Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. </li>
<li>The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. </li>
<li>We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. </li>
</ul>


We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. 
The bottom 5% market caps in KOSPI200 could be excluded from the KOSPI200 rebalance in June 2024. These 10 stocks are down on average 12.6% YTD. 
We identified seven potential inclusion candidates. Among them, those that have low PBR multiples including HHI and Dongwon Industries could continue to outperform the market leading up to rebalance announcement. 


An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

<ul>
<li>We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 51 stocks in Korea in March 2024, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 51 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in March and could underperform relative to the market.</li>
<li>The top five market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold include APR, WCP, DS Dansuk, GI Innovation, and Geolit Energy.</li>
</ul>


We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 51 stocks in Korea in March 2024, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.
These 51 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in March and could underperform relative to the market.
The top five market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold include APR, WCP, DS Dansuk, GI Innovation, and Geolit Energy.


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 51 Companies in Korea in March 2024

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a trading strategy for APR (278470 KS) which starts trading on 27 February. APR is the most anticipated IPO in Korea so far in 2024.</li>
<li>Our base case (6 months - 1 year) target price of APR is 370,809 won, which is 48% higher than the IPO price. </li>
<li><em><strong>We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+ from the IPO price on the first day.  </strong></em></li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a trading strategy for APR (278470 KS) which starts trading on 27 February. APR is the most anticipated IPO in Korea so far in 2024.
Our base case (6 months - 1 year) target price of APR is 370,809 won, which is 48% higher than the IPO price. 
We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+ from the IPO price on the first day.  


Trading Strategy of APR on the First Day of IPO

<ul>
<li>APR reported a very strong IPO book-building results. APR IPO price has been determined at 250,000 won, which is 25% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>A total of 1,969 institutional investors participated in this IPO book-building. The demand ratio was 663 to 1. APR IPO will start trading on 26 February. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of APR is target price of 370,809 won per share which represents a 48% upside from the IPO price of 250,000 won. </li>
</ul>


APR reported a very strong IPO book-building results. APR IPO price has been determined at 250,000 won, which is 25% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
A total of 1,969 institutional investors participated in this IPO book-building. The demand ratio was 663 to 1. APR IPO will start trading on 26 February. 
Our base case valuation of APR is target price of 370,809 won per share which represents a 48% upside from the IPO price of 250,000 won. 


<ul>
<li>APR announced it will delay its IPO. Now, APR's book building has been postponed to 2 to 8 February. The IPO price range remains the same.</li>
<li>The company has provided updated preliminary sales and operating profits for 2023 in the revised IPO prospectus. Revenue was a bit light but OP was better than expected in 4Q23.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of APR is 370,809 won per share which represents an 85% upside from the high end of the bankers' valuation range (200,000 won).</li>
</ul>


APR announced it will delay its IPO. Now, APR's book building has been postponed to 2 to 8 February. The IPO price range remains the same.
The company has provided updated preliminary sales and operating profits for 2023 in the revised IPO prospectus. Revenue was a bit light but OP was better than expected in 4Q23.
Our base case valuation of APR is 370,809 won per share which represents an 85% upside from the high end of the bankers' valuation range (200,000 won).


South Korea

APR Corporation of Korea operates cosmetics businesses. The Company develops and produces facial mask, lotion, elite fluid, and other products. APR also develops and manufactures beauty devices.

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APR (278470 KS)

An Update of the Potential KOSPI200 Rebalance Candidates in June 2024

We provide an update of the potential KOSPI200 rebalance candidates in June 2024. We identified seven potential inclusion candidates and 10...

Douglas Kim

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 51 Companies in Korea in March 2024

We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 51 stocks in Korea in March 2024, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 46 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

Trading Strategy of APR on the First Day of IPO

APR starts trading tomorrow. We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+...

Douglas Kim

APR IPO Book-Building Results Analysis

APR reported a very strong IPO book-building results. APR IPO price has been determined at 250,000 won, which is 25% higher than the high end of...

Douglas Kim

Why Is APR IPO Getting Delayed?

APR announced it will delay its IPO. Its book building has been postponed to 2 to 8 February. The IPO price range is the same. The company has...

Douglas Kim

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