IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124040" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124122" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-valuation-first-look" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124635" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look</a>. </li>
<li>We revise our forecasts to reflect the FY23 preliminary estimates and long-term growth targets. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is fairly valued at the IPO price range. </li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range.
We previously discussed the IPO in Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case, Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case and Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look. 
We revise our forecasts to reflect the FY23 preliminary estimates and long-term growth targets. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is fairly valued at the IPO price range. 


Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124040" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124122" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential valuation range.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion.
We previously discussed the IPO in Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case and Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential valuation range.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise US$2 billion.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124040" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on ball &amp; racquet sports’ deteriorating performance, EBIT margin not materially improving under the consortium’s ownership, cash burn and high leverage.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise US$2 billion.
In Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on ball &amp; racquet sports’ deteriorating performance, EBIT margin not materially improving under the consortium’s ownership, cash burn and high leverage.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise US$2 billion.</li>
<li>In 2019, a consortium of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>, FountainVest, Anamered Investments and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> acquired Amer at an EV of €5.5 billion.  </li>
<li>The bull case rests on the rapid growth and gross margin improvement under the consortium's ownership, along with technical apparel and outdoor performance’s improving revenue and margin profile. </li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise US$2 billion.
In 2019, a consortium of Anta Sports Products (2020 HK), FountainVest, Anamered Investments and Tencent (700 HK) acquired Amer at an EV of €5.5 billion.  
The bull case rests on the rapid growth and gross margin improvement under the consortium's ownership, along with technical apparel and outdoor performance’s improving revenue and margin profile. 


Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS: US stocks +0.6% - its all macro at the moment - higher interest rates, oil price volatility; US 30y mortgage rates now at 7.3%; Nike earnings beat </li>
<li>JAPAN: NKY Futures +0.4% vs cash. Toyota Aug production +4%; EPCOs to lower residential electricity prices; Sony's Game unit gets new interim boss. </li>
<li>JAPAN X: Daikin's concerns about the UK Government backtracking on its climate pledge highlight our concerns over heat pump adoption</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS: US stocks +0.6% - its all macro at the moment - higher interest rates, oil price volatility; US 30y mortgage rates now at 7.3%; Nike earnings beat 
JAPAN: NKY Futures +0.4% vs cash. Toyota Aug production +4%; EPCOs to lower residential electricity prices; Sony's Game unit gets new interim boss. 
JAPAN X: Daikin's concerns about the UK Government backtracking on its climate pledge highlight our concerns over heat pump adoption


Ohayo Japan: Stocks & SOX Higher; JapanX - Delayed UK Climate Plans Threaten Heat Pump Adoption

Japan

ASICS CORPORATION manufactures general sporting goods and equipment.  The Company's products, such as athletic shoes and sportswear, are distributed in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Asia.

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ASICS Corp (7936 JP)

Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look

Amer has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on ball and racquet sports’ deteriorating performance, EBIT margin not materially improving under the consortium’s ownership,...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on the rapid growth and gross margin improvement under the consortium's ownership, along with technical apparel and outdoor...

Arun George

Ohayo Japan: Stocks & SOX Higher; JapanX - Delayed UK Climate Plans Threaten Heat Pump Adoption

US stocks rise despite concerns over higher interest rates; Nike earnings exceed expectations. In Japan, Toyota's production increases and EPCOs...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look

Amer has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on ball and racquet sports’ deteriorating performance, EBIT margin not materially improving under the consortium’s ownership,...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on the rapid growth and gross margin improvement under the consortium's ownership, along with technical apparel and outdoor...

Arun George

Ohayo Japan: Stocks & SOX Higher; JapanX - Delayed UK Climate Plans Threaten Heat Pump Adoption

​US stocks rise despite concerns over higher interest rates; Nike earnings exceed expectations. In Japan, Toyota's production increases and EPCOs...

Mark Chadwick

US stocks rise despite concerns over higher interest rates; Nike earnings exceed expectations. In Japan, Toyota's production increases and EPCOs...