Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>On Election Day, the US faces a Dead Heat. Realclearpolitics predicts a Trump victory, The Economist a narrow Harris win (270-268), similar to fivethirtyeight's tally. Turmoil amid slow counting likely.</li>
<li>A Trump win would be good for conventional energy, banks, PE (via deregulation). Lower oil prices and a 60% tariff on imports from China would benefit Japan, India, Korea, Vietnam. </li>
<li>A Harris win would would be good for housing/property, green energy, semiconductors, negative for equities (as corporate &amp; capital-gains taxes rise) and retailers (anti-price-gouging!). Taiwan, Ukraine, UK, France would gain. </li>
</ul>


On Election Day, the US faces a Dead Heat. Realclearpolitics predicts a Trump victory, The Economist a narrow Harris win (270-268), similar to fivethirtyeight's tally. Turmoil amid slow counting likely.
A Trump win would be good for conventional energy, banks, PE (via deregulation). Lower oil prices and a 60% tariff on imports from China would benefit Japan, India, Korea, Vietnam. 
A Harris win would would be good for housing/property, green energy, semiconductors, negative for equities (as corporate &amp; capital-gains taxes rise) and retailers (anti-price-gouging!). Taiwan, Ukraine, UK, France would gain. 


US: Election Is a Dead Heat, but There'll Be Very Different Winners from Each Outcome

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Avangrid's fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2023 reflect a blend of positive operational achievements and notable challenges.</li><li>The company's performance is underscored by several strategic moves aimed at fortifying its role in the clean energy transition in the U.S., along with significant regulatory progress and financial results that nonetheless involve uncertainties ahead.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Avangrid's fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2023 reflect a blend of positive operational achievements and notable challenges.The company's performance is underscored by several strategic moves aimed at fortifying its role in the clean energy transition in the U.S., along with significant regulatory progress and financial results that nonetheless involve uncertainties ahead.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Avangrid Inc.: Efficiency Optimization & Cost Management Leading To Much Needed Margin Expansion? - Major Drivers

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The deal has now got green light from the SEC, FERC, Maine Public Utilities Commission, and seal of approval from ISS and Glass Lewis.</li>
<li>Pending are the approval of the New York Public Service Commission and shareholder approval (GM on September 26, which should just be a formality).</li>
<li>Spread is 0.46%/3.48% (gross/annualised) based on the closing share price of September 18 and assuming both a prorated dividend of $0.1467 and settlement on November 8. Long and tender.</li>
</ul>


The deal has now got green light from the SEC, FERC, Maine Public Utilities Commission, and seal of approval from ISS and Glass Lewis.
Pending are the approval of the New York Public Service Commission and shareholder approval (GM on September 26, which should just be a formality).
Spread is 0.46%/3.48% (gross/annualised) based on the closing share price of September 18 and assuming both a prorated dividend of $0.1467 and settlement on November 8. Long and tender.


Iberdrola/Avangrid: Almost All Conditions Met

<ul><li>Avangrid's fourth quarter and full-year 2023 earnings highlighted both the strides and challenges the company faced throughout the year.</li><li>CEO Pedro Azagra Blázquez and CFO Justin Lagasse outlined a strong commitment to clean energy and operational excellence, supported by detailed updates on financial performance, regulatory advancements, and project developments.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Avangrid's fourth quarter and full-year 2023 earnings highlighted both the strides and challenges the company faced throughout the year.CEO Pedro Azagra Blázquez and CFO Justin Lagasse outlined a strong commitment to clean energy and operational excellence, supported by detailed updates on financial performance, regulatory advancements, and project developments.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Avangrid Inc.: These Are The 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! - Major Drivers

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

<ul><li>AGR minority-squeeze out arbitrage presents a profitable opportunity for arbitrage investors</li><li>Buffett's endorsement of arbitrage as a cash management strategy adds credibility to potential returns</li><li>Current premium AGR is trading at indicates confidence in a higher offer, making it an attractive short-term investment opportunity for higher returns</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

AGR minority-squeeze out arbitrage presents a profitable opportunity for arbitrage investorsBuffett's endorsement of arbitrage as a cash management strategy adds credibility to potential returnsCurrent premium AGR is trading at indicates confidence in a higher offer, making it an attractive short-term investment opportunity for higher returnsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Avangrid Inc (AGR) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

United States

Avangrid, Inc. operates as an energy services holding company. The Company engages in the regulated energy transmission and distribution business through wind and solar power, as well as natural gas utilities. Avangrid serves customers in the United States.

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Avangrid (AGR US)

US: Election Is a Dead Heat, but There'll Be Very Different Winners from Each Outcome

RCP predicts a big Trump win, TheEconomist a narrow Harris one. Turnout key for Trump; his win would lower oil prices & hit China, benefitting the...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Avangrid Inc.: Efficiency Optimization & Cost Management Leading To Much Needed Margin Expansion? - Major Drivers

Avangrid's fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2023 reflect a blend of positive operational achievements and notable...

Baptista Research

Iberdrola/Avangrid: Almost All Conditions Met

The deal has now got green light from the SEC, FERC, Maine Public Utilities Commission, and seal of approval from ISS and Glass Lewis.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Avangrid Inc.: These Are The 4 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! - Major Drivers

Avangrid's fourth quarter and full-year 2023 earnings highlighted both the strides and challenges the company faced throughout the year. CEO Pedro...

Baptista Research

Avangrid Inc (AGR) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Current premium AGR is trading at indicates confidence in a higher offer, making it an attractive short-term investment opportunity for higher returns

Value Investors Club (VIC)

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