External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Q1FY25 Pharma Coverage Performance: In Q1FY25, the Pharma Coverage universe posted robust revenue growth of 11%/4% YoY/QoQ, driven by a strong domestic market, new launches (especially Darunavir, DDR D, gMyrbetriq, and gSpiriva), lower price erosion, gross margin expansion through cost optimization, and growth in the US base business portfolio.</li><li>EBITDA margin improved by a healthy ~250bps/120bps YoY/QoQ amidst normalizing cost inflation and stabilizing prices.</li><li>US Base Business Momentum: The US base business maintained healthy momentum, with new product launches offsetting single-digit price erosion.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1FY25 Pharma Coverage Performance: In Q1FY25, the Pharma Coverage universe posted robust revenue growth of 11%/4% YoY/QoQ, driven by a strong domestic market, new launches (especially Darunavir, DDR D, gMyrbetriq, and gSpiriva), lower price erosion, gross margin expansion through cost optimization, and growth in the US base business portfolio.EBITDA margin improved by a healthy ~250bps/120bps YoY/QoQ amidst normalizing cost inflation and stabilizing prices.US Base Business Momentum: The US base business maintained healthy momentum, with new product launches offsetting single-digit price erosion.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Aurobindo Pharma: EBITDA (+41% YoY) was in line with our/consensus estimates as 10% sales growth (-3% QoQ US, +8% EU, and +53% YoY in growth markets), higher gross margin (+544 bps YoY), was offset by higher staff (+13%) and SG&amp;A (+22% ex-R&amp;D – remediation cost of USD 9 mn and Pen-G plant opex, R&amp;D was -13% YoY)</li><li>ARBP expects (1) steady growth in the US oral solid, led by new launches and volume gain, (2) specialty/injectable to improve QoQ and it targets reach USD 600 mn sales globally in FY25 (~USD 141 mn in Q1FY25), (3) EU sales at Euro 880-900 mn on new launch visibility, (4) EBITDA margin of 21-22% in FY25 (21.4% in Q1) on reduction in remediation spend and Pen-G plant scale-up led leverage, and (5) tax rate at 27-28% in FY25</li><li>Factoring Q1, we have raised our EPS by 3/2% for FY25/26E and revise the TP to INR 1,520 (20x Q1FY27E from 18x)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aurobindo Pharma: EBITDA (+41% YoY) was in line with our/consensus estimates as 10% sales growth (-3% QoQ US, +8% EU, and +53% YoY in growth markets), higher gross margin (+544 bps YoY), was offset by higher staff (+13%) and SG&amp;A (+22% ex-R&amp;D – remediation cost of USD 9 mn and Pen-G plant opex, R&amp;D was -13% YoY)ARBP expects (1) steady growth in the US oral solid, led by new launches and volume gain, (2) specialty/injectable to improve QoQ and it targets reach USD 600 mn sales globally in FY25 (~USD 141 mn in Q1FY25), (3) EU sales at Euro 880-900 mn on new launch visibility, (4) EBITDA margin of 21-22% in FY25 (21.4% in Q1) on reduction in remediation spend and Pen-G plant scale-up led leverage, and (5) tax rate at 27-28% in FY25Factoring Q1, we have raised our EPS by 3/2% for FY25/26E and revise the TP to INR 1,520 (20x Q1FY27E from 18x)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Aurobindo Pharma, Berger Paints, Metro Brands

HSIE Results Daily: Aurobindo Pharma, Berger Paints, Metro Brands, Aarti Industries

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.</li>
<li>Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.
Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."


Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

<ul>
<li>We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.</li>
<li>Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)</li>
</ul>


We believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and we would look for an important low to be made near the U.S. election.
Supports to watch continue to be $110 on $ACWI and $41-42 on MSCI EM $EEM, and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
Primary reasons for this bearish expectation include major bullish RS inflections for defensive Sectors, and bearish price action in the U.S. (SPX), Japan (TOPIX/Nikkei 225), and Europe (EURO STOXX 50)


Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

India

Aurobindo Pharma is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical manufacturing company that develops, manufactures, and commercializes a wide range of generic pharmaceuticals, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), and specialty formulations. The company's product portfolio covers therapeutic areas including antibiotics, anti-retrovirals, cardiovascular, central nervous system, gastroenterologicals, anti-allergics, oncology, and dermatology. It commenced operations in 1988-1989 with a single unit manufacturing semi-synthetic penicillin in Puducherry. Headquartered in Hyderabad, Telangana, India, the company was founded in 1986.

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Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)

Top Sector Ideas Pharma - (Q1FY25)

n Q1FY25, the Pharma Coverage universe posted robust revenue growth of 11%/4% YoY/QoQ, driven by a strong domestic market

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Aurobindo Pharma, Berger Paints, Metro Brands

EBITDA (+41% YoY) was in line with our/consensus estimates as 10% sales growth (-3% QoQ US, +8% EU, and +53% YoY in growth markets)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Aurobindo Pharma, Berger Paints, Metro Brands, Aarti Industries

EBITDA (+41% YoY) was in line with our/consensus estimates as 10% sales growth (-3% QoQ US, +8% EU, and +53% YoY in growth markets), higher gross...

HDFC Securities

Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Downgrading Japan TOPIX, Nikkei; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI $EEM to Neutral; Many Risk-Off Signals increase odds...

Vermilion Research

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives; More Countries With Improving Price and RS Trends

Pullback Continues $ACWI; Stick With Defensives. We continue to believe a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing, and would look for an...

Vermilion Research

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