Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Chinese PMI data, South Korean exports and inflation data.</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-douyin-information-service-co-ltd-bytedance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27936:1" rel="noopener">ByteDance (1439927D CH)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Chinese PMI data, South Korean exports and inflation data.

 Companies mentioned:Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK), ByteDance (1439927D CH)



GEMWeekly (6 Sep 2024): Mixed China Activity Data; South Korea Macro; Alibaba Group, ByteDance

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI,ACWI ex-U.S.,EAFE, and EM) remain bearish with YTD downtrends intact. Until these indexes reverse downtrends, we are bearish and view bounces as bear market rallies.</li>
<li>Major non-U.S. countries appear to be much further along in the bottoming process, a potential sign that U.S. indexes could take a back seat once global equities finally bottom.</li>
<li>Indexes that have not made a new low since March: Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small, Hang Seng, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50, and China's MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US).</li>
</ul>


Broad global MSCI equity indexes (ACWI,ACWI ex-U.S.,EAFE, and EM) remain bearish with YTD downtrends intact. Until these indexes reverse downtrends, we are bearish and view bounces as bear market rallies.
Major non-U.S. countries appear to be much further along in the bottoming process, a potential sign that U.S. indexes could take a back seat once global equities finally bottom.
Indexes that have not made a new low since March: Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small, Hang Seng, Europe’s EURO STOXX 50, and China's MSCI China (MCHI-US) and China Internet (KWEB-US).


Hang Seng, MSCI China Near Major Base Breakouts; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's in Hong Kong, China, & Japan

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Overseas traveling revenue recovered strongly in China during the Chinese New Year.</li>
<li>Great Wall Motor’s vehicle deliveries increased by 69% in January 2024.</li>
<li>JD.com plans to raise the salaries for customer service employees by 30% in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Overseas traveling revenue recovered strongly in China during the Chinese New Year.
Great Wall Motor’s vehicle deliveries increased by 69% in January 2024.
JD.com plans to raise the salaries for customer service employees by 30% in 2024.


China Consumption Weekly (19 Feb 2024): Ant Group, Great Wall Motor, JD.com, Baidu, Autohome

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 25 inclusions, including many new listings, to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in September. Another 6 stocks are close adds on liquidity and market cap.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential deletes and 2 close deletes on market cap, 5 potential deletes on prolonged trading suspension, and 2 close deletes on liquidity.</li>
<li>There are 8 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There could be 25 inclusions, including many new listings, to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in September. Another 6 stocks are close adds on liquidity and market cap.
We see 19 potential deletes and 2 close deletes on market cap, 5 potential deletes on prolonged trading suspension, and 2 close deletes on liquidity.
There are 8 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: The Final List for September

<ul>
<li>There is only one new listing as a potential inclusion to the HSCI in June. If added to the HSCI, it will also be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There are 18 potential inclusions and 19 potential deletions for the HSCI in September. There are a few close adds and there could be another 5 deletions on Prolonged Suspension.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings. With all the stocks becoming sell-only, there could be unwinding of some positions over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There is only one new listing as a potential inclusion to the HSCI in June. If added to the HSCI, it will also be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
There are 18 potential inclusions and 19 potential deletions for the HSCI in September. There are a few close adds and there could be another 5 deletions on Prolonged Suspension.
A lot of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings. With all the stocks becoming sell-only, there could be unwinding of some positions over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June & September

China

Autohome Inc. is a leading online destination for automobile consumers in China, providing interactive content and tools through its websites and mobile applications. It offers media services, lead generation for dealers, and operates an online transaction platform for new and used cars, financing, and insurance. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Autohome (2518 HK)

GEMWeekly (6 Sep 2024): Mixed China Activity Data; South Korea Macro; Alibaba Group, ByteDance

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarises the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

Hang Seng, MSCI China Near Major Base Breakouts; Bottoms-Up Stock Rec's in Hong Kong, China, & Japan

Hong Kong's Hang Seng and China's $MCHI and $KWEB are near major base breakouts. We are watching is 22,700 on Hang Seng and $56.60 on MCHI; we are...

Vermilion Research

China Consumption Weekly (19 Feb 2024): Ant Group, Great Wall Motor, JD.com, Baidu, Autohome

Overseas traveling recovered strongly during the Chinese New Year. Great Wall Motor’s vehicle deliveries increased by 69% in Jan 2024. JD.com plans...

Ming Lu

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: The Final List for September

There could be nearly 50 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June & September

For the HSCI, there could be 1 add in June and 18 adds/19 deletes in Sep. There are some close adds and 5 potential deletes on prolonged...

Brian Freitas

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