Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Machinery Engineering / Event-Driven

<p>On the 27 May, after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-machinery-engineering-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10998:1" rel="noopener">China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK)</a>'s shares gained 4.3% to close at $3.62/share, on decent volume, it was speculated PRC regulatory approvals may be (finally) forthcoming.</p>
<p>And sure enough, yesterday after the close of trading CMEC <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0603/2021060300532.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the preconditions - NDRC, MOFCOM &amp; SAFE - had been fulfilled.</p>
<p>CMEC added it needs more time to prepare the Composite Document with an expected despatch date on or before the 9 July. </p>
<p>More below the fold. </p>

On the 27 May, after China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK)'s shares gained 4.3% to close at $3.62/share, on decent volume, it was speculated PRC regulatory approvals may be (finally) forthcoming.
And sure enough, yesterday after the close of trading CMEC announced the preconditions - NDRC, MOFCOM &amp; SAFE - had been fulfilled.
CMEC added it needs more time to prepare the Composite Document with an expected despatch date on or before the 9 July. 
More below the fold. 

CMEC (1829 HK): Clarity On Timing As Pre-Cons Fulfilled

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<p>On the 13 January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-machinery-engineering-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10998:1" rel="noopener">China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK)</a>'s (CMEC) <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0113/2021011300422.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a pre-conditional Offer from its controlling shareholder, state-owned Chinese National Machinery Industry Corporation, also known as SINOMACH.</p>
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<p>The Offer price was HK$3.70/share, a 45.10% premium to last close, and a 118.93% premium to the average closing price over the previous 30 trading days. The Offer Price was announced to be FINAL - it will NOT be increased. A concurrent Offer for CMEC's domestic shares at RMB3.082692/share was also tabled.</p>
<p>The pre-conditions, which cannot be waived, include approvals from NDRC, MoC, and SAFE.</p>
<p>Then nothing. Near-on four and half months have elapsed and the only disclosure - in the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0430/2021043000903.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">monthly updates</a> - is that the pre-conditions have yet to be fulfilled.</p>
<p>Then yesterday shares gained 4.3% to close at $3.62/share, its highest level since the Offer was announced. The volume was also solid. </p>
<p>Perhaps regulatory approvals are (finally) forthcoming.</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
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On the 13 January, China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK)'s (CMEC) announced a pre-conditional Offer from its controlling shareholder, state-owned Chinese National Machinery Industry Corporation, also known as SINOMACH.


The Offer price was HK$3.70/share, a 45.10% premium to last close, and a 118.93% premium to the average closing price over the previous 30 trading days. The Offer Price was announced to be FINAL - it will NOT be increased. A concurrent Offer for CMEC's domestic shares at RMB3.082692/share was also tabled.
The pre-conditions, which cannot be waived, include approvals from NDRC, MoC, and SAFE.
Then nothing. Near-on four and half months have elapsed and the only disclosure - in the monthly updates - is that the pre-conditions have yet to be fulfilled.
Then yesterday shares gained 4.3% to close at $3.62/share, its highest level since the Offer was announced. The volume was also solid. 
Perhaps regulatory approvals are (finally) forthcoming.
More below the fold.









China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK): Movement In The Works?

Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group / Event-Driven

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<p>On the 22 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-languang-justbon-service-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28337:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK)</a> ("Justbon") <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0322/2021032201066.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> its major shareholder (plus two other vendors) had entered into MOUs with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> (CGS), such that 126,011,860 H shares AND 750,000 domestic shares or 71.17% of shares out would be acquired. Upon completion, CGS was obligated to make an unconditional mandatory general Offer (MGO) for the H shares (at HK$51.0571/share) and domestic shares (at RMB42.8547/share).</p>
<p>In addition, if a delisting resolution was approved by independent H-shareholders and a 90% acceptance condition (of independent H-shares)) was satisfied, H-shareholders will receive HK$54.30/share and domestic shareholders RMB45.5768/share.</p>
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<div>On the 19 April, Justbon said all three agreements had completed, giving CGS <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0419/2021041901491.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">71.17%</a>.</div>
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<div>The Composite Document has now been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0502/2021050200153.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">despatched</a>, and the Offer is open to acceptances. The H Share Class Meeting will be held on the 17 June, which is also the first closing date. </div>
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<div>Assuming the delisting resolution is approved, the latest time for the acceptance condition to be satisfied is the 3 September, four months from now. </div>
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<div>But as this is an unconditional MGO, this extended acceptance period tilts the deal in favour of CGS securing the 90% tendering condition.</div>
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<div>More below the fold.</div>


On the 22 March, Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK) ("Justbon") announced its major shareholder (plus two other vendors) had entered into MOUs with Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) (CGS), such that 126,011,860 H shares AND 750,000 domestic shares or 71.17% of shares out would be acquired. Upon completion, CGS was obligated to make an unconditional mandatory general Offer (MGO) for the H shares (at HK$51.0571/share) and domestic shares (at RMB42.8547/share).
In addition, if a delisting resolution was approved by independent H-shareholders and a 90% acceptance condition (of independent H-shares)) was satisfied, H-shareholders will receive HK$54.30/share and domestic shareholders RMB45.5768/share.







On the 19 April, Justbon said all three agreements had completed, giving CGS 71.17%.







The Composite Document has now been despatched, and the Offer is open to acceptances. The H Share Class Meeting will be held on the 17 June, which is also the first closing date. 

Assuming the delisting resolution is approved, the latest time for the acceptance condition to be satisfied is the 3 September, four months from now. 

But as this is an unconditional MGO, this extended acceptance period tilts the deal in favour of CGS securing the 90% tendering condition.

More below the fold.

Languang Justbon (2606 HK): Offer Now Open - For Up To Four Months

Zhejiang Cangnan Instrument / Event-Driven

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<p>Back on the 5 February, gas meter manufacturer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-cangnan-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27212:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Cangnan Instrument (1743 HK)</a>  <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0205/2021020501022.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the board of directors had resolved to repurchase all the issued H shares in the company at a minimum price of HK$22.00/share, a 15.18% premium to last close. The buyback was subject to approval from the local bureau of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange.</p>
<p>This was followed by a conditional cash offer on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0312/2021031201722.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">12 March</a>. The Offer is a "Merger by Absorption", incorporating a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against); and a tendering condition of 90%. All H-shares are subject to the buy-back and the effective tendering % is 90%.</p>
<p>The Offer Document has been despatched with the IFA <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0401/2021040100071.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">concluding</a> the Offer price to be fair and reasonable.</p>
<p>The EGM will take place on the 17 May and the first closing date is the 31 May.</p>
<p>Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 7.3%/57.2%. But the thorny issue is the 90% tendering condition.</p>
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<p>More below the fold.</p>
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Back on the 5 February, gas meter manufacturer Zhejiang Cangnan Instrument (1743 HK)  announced the board of directors had resolved to repurchase all the issued H shares in the company at a minimum price of HK$22.00/share, a 15.18% premium to last close. The buyback was subject to approval from the local bureau of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange.
This was followed by a conditional cash offer on the 12 March. The Offer is a "Merger by Absorption", incorporating a Scheme-like vote (≥ 75% for, ≤10% against); and a tendering condition of 90%. All H-shares are subject to the buy-back and the effective tendering % is 90%.
The Offer Document has been despatched with the IFA concluding the Offer price to be fair and reasonable.
The EGM will take place on the 17 May and the first closing date is the 31 May.
Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 7.3%/57.2%. But the thorny issue is the 90% tendering condition.


More below the fold.


Zhejiang Cangnan (1743 HK): H-Share Buyback

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<p>Back on the 25 February, property management service provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-languang-justbon-service-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28337:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK)</a> ("SLJS") <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0225/2021022500961.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> its major shareholder had entered into a MOU with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> (CGS) to sell 115,090,200 H-shares or a 64.62% stake. The seller is Languang Hejun, a wholly-owned entity of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-languang-development-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7403:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Languang Development (600466 CH)</a>. Terms under the MOU were RMB42.1105/share. No HK$-equivalent figure was quoted, but at the prevailing exchange rate, this was roughly ~HK$50.61/share, or a ~30% premium to last close.</p>
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<p>On the 11 March, SLJS <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0311/2021031101126.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> some subtle changes to the MOU, such that shares to be acquired include 115,090,200 H shares AND 750,000 domestic shares or 65.04% of shares out. The price per H shares was also revised up to RMB42.8546/share.</p>
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<h3>The New News</h3>
<p>Late last night SLJS <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0322/2021032201066.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a possible unconditional mandatory general Offer (MGO) from CGS for the H shares (at HK$51.0571/share) and domestic shares (at RMB42.8547/share).</p>
<p>CGS has also proposed a voluntary delisting, and if the delisting resolution is approved by independent H-shareholders and the listing acceptance condition (yep, one with an infamous 90% handle) is satisfied, H-shareholders will receive HK$54.30/share and domestic shareholders RMB45.5768/share.</p>
<p>The MGO appears a lock, so you have an effective floor of HK$51.0571. The question, therefore, is: do you chase the delisting bump?</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>


Back on the 25 February, property management service provider Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK) ("SLJS") announced its major shareholder had entered into a MOU with Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) (CGS) to sell 115,090,200 H-shares or a 64.62% stake. The seller is Languang Hejun, a wholly-owned entity of Sichuan Languang Development (600466 CH). Terms under the MOU were RMB42.1105/share. No HK$-equivalent figure was quoted, but at the prevailing exchange rate, this was roughly ~HK$50.61/share, or a ~30% premium to last close.


On the 11 March, SLJS announced some subtle changes to the MOU, such that shares to be acquired include 115,090,200 H shares AND 750,000 domestic shares or 65.04% of shares out. The price per H shares was also revised up to RMB42.8546/share.

The New News
Late last night SLJS announced a possible unconditional mandatory general Offer (MGO) from CGS for the H shares (at HK$51.0571/share) and domestic shares (at RMB42.8547/share).
CGS has also proposed a voluntary delisting, and if the delisting resolution is approved by independent H-shareholders and the listing acceptance condition (yep, one with an infamous 90% handle) is satisfied, H-shareholders will receive HK$54.30/share and domestic shareholders RMB45.5768/share.
The MGO appears a lock, so you have an effective floor of HK$51.0571. The question, therefore, is: do you chase the delisting bump?
More below the fold.

Languang Justbon (2606 HK): Be Wary Of Chasing The Delisting Bump

China

AVIC International Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in the manufacturing and sales of liquid crystal displays, printed circuit boards and watches, property development, international engineering, trading and logistic services and mining resources development.

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AVIC International Holdings (161 HK)

CMEC (1829 HK): Clarity On Timing As Pre-Cons Fulfilled

This is being done too cheaply, but no other Offeror will emerge. At $3.46/share, or 6.9%/34.3% gross/annualised, get involved. But this is a...

David Blennerhassett

China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK): Movement In The Works?

Shares are rightly off today. $3.62 was a 2.2% spread and <10% annualised with say, three months to go. At $3.47/share, where it is trading now, or...

David Blennerhassett

Languang Justbon (2606 HK): Offer Now Open - For Up To Four Months

Mindful of the four-month acceptance period, one in which shares tendred are not entitled (by my reckoning) to be withdrawn, I believe the...

David Blennerhassett

Languang Justbon (2606 HK): Be Wary Of Chasing The Delisting Bump

The MGO price is all but assured. The delisting offer price less so. But it does avail investors to a possible free option. This is a buy in the...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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CMEC (1829 HK): Clarity On Timing As Pre-Cons Fulfilled

This is being done too cheaply, but no other Offeror will emerge. At $3.46/share, or 6.9%/34.3% gross/annualised, get involved. But this is a...

David Blennerhassett

China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK): Movement In The Works?

Shares are rightly off today. $3.62 was a 2.2% spread and <10% annualised with say, three months to go. At $3.47/share, where it is trading now, or...

David Blennerhassett

Languang Justbon (2606 HK): Offer Now Open - For Up To Four Months

Mindful of the four-month acceptance period, one in which shares tendred are not entitled (by my reckoning) to be withdrawn, I believe the...

David Blennerhassett

Zhejiang Cangnan (1743 HK): H-Share Buyback

Given the company's dubious price action and shareholder concentration, I would normally give this stock a wide birth. Bit it is precisely this...

David Blennerhassett

Languang Justbon (2606 HK): Be Wary Of Chasing The Delisting Bump

The MGO price is all but assured. The delisting offer price less so. But it does avail investors to a possible free option. This is a buy in the...

David Blennerhassett