Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&amp;P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We continue to see this low and  the 200-day moving average as critical support levels should there be a retest. After a quick recovery from these lows, the S&amp;P 500 has paused near the 50-day moving average, a logical resting area as the market determines its next move. </li><li>In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Technology, all relating to software and the attractiveness of dependable recurring revenues: Software; Enterprise Applications, E-Commerce, Education, and Customer Relationship Mgt. (CRM).</li></ul>

We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&amp;P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We continue to see this low and  the 200-day moving average as critical support levels should there be a retest. After a quick recovery from these lows, the S&amp;P 500 has paused near the 50-day moving average, a logical resting area as the market determines its next move. In today’s report we highlight attractive and actionable groups within Technology, all relating to software and the attractiveness of dependable recurring revenues: Software; Enterprise Applications, E-Commerce, Education, and Customer Relationship Mgt. (CRM).

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>One active M&amp;A deal could trigger an intra-review ADD. Shareholders have already approved the deal.</li>
<li>We expect three changes and around US$5bn one-way flow for Nasdaq 100 in the June index rebal event and another $2bn in one-way flows on the intra-review change.</li>
</ul>


The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.
One active M&amp;A deal could trigger an intra-review ADD. Shareholders have already approved the deal.
We expect three changes and around US$5bn one-way flow for Nasdaq 100 in the June index rebal event and another $2bn in one-way flows on the intra-review change.


Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Jun26 Rebal: Three Regular ADDs/DELs; US$7bn in One-Way Flows

<ul>
<li>The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming quarterly rebalance in June 2026 and for the annual reconstitution in December 2026.</li>
<li>There is one imminent intra-review change before the upcoming June rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming quarterly rebalance in June 2026 and for the annual reconstitution in December 2026.
There is one imminent intra-review change before the upcoming June rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard NASDAQ 100 Jun26 Rebal: TWO Regular ADDs/DELs + ONE Intra-Review Change Coming

<ul>
<li>The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed in the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming annual reconstitution in December 2026 and flow expectations for the quarterly weight rebalance in March 2026.</li>
<li>We also discuss the pending Nasdaq methodology consultation/review which, if adopted, could result in multiple Fast Entry ADDs in the next year.</li>
</ul>


The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed in the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming annual reconstitution in December 2026 and flow expectations for the quarterly weight rebalance in March 2026.
We also discuss the pending Nasdaq methodology consultation/review which, if adopted, could result in multiple Fast Entry ADDs in the next year.


[Quiddity Index] NASDAQ 100 Dec26 Rebal: Early Predictions & Potential Methodology Change

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>GitLab Inc. is a complete DevSecOps platform delivered as a single application that empowers organizations to maximize the overall return on software development.</li>
<li>In October 2021, one the largest all-remote companies in the world completed an initial public offering at $77/share, raising $801M at ~$11B valuation.</li>
<li>The stock peaked at $137 in 2021 and fell ~71% over the next 4 years. The underperformance was driven by investor concerns around slowing revenue growth, competition and AI monetization.</li>
</ul>


GitLab Inc. is a complete DevSecOps platform delivered as a single application that empowers organizations to maximize the overall return on software development.
In October 2021, one the largest all-remote companies in the world completed an initial public offering at $77/share, raising $801M at ~$11B valuation.
The stock peaked at $137 in 2021 and fell ~71% over the next 4 years. The underperformance was driven by investor concerns around slowing revenue growth, competition and AI monetization.


2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

United States

Atlassian Corporation provides technology solutions. The Company designs and develops enterprise software platform for project management, collaboration, issue tracking, integration, deployment, and support services. Atlassian serves customers worldwide.

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Atlassian (TEAM US)

U.S. Equity Strategy

We believe the intraday low of 2,532.69 made by the S&P 500 on 2/9/18 marked an important short-term bottom within the long-term advance. We...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Jun26 Rebal: Three Regular ADDs/DELs; US$7bn in One-Way Flows

Three expected changes in the June 2026 Nasdaq 100 rebalance, an active M&A deal in play, and a SpaceX inclusion expected by late July.

Anjana Amarasuriya

Quiddity Leaderboard NASDAQ 100 Jun26 Rebal: TWO Regular ADDs/DELs + ONE Intra-Review Change Coming

New methodology introduces quarterly constituent reviews alongside weight adjustments, but even before it takes effect, we expect one intra-review...

Anjana Amarasuriya

[Quiddity Index] NASDAQ 100 Dec26 Rebal: Early Predictions & Potential Methodology Change

SpaceX is on the verge of filing its IPO paperwork, while Nasdaq has yet to announce the outcome of its February 2026 consultation on proposed...

Anjana Amarasuriya

2026 High Conviction: GitLab Inc., Undervalued With Duo Agent Platform Growth Upside/M&A Optionality

GitLab Inc., the leading DevSecOps platform provider that delivers software faster and efficiently, is my 2026 high conviction idea in the U.S....

Andrei Zakharov

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