Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatland-gold-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44285:1" rel="noopener">Greatland Resources (GGP AU)</a> started trading on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asx-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:552:1" rel="noopener">ASX Ltd (ASX AU)</a> on 24 June after selling shares worth A$504m in a primary and secondary offering across Australia/UK.</li>
<li>Greatland has a full market cap of A$4.9bn and a high free float since <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatland-gold-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44285:1" rel="noopener">Greatland Gold Plc (GGP LN)</a> was listed on the AIM market of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/london-stock-exchange-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22034:1" rel="noopener">London Stock Exchange</a>.</li>
<li>Given the large market cap and high float, the stock could be added to multiple indices over the next few months.</li>
</ul>



Greatland Resources (GGP AU) started trading on the ASX Ltd (ASX AU) on 24 June after selling shares worth A$504m in a primary and secondary offering across Australia/UK.
Greatland has a full market cap of A$4.9bn and a high free float since Greatland Gold Plc (GGP LN) was listed on the AIM market of the London Stock Exchange.
Given the large market cap and high float, the stock could be added to multiple indices over the next few months.


Greatland Resources (GGP AU): Big Index Inclusions for Recent IPO

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capricorn-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10775:1" rel="noopener">Capricorn Metals (CMM AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-re" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30999:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Re (MVR AU)</a> in June.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 8% and a round-trip trade of A$49m.</li>
<li>There has been short covering in both adds over the last couple of years. While short interest is relatively smaller in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capricorn-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10775:1" rel="noopener">Capricorn Metals</a>, it is much higher in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals</a>.</li>
</ul>



Capricorn Metals (CMM AU) and Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) will be added to the Vaneck Vectors Australian Re (MVR AU) in June.
Constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 8% and a round-trip trade of A$49m.
There has been short covering in both adds over the last couple of years. While short interest is relatively smaller in Capricorn Metals, it is much higher in Genesis Minerals.


MV Australia Resources Index Rebalance: Two Adds, Float & Capping Changes

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-australia-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:814:1" rel="noopener">Virgin Australia Holdings (VGN AU)</a> is looking to raise A$685m in a secondary offering, valuing the company at A$2.27bn. The stock is expected to start trading on 24 June.</li>
<li>Bain Capital and management are escrowed on their shares till early 2026. There is no escrow for Qatar Airways, but they have indicated that their shareholding is strategic.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-australia-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:814:1" rel="noopener">Virgin Australia Holdings (VGN AU)</a> could be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index in September and there could be global index inclusions in November and December.</li>
</ul>



Virgin Australia Holdings (VGN AU) is looking to raise A$685m in a secondary offering, valuing the company at A$2.27bn. The stock is expected to start trading on 24 June.
Bain Capital and management are escrowed on their shares till early 2026. There is no escrow for Qatar Airways, but they have indicated that their shareholding is strategic.

Virgin Australia Holdings (VGN AU) could be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index in September and there could be global index inclusions in November and December.


Virgin Australia (VGN AU): Touch & Go for Index Inclusion

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 23rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Goodman, ANZ, Asx.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 23rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Goodman, ANZ, Asx.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 23rd): National Australia Bank, Goodman, ANZ, Asx

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 16th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Santos.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 16th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources, Sigma Pharmaceuticals, Santos.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources

Australia

ASX Ltd is a demutualized company which operates Australia's primary national stock exchange and equity derivatives market. The ASX operates markets for equities, derivatives, fixed-interest securities and capital-raising for unlisted companies using advanced computer systems for both trading and settlement.

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ASX Ltd (ASX AU)

Greatland Resources (GGP AU): Big Index Inclusions for Recent IPO

Greatland Resources listed on the ASX after A$504m was raised via a primary+secondary issue in AU/UK. Free float market cap over A$3bn should...

Brian Freitas

MV Australia Resources Index Rebalance: Two Adds, Float & Capping Changes

The 2 adds and float/capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 8% and a round-trip trade of A$49m. Shorts have been covering both adds, but...

Brian Freitas

Virgin Australia (VGN AU): Touch & Go for Index Inclusion

Bain Capital is looking to raise A$685m, valuing Virgin Straya at A$2.3bn. Float is close to 30%. ASX300 inclusion in Sep is likely while global...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 23rd): National Australia Bank, Goodman, ANZ, Asx

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in National Australia Bank, Goodman, ANZ, Asx.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Asx, Westpac, Northern Star Resources, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)