing presence in sovereign and enterprise plans, while Frontier AI...