Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth</li>
<li>Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.</li>
<li>Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend</li>
</ul>


We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth
Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.
Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend


Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.7% Premium, Has Remained Rangebound; Watching for Over 20% or Under 15%</li>
<li>UMC: +2% Premium, Upper End of Trading Range, Can Consider Shorting</li>
<li>ASE: +9.9% Premium; Spread Could Have Further Room to Bounce Higher</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.7% Premium, Has Remained Rangebound; Watching for Over 20% or Under 15%
UMC: +2% Premium, Upper End of Trading Range, Can Consider Shorting
ASE: +9.9% Premium; Spread Could Have Further Room to Bounce Higher


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.1% Premium, After Sharp Drop, Will Be Interesting to See If Spread Will Remain Within the Recent ~15-25% Range</li>
<li>ASE: +7.4% Premium; Can Consider Going Long the Spread Given Recent Trading Range</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -2.4% Discount Repesents Extreme Low of End of Range; Can Consider Going Long the Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.1% Premium, After Sharp Drop, Will Be Interesting to See If Spread Will Remain Within the Recent ~15-25% Range
ASE: +7.4% Premium; Can Consider Going Long the Spread Given Recent Trading Range
ChipMOS: -2.4% Discount Repesents Extreme Low of End of Range; Can Consider Going Long the Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +21.3% Premium; Trading at New +15-25% Range This Year</li>
<li>ASE: +12.7% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Fresh Short Level</li>
<li>CHT: +1.2% Premium; Good Level to Short Relative to History</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +21.3% Premium; Trading at New +15-25% Range This Year
ASE: +12.7% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Fresh Short Level
CHT: +1.2% Premium; Good Level to Short Relative to History


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +17% Premium; Has Remained Above 15% for Over Nearly Two Weeks</li>
<li>ASE: +11.8% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Range to Short From</li>
<li>CHT: +0.6% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread at Current Level</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +17% Premium; Has Remained Above 15% for Over Nearly Two Weeks
ASE: +11.8% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Range to Short From
CHT: +0.6% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread at Current Level


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ASE Technology Holding (ASX US)

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF $NVDA $AVGO $TSM $AMD $ASML $AAPL $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range

ASE and ChipMOS premiums have bounced from the lower end of their trading ranges and could have further room to go higher. TSMC has remained...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount

TSMC and ASE's ADR premiums have both dropped sharply. It will be interesting to see if TSMC's premium will drop further to below 15%. ChipMOS's...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Latest analysis for Taiwan ADR premiums including key levels to long or short the ADRs' premium or discount to their respective local Taiwan shares.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF $NVDA $AVGO $TSM $AMD $ASML $AAPL $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rangebound; UMC Hits Upper End of Range

ASE and ChipMOS premiums have bounced from the lower end of their trading ranges and could have further room to go higher. TSMC has remained...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC & ASE Premiums Drop Sharply; ChipMOS Extreme Discount

TSMC and ASE's ADR premiums have both dropped sharply. It will be interesting to see if TSMC's premium will drop further to below 15%. ChipMOS's...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Historically Extreme Premium Continues; CHT at Short Level Again

Latest analysis for Taiwan ADR premiums including key levels to long or short the ADRs' premium or discount to their respective local Taiwan shares.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

​TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...