Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>AS51 broke out of a tight multi day range Friday with one of the strongest moves of the year.</li>
<li>Relative performance versus SPX has begun to improve, hinting at a potential shift after prolonged underperformance.</li>
<li>SPASX200 1-month implied vol remains pinned near historic lows which could provide an interesting setup into year end.</li>
</ul>


AS51 broke out of a tight multi day range Friday with one of the strongest moves of the year.
Relative performance versus SPX has begun to improve, hinting at a potential shift after prolonged underperformance.
SPASX200 1-month implied vol remains pinned near historic lows which could provide an interesting setup into year end.


Australia Single Stock Options (Dec 08–12): AS51 Escapes Range as Relative Performance Vs SPX Turns

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36929:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW US)</a> will stop trading on the NASDAQ after the close on 12 November and the sole primary listing will move to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Index trackers will need to sell a lot of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36929:1" rel="noopener">Light&amp;Wonder (LNW US)</a> at the close on 12 November. The buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light&amp;Wonder (LNW AU)</a> is a lot smaller.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU)</a> trades at a much lower forward PE compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aristocrat-leisure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10303:1" rel="noopener">Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU)</a> and there could be a re-rating over the medium-term.</li>
</ul>



Light &amp; Wonder (LNW US) will stop trading on the NASDAQ after the close on 12 November and the sole primary listing will move to Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU). 
Index trackers will need to sell a lot of Light&amp;Wonder (LNW US) at the close on 12 November. The buying in Light&amp;Wonder (LNW AU) is a lot smaller.

Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU) trades at a much lower forward PE compared to Aristocrat Leisure (ALL AU) and there could be a re-rating over the medium-term.


Light & Wonder (LNW AU): Index Implications of NASDAQ Delisting & ASX Primary Listing

DigiCo Infrastructure REIT / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digico-infrastructure-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44091:1" rel="noopener">DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU)</a> will be added to a global sector index at the close on 19 September while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healthco-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34150:1" rel="noopener">HealthCo REIT (HCW AU)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>Estimated passive buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digico-infrastructure-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44091:1" rel="noopener">DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU)</a> is US$32m while the passive selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healthco-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34150:1" rel="noopener">HealthCo REIT (HCW AU)</a> is estimated to be US$7m.</li>
<li>Shorts have increased in both stocks. There could be short covering in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digico-infrastructure-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44091:1" rel="noopener">DigiCo Infrastructure REIT</a> followed by new shorts, while shorts could look to cover <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healthco-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34150:1" rel="noopener">HealthCo REIT</a> as passives sell.</li>
</ul>



DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU) will be added to a global sector index at the close on 19 September while HealthCo REIT (HCW AU) will be deleted.
Estimated passive buying in DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU) is US$32m while the passive selling in HealthCo REIT (HCW AU) is estimated to be US$7m.
Shorts have increased in both stocks. There could be short covering in DigiCo Infrastructure REIT followed by new shorts, while shorts could look to cover HealthCo REIT as passives sell.


DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU) And HealthCo REIT (HCW AU): Passive Flows

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.</li>
<li>If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast no inclusions to the index in September. There could be up to 3 deletions at the review though.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade of A$232m.
If there are 3 deletes as forecast, one-way turnover increases to 6.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of A$384m.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

National Securities Depository / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>National Securities Depository Limited <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-securities-depository-ltd-nsdl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39939:1" rel="noopener">NSDL (NSDL IN)</a> raised around US$460m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


National Securities Depository Limited NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO.
It is the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO Trading - Strong Demand, Set for a Pop

Australia

ASX Ltd is a demutualized company which operates Australia's primary national stock exchange and equity derivatives market. The ASX operates markets for equities, derivatives, fixed-interest securities and capital-raising for unlisted companies using advanced computer systems for both trading and settlement.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ASX Ltd (ASX AU)

Australia Single Stock Options (Dec 08–12): AS51 Escapes Range as Relative Performance Vs SPX Turns

AS51 shows strong breakout, improving relative performance against SPX, low volatility may set up interesting year-end opportunity.

John Ley

Light & Wonder (LNW AU): Index Implications of NASDAQ Delisting & ASX Primary Listing

Light&Wonder stops trading on the NASDAQ after 12 Nov and becomes an ASX primary listing. Big passive selling in November followed by smaller...

Brian Freitas

DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU) And HealthCo REIT (HCW AU): Passive Flows

DigiCo Infrastructure REIT will be added to a global sector index at the close on 19 September while HealthCo REIT will be deleted. Shorts have...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

We do not forecast any inclusions but there could be 3 deletions. Just capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO Trading - Strong Demand, Set for a Pop

National Securities Depository Limited NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Australia Single Stock Options (Dec 08–12): AS51 Escapes Range as Relative Performance Vs SPX Turns

​AS51 shows strong breakout, improving relative performance against SPX, low volatility may set up interesting year-end opportunity.

John Ley

Light & Wonder (LNW AU): Index Implications of NASDAQ Delisting & ASX Primary Listing

Light&Wonder stops trading on the NASDAQ after 12 Nov and becomes an ASX primary listing. Big passive selling in November followed by smaller...

Brian Freitas

DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU) And HealthCo REIT (HCW AU): Passive Flows

DigiCo Infrastructure REIT will be added to a global sector index at the close on 19 September while HealthCo REIT will be deleted. Shorts have...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Deletions in September

We do not forecast any inclusions but there could be 3 deletions. Just capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.8% and a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) IPO Trading - Strong Demand, Set for a Pop

National Securities Depository Limited NSDL (NSDL IN) raised around US$460m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

AS51 shows strong breakout, improving relative performance against SPX, low volatility may set up interesting year-end opportunity.