Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>'s hostile Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vcredit-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27143:1" rel="noopener">VCredit Holdings Ltd (2003 HK)</a>'s takeunder; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s Scheme, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31099:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster International (1665 HK)</a>'s Scheme.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals this week: Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)'s hostile Offer; VCredit Holdings Ltd (2003 HK)'s takeunder; Vesync (2148 HK)'s Scheme, and Pentamaster International (1665 HK)'s Scheme.
Key updates/news took place on: Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), and Suntec REIT (SUN SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Makino, Henlius, GAPack, Nec Networks, Suntec REIT, VCredit, Pentamaster

<ul>
<li>On the 5th December, Gordan Tang (&amp; his wife Celine) acquired 2.14% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a>, lifting their stake to 31.45% from 29.31%, triggering a MGO.</li>
<li>This is appears to be a technical Offer. The Offer price is S$1.16/share against a S$1.17/share undisturbed price. Timing, however, IS curious after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>'s recent Offer.</li>
<li>The Offer Doc is now out and shareholders can tender. At S$1.18/share as I type, zero tendering should occur. The Offer closes on the 20 January, unless extended.</li>
</ul>


On the 5th December, Gordan Tang (&amp; his wife Celine) acquired 2.14% in Suntec REIT (SUN SP), lifting their stake to 31.45% from 29.31%, triggering a MGO.
This is appears to be a technical Offer. The Offer price is S$1.16/share against a S$1.17/share undisturbed price. Timing, however, IS curious after ESR Group (1821 HK)'s recent Offer.
The Offer Doc is now out and shareholders can tender. At S$1.18/share as I type, zero tendering should occur. The Offer closes on the 20 January, unless extended.


Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang's Offer Now Open

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Friday, the 20th December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">GAPack (468 HK)</a> announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology (301296 CH)</a> (XJF) had satisfied all pre-conditions.</li>
<li>The Offer Document has now been dispatched, and the Offer is now open for tendering. The First Close is the 21st January.</li>
<li>This Doc is largely a nothing burger. The Response Document, which will include the IFA, is required to be dispatched on or before the 7 January 2025. </li>
</ul>


On Friday, the 20th December, GAPack (468 HK) announced that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology (301296 CH) (XJF) had satisfied all pre-conditions.
The Offer Document has now been dispatched, and the Offer is now open for tendering. The First Close is the 21st January.
This Doc is largely a nothing burger. The Response Document, which will include the IFA, is required to be dispatched on or before the 7 January 2025. 


<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a> secured NDRC approval on the 22nd Nov; fulfilled pre-cons on the 16th December, the Circular was dispatched last night, the 22nd December. </li>
<li>The EGM/H-share class meeting will take place on the 22nd January, one day past my estimate. Settlement should be on ore around the 18th Feb, a week beyond my estimate. </li>
<li>Trading at a gross/annualised spread off 2.9%/20.3%. Still attractive here.</li>
</ul>


After Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) secured NDRC approval on the 22nd Nov; fulfilled pre-cons on the 16th December, the Circular was dispatched last night, the 22nd December. 
The EGM/H-share class meeting will take place on the 22nd January, one day past my estimate. Settlement should be on ore around the 18th Feb, a week beyond my estimate. 
Trading at a gross/annualised spread off 2.9%/20.3%. Still attractive here.


Henlius (2696 HK): Circ Out. 22nd Jan H-Class Meeting

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldlion-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12359:1" rel="noopener">Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renewable-japan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35211:1" rel="noopener">Renewable Japan (9522 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc (3978 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>.     </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK), ESR Group (1821 HK), Goldlion Holdings (533 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Renewable Japan (9522 JP), Macromill, Inc (3978 JP), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP).     


Merger Arb Mondays (23 Dec) - Seven & I, Fuji Soft, NEC Networks, Pentamaster, Goldlion, Henlius

Singapore

Avarga Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on paper manufacturing, power generation, and building materials distribution. Avarga also recycles corrugated cartons, newspapers, magazines, office waste, and any other printed paper material. Avarga serves customers worldwide.

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Avarga Ltd (AVARGA SP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Makino, Henlius, GAPack, Nec Networks, Suntec REIT, VCredit, Pentamaster

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Suntec REIT (SUN SP): Tang's Offer Now Open

This appears an obligatory MGO. I wouldn't expect the Tangs to extend beyond the First Close. Suntec is not expensive at 0.6x P/B. But I don't...

David Blennerhassett

GAPack (468 HK): XJF's Offer Now Open

Even if Bi (9.17%) and Hong (5.55%) don't tender, XJF should still get to 50%. It's still doable even if Mengniu doesn't tender. If illiquid arbs...

David Blennerhassett

Henlius (2696 HK): Circ Out. 22nd Jan H-Class Meeting

Currently at a 2.9% gross spread with expected payment around the third week of Feb. I'd pay up to HK$24.10/share for a 15% annualised spread.

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (23 Dec) - Seven & I, Fuji Soft, NEC Networks, Pentamaster, Goldlion, Henlius

This week, the highest gross spreads are Arcadium Lithium (20.6%), Seven & I (17.8%), Get Nice Financial (10.3%), ESR (8.9%), Goldlion (7.3%),...

Arun George

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