Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SP Select Sector indices are a family of 11 sector-specific indices derived from the SP 500 index based on GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) classifications.</li>
<li>Intra-Review changes from two M&amp;A deals and a spin-off could trigger Select Sector flows before the December 2026 rebalance.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flows of ~US$7bn across the Select Sector indices, which should grow as the December 2026 rebalance approaches.</li>
</ul>


The SP Select Sector indices are a family of 11 sector-specific indices derived from the SP 500 index based on GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard) classifications.
Intra-Review changes from two M&amp;A deals and a spin-off could trigger Select Sector flows before the December 2026 rebalance.
We expect one-way flows of ~US$7bn across the Select Sector indices, which should grow as the December 2026 rebalance approaches.


Quiddity Leaderboard SP Select Sector Dec26 Rebal: ~US$7bn One-Way Flow, Expected To Grow

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks</li>
<li>The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks
The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin


High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

Podcast from BlackRock, The Bid

The Bid

Podcast from BlackRock

The Bid breaks down what’s happening in the world of investing and explores the forces changing the economy and finance. From stock market outlooks and megatrends to geopolitics and technology, BlackRock speaks to thought leaders and industry experts from around the globe about the biggest trends moving markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Tony and Michael, portfolio managers at BlackRock, reflect on their recent tech tour in San Francisco and Silicon Valley, highlighting the rapid progress and efficiencies AI is creating.</li><li>AI has evolved from chatbots to super intelligence, with companies now exploring AI applications in various sectors of the market.</li><li>Investment opportunities in AI are primarily focused on infrastructure, but opportunities are expanding across different layers of the technology stack.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Tony and Michael, portfolio managers at BlackRock, reflect on their recent tech tour in San Francisco and Silicon Valley, highlighting the rapid progress and efficiencies AI is creating.AI has evolved from chatbots to super intelligence, with companies now exploring AI applications in various sectors of the market.Investment opportunities in AI are primarily focused on infrastructure, but opportunities are expanding across different layers of the technology stack.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

230: AI At The Frontier: A Stock Picker's Take on AI Investing

<ul>
<li>As discussed for two weeks, we see more and more signs leading us to believe SPX made a major bottom at 4800-4820, which was expected support from our 4/8/25 Compass.</li>
<li>We have been short-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass -- when the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support -- but now we are upgrading our intermediate-term outlook to bullish as well.</li>
<li>Our short- and intermediate-term outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500</li>
</ul>


As discussed for two weeks, we see more and more signs leading us to believe SPX made a major bottom at 4800-4820, which was expected support from our 4/8/25 Compass.
We have been short-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass -- when the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support -- but now we are upgrading our intermediate-term outlook to bullish as well.
Our short- and intermediate-term outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500


Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on SPX, Now Upgrading I.T. Outlook to Bullish Also

<ul>
<li>The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>The rankings used for the September 2026 index rebal event will be based on yesterday's (2 September 2026) opening prices. The announcement will be made after the close on Friday.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs (along with a tracker of all live spinoff/M&amp;A events which affect the index the next few quarters).</li>
</ul>


The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
The rankings used for the September 2026 index rebal event will be based on yesterday's (2 September 2026) opening prices. The announcement will be made after the close on Friday.
In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs (along with a tracker of all live spinoff/M&amp;A events which affect the index the next few quarters).


Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Sep26 Rebal: Final Expectations

United States

Astera Labs, Inc. provides semiconductor-based connectivity solutions. The Company develops and deploys intelligent connectivity platforms built for cloud and AI infrastructure. Astera Labs serves customers in the United States, Canada, China, Taiwan, and Israel.

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Astera Labs (ALAB US)

Quiddity Leaderboard SP Select Sector Dec26 Rebal: ~US$7bn One-Way Flow, Expected To Grow

Intra-review changes from two M&A deals and a spin-off could trigger early flows in the Select Sector indices, while the December rebalance one-way...

Anjana Amarasuriya

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM. $ARKK $URA $HYDR $IONQ $OKLO $BBAI...

Vermilion Research

230: AI At The Frontier: A Stock Picker's Take on AI Investing

Tony and Michael, portfolio managers at BlackRock, reflect on their recent tech tour in San Francisco and Silicon Valley, highlighting the rapid...

The Bid

Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on SPX, Now Upgrading I.T. Outlook to Bullish Also

Lockout Rally Continues; Still Short-Term Bullish on $SPX, Now Also Upgrading Intermediate-Term Outlook to Bullish; Upgrading Technology $XLK $SMH...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Sep26 Rebal: Final Expectations

Two ADDs, two DELs for the September 2026 S&P 500 rebalance. Bloom Energy and Twilio lead the ADDs race. But the committee may skip Non-1500 entirely.

Anjana Amarasuriya

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