Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan's SPE rebound yesterday led by Lasertec -10% may be short lived.</li>
<li>However, NVDA's week-long developers conference from Monday may act as dip buying catalyst.</li>
<li>Still room for EU related plays to gain with many related names inherently defensive.</li>
</ul>


Japan's SPE rebound yesterday led by Lasertec -10% may be short lived.
However, NVDA's week-long developers conference from Monday may act as dip buying catalyst.
Still room for EU related plays to gain with many related names inherently defensive.


Japan Morning Connection: Bloodbath for Tech and Continued Pivot from Growth to Value

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.
$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.
We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.


Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

<ul>
<li>Yesterday saw a notable rotation out of recent momentum winners in Japan towards oversold quality such as SPE.</li>
<li>EU defence names generally stronger on concerns over Trumps Greenland/Denmark comments may be mild positive for JP heavies.</li>
<li>Power semi weakness in the US at least partially over news Renesas is cutting workforce on weak auto chip sales.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday saw a notable rotation out of recent momentum winners in Japan towards oversold quality such as SPE.
EU defence names generally stronger on concerns over Trumps Greenland/Denmark comments may be mild positive for JP heavies.
Power semi weakness in the US at least partially over news Renesas is cutting workforce on weak auto chip sales.


Japan Morning Connection: Can JP Semi-Cap Names Continue to Buck the US Tech Weakness?

<ul>
<li>Big AI related capex announced for MSFT should help buoy tech to start.</li>
<li>Room for SPE once deemed as China plays to rebound on sales diversification.</li>
<li>2024 was a big year for momentum plays and US stock moves so far seem to point to more of the same.</li>
</ul>


Big AI related capex announced for MSFT should help buoy tech to start.
Room for SPE once deemed as China plays to rebound on sales diversification.
2024 was a big year for momentum plays and US stock moves so far seem to point to more of the same.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Winners Leading Higher to Start the Year

<ul>
<li>Tech and semi's continuing to favor AI over power/analog post Marvell and Microchip numbers.</li>
<li>Worth paying attention to less known Japanese SPE Shibaura Mechatronics and the long lost Towa.</li>
<li>US Homebuilders weak on concern over Trump's plans to deport undocumented workers.</li>
</ul>


Tech and semi's continuing to favor AI over power/analog post Marvell and Microchip numbers.
Worth paying attention to less known Japanese SPE Shibaura Mechatronics and the long lost Towa.
US Homebuilders weak on concern over Trump's plans to deport undocumented workers.


Japan Morning Connection: Buy Momentum at All Costs in Japan Set to Continue?

Japan

ASICS CORPORATION manufactures general sporting goods and equipment.  The Company's products, such as athletic shoes and sportswear, are distributed in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Asia.

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ASICS Corp (7936 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Bloodbath for Tech and Continued Pivot from Growth to Value

Japan's SPE rebound may be short-lived, but NVDA's conference could boost AI related names. EU-related plays still have room to gain with pivot...

Andrew Jackson

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI $ACWI ex-US and $EAFE; U.S. Dollar $DXY and 10-Year Yields $TNX...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Can JP Semi-Cap Names Continue to Buck the US Tech Weakness?

Rotation from momentum winners into oversold quality such as SPE, EU defense name strength may be positive for JP heavies, US power semi weakness...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Winners Leading Higher to Start the Year

MSFT's announced AI investment should buoy tech, potential for previously China SPE as they diversify, US stocks pointing to big momentum plays .

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Buy Momentum at All Costs in Japan Set to Continue?

Tech and semi's continue to favour AI over power/analog, some rotation into lesser known JP SPE, US Homebuilders weak over Trump's deportation plans.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Bloodbath for Tech and Continued Pivot from Growth to Value

​Japan's SPE rebound may be short-lived, but NVDA's conference could boost AI related names. EU-related plays still have room to gain with pivot...

Andrew Jackson

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI $ACWI ex-US and $EAFE; U.S. Dollar $DXY and 10-Year Yields $TNX...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Can JP Semi-Cap Names Continue to Buck the US Tech Weakness?

Rotation from momentum winners into oversold quality such as SPE, EU defense name strength may be positive for JP heavies, US power semi weakness...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: AI Winners Leading Higher to Start the Year

​MSFT's announced AI investment should buoy tech, potential for previously China SPE as they diversify, US stocks pointing to big momentum plays .

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Buy Momentum at All Costs in Japan Set to Continue?

​Tech and semi's continue to favour AI over power/analog, some rotation into lesser known JP SPE, US Homebuilders weak over Trump's deportation plans.

Andrew Jackson

Japan's SPE rebound may be short-lived, but NVDA's conference could boost AI related names. EU-related plays still have room to gain with pivot...

MSFT's announced AI investment should buoy tech, potential for previously China SPE as they diversify, US stocks pointing to big momentum plays .

Tech and semi's continue to favour AI over power/analog, some rotation into lesser known JP SPE, US Homebuilders weak over Trump's deportation plans.