AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly, The Physical Layer

The Physical Layer

AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly

A journal on the physical constraints behind the AI buildout: power, grid connection, data centres, cooling and the supply chains that gate them. Written to be understood by anyone.

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul><li>Almost every advanced AI chip, whoever designs it, is made by one company, TSMC, mostly in Taiwan.</li><li>Its chief executive says those factories, not electricity, are what limits AI today, and the company's own numbers show why: a new chip factory takes years to build and more years to fill.</li><li>That is a fair point, and it changes how long I think the chip side of the shortage lasts.</li></ul>

Almost every advanced AI chip, whoever designs it, is made by one company, TSMC, mostly in Taiwan.Its chief executive says those factories, not electricity, are what limits AI today, and the company's own numbers show why: a new chip factory takes years to build and more years to fill.That is a fair point, and it changes how long I think the chip side of the shortage lasts.

TSMC's chief says the AI bottleneck is its factories, not the power grid

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,357.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus Interconnect Technology, ASE Industrial, PharmaEssentia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 24th. The aggregated holding was USD2,357.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus Interconnect Technology, ASE Industrial, PharmaEssentia.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial, Nan Ya Plastics, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD41.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial, Nan Ya Plastics, Wistron.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 25th): Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated holding was USD2,281.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,372mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 18th. The aggregated holding was USD2,281.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,372mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 18th): Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

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ASE Technology Holding (3711 TT)

TSMC's chief says the AI bottleneck is its factories, not the power grid

Almost every advanced AI chip, whoever designs it, is made by one company, TSMC, mostly in Taiwan. Its chief executive says those factories, not...

The Physical Layer

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 24th): MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in MediaTek, Unimicron Technology, Kinsus...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 25th): Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE Industrial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Zhen Ding Technology, ASE...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 18th): Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan Ya Plastics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Wistron, TSMC, MediaTek, Nanya Technology, Nan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)