Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Crown and Blackstone have entered a Scheme Implementation Deed under which Blackstone will acquire all shares in Crown Resorts at a cash price of A$13.1/share.</li>
<li>Crown Resorts closed at A$12.64/share on 14 February. Assuming the cash payment is received by mid June , the return is 3.64% absolute and 10.92% annualised.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a> could be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index in May, while the merged HDN AU/ AVN AU entity could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a>.</li>
</ul>


Crown and Blackstone have entered a Scheme Implementation Deed under which Blackstone will acquire all shares in Crown Resorts at a cash price of A$13.1/share.
Crown Resorts closed at A$12.64/share on 14 February. Assuming the cash payment is received by mid June , the return is 3.64% absolute and 10.92% annualised.

Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU) could be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index in May, while the merged HDN AU/ AVN AU entity could be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 200.


Crown Resorts (CWN AU): And Blackstone (Almost) Has It; Index Implications

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>BGH has filed an <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02482688_PS-2A1354502?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">application</a> with the Takeover Panel over, inter alia, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a> granting exclusivity to CapVest.</li>
<li>This application is similar in nature to the one filed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apa-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18658:1" rel="noopener">APA Group (APA AU)</a> last year after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnet-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10293:1" rel="noopener">AusNet Services (AST AU)</a> granted Brookfield exclusivity in a competitive bidding stoush.</li>
<li>Virtus is currently trading at a gross spread of ~5.0% to the Scheme price, 3.6% to the Alternative Offer, and 1.8% above BGH's terms. </li>
</ul>


BGH has filed an application with the Takeover Panel over, inter alia, Virtus Health (VRT AU) granting exclusivity to CapVest.
This application is similar in nature to the one filed by APA Group (APA AU) last year after AusNet Services (AST AU) granted Brookfield exclusivity in a competitive bidding stoush.
Virtus is currently trading at a gross spread of ~5.0% to the Scheme price, 3.6% to the Alternative Offer, and 1.8% above BGH's terms. 


BGH Lodges Application With The Takeovers Panel Over CapVest's Bid for Virtus

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P DJI Index team announced the replacement for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnet-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10293:1" rel="noopener">Ausnet Services (AST AU)</a> when it is deleted from the S&amp;P/ASX200 Friday at the close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arena-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12209:1" rel="noopener">Arena Reit (ARF AU)</a> </li>
<li>There are other changes to sub-indices which are not publicly announced but which should align with previous analysis</li>
<li>This insight provides estimates for the index events Friday and ways to play them.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P DJI Index team announced the replacement for Ausnet Services (AST AU) when it is deleted from the S&amp;P/ASX200 Friday at the close: Arena Reit (ARF AU) 
There are other changes to sub-indices which are not publicly announced but which should align with previous analysis
This insight provides estimates for the index events Friday and ways to play them.


Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnet-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10293:1" rel="noopener">Ausnet Services (AST AU)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> after the close of trading on 4 February and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arena-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12209:1" rel="noopener">Arena Reit (ARF AU)</a> will be included.</li>
<li>With this change announced, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telix-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26052:1" rel="noopener">Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU)</a> is a high probability inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> next week when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arena-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12209:1" rel="noopener">Arena Reit (ARF AU)</a> has outperformed its peers over the last year and now trades at higher valuations. We would use price spikes on inclusion to rotate into its peers.</li>
</ul>



Ausnet Services (AST AU) will be deleted from the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) after the close of trading on 4 February and Arena Reit (ARF AU) will be included.
With this change announced, Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) is a high probability inclusion to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) next week when Sydney Airport (SYD AU) will be deleted.

Arena Reit (ARF AU) has outperformed its peers over the last year and now trades at higher valuations. We would use price spikes on inclusion to rotate into its peers.


ASX200 Index Rebalance: Arena REIT to Replace Ausnet

<ul>
<li>There are currently 47 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guodian-technology-environment-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3941:1" rel="noopener">Guodian Technology &amp; Environment Group (1296 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-j-steel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14759:1" rel="noopener">G J Steel PCL (GJS TB)</a>.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/over-the-wire-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30653:1" rel="noopener">Over the Wire Holdings Ltd (OTW AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937:1" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 47 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deals were discussed this week: Guodian Technology &amp; Environment Group (1296 HK), Link Net (LINK IJ), and G J Steel PCL (GJS TB).
Keys updates took place for: Over the Wire Holdings Ltd (OTW AU), Razer Inc (1337 HK), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), AKM Industrial (1639 HK), and ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Razer, Link Net, ARA LOGOS, Guodian Tech, GJ Steel

Australia

AusNet Services is an energy delivery service provider. The Company engages in electricity distribution and transmission, and owns gas distribution assets in Victoria, Australia.

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Ausnet Services (AST AU)

Crown Resorts (CWN AU): And Blackstone (Almost) Has It; Index Implications

Crown Resorts and Blackstone have signed a Scheme Implementation Deed. Assuming all approvals are obtained, Crown will be replaced by SVW in the...

Brian Freitas

BGH Lodges Application With The Takeovers Panel Over CapVest's Bid for Virtus

Both proposals (BGH and CapVest's) are indicative - for now. Trading at a gross spread of ~5.0% to the Scheme price, 3.6% to the Alternative Offer,...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/ASX200 - Ausnet OUT, Arena REIT IN

The S&P/ASX 200 will see Ausnet replaced by Arena REIT on 4 Feb. This is widely expected/predicted and Arena has outperformed, but it is a lot of...

Travis Lundy

ASX200 Index Rebalance: Arena REIT to Replace Ausnet

Arena REIT will replace Ausnet in the ASX200 at the close on 4 Feb. That should mean Telix Pharma replaces Sydney Airport at the close on 9 Feb....

Brian Freitas

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Razer, Link Net, ARA LOGOS, Guodian Tech, GJ Steel

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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