Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Aegon | EGM Clears Path to US Redomiciliation • Ahold Delhaize | still holding the top-2 positions in e-commerce in the Netherlands • AkzoNobel/Axalta | EU remedies signal path to Axalta clearance • dsm-firmenich | policy uncertainty increasingly viewed as an investment constraint • Dutch housing market | supply improves; new-build affordability more of a challenge • Dutch household consumption | momentum strengthens, led by durable goods • E-com & Logistics | InPost: AI-driven customer service offers a second wave of efficiency gains</li></ul>

In this edition: • Aegon | EGM Clears Path to US Redomiciliation • Ahold Delhaize | still holding the top-2 positions in e-commerce in the Netherlands • AkzoNobel/Axalta | EU remedies signal path to Axalta clearance • dsm-firmenich | policy uncertainty increasingly viewed as an investment constraint • Dutch housing market | supply improves; new-build affordability more of a challenge • Dutch household consumption | momentum strengthens, led by durable goods • E-com & Logistics | InPost: AI-driven customer service offers a second wave of efficiency gains

Koninklijke Bam Groep Nv / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel / Axalta | EU and UK ‘Phase I’ deadlines to expire soon • InPost | Offeror reaches 98.49% after post-acceptance period • Shell | robust downstream margins and upstream volumes offset exploration write-down • Fagron | marginal downward outlook adjustment due to industry wide IV bag recall • BAM Group | acquires A.Hak for EUR 504m, strengthening position in energy and water infrastructure • E-commerce & Logistics | last mile shift towards OOH in the UK accelerates</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel / Axalta | EU and UK ‘Phase I’ deadlines to expire soon • InPost | Offeror reaches 98.49% after post-acceptance period • Shell | robust downstream margins and upstream volumes offset exploration write-down • Fagron | marginal downward outlook adjustment due to industry wide IV bag recall • BAM Group | acquires A.Hak for EUR 504m, strengthening position in energy and water infrastructure • E-commerce & Logistics | last mile shift towards OOH in the UK accelerates

Koninklijke BAM Groep NV - What's News in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel | completes Pakistan exit at 14x EV/EBITDA • Van Lanschot Kempen | expands fiduciary platform through Aegon AM transfer • PostNL | faces new competitive threat as Bundle targets business-mail volumes • PostNL | multi-year contract for the delivery of the majority of government mail</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | completes Pakistan exit at 14x EV/EBITDA • Van Lanschot Kempen | expands fiduciary platform through Aegon AM transfer • PostNL | faces new competitive threat as Bundle targets business-mail volumes • PostNL | multi-year contract for the delivery of the majority of government mail

Aegon NV - What's News in Amsterdam - 1 October (AkzoNobel | Van Lanschot Kempen | PostNL)

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Balancing act. As the ag industry is preparing for the planting season, an early look at 2025 expectations by Farm Journal’s Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor offers a mixed bag.</li><li>On one hand, after a two-year decline, net and cash farm income are expected to increase Y/Y in 2025.</li><li>On the other hand, the increase will be mostly due to an increase in government payments. </li></ul>

Balancing act. As the ag industry is preparing for the planting season, an early look at 2025 expectations by Farm Journal’s Ag Economists’ Monthly Monitor offers a mixed bag.On one hand, after a two-year decline, net and cash farm income are expected to increase Y/Y in 2025.On the other hand, the increase will be mostly due to an increase in government payments. 

Mat-Chem Notes - Tariff Concerns Proliferate as Geopolitics Remain Center Stage

<ul><li>Political policies could affect markets across the spectrum.</li><li>The incoming administration’s more hawkish attitude when it comes to potentially destabilizing implementation of tariffs as a political rather than economic tool could result in greater volatility when it comes to commodity and finished goods pricing and availability, while its greater focus on domestic energy production and onshoring of supply chains could provide opportunities and lead to lower energy and logistics costs.</li><li><p>Lower energy and feedstock costs could drive margin improvement. </p></li></ul>

Political policies could affect markets across the spectrum.The incoming administration’s more hawkish attitude when it comes to potentially destabilizing implementation of tariffs as a political rather than economic tool could result in greater volatility when it comes to commodity and finished goods pricing and availability, while its greater focus on domestic energy production and onshoring of supply chains could provide opportunities and lead to lower energy and logistics costs.Lower energy and feedstock costs could drive margin improvement. 

WTR Small-Cap Spotlight Recap - Trends That Could Shape Chemicals and Materials Industries in 2025

United States

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. manufactures, markets and distributes coatings systems. The Company offers products and services which includes paint, color matching tools, application technologies, and customer  training and business management systems. Axalta Coating Systems serves automotive, transportation,  general industrial, and architectural and decorative sectors.

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Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA US)

PostNL NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Aegon | EGM Clears Path to US Redomiciliation • Ahold Delhaize | still holding the top-2 positions in e-commerce in the...

The IDEA!

Koninklijke BAM Groep NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • AkzoNobel / Axalta | EU and UK ‘Phase I’ deadlines to expire soon • InPost | Offeror reaches 98.49% after post-acceptance...

The IDEA!

Aegon NV - What's News in Amsterdam - 1 October (AkzoNobel | Van Lanschot Kempen | PostNL)

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | completes Pakistan exit at 14x EV/EBITDA • Van Lanschot Kempen | expands fiduciary platform through Aegon AM...

The IDEA!

Mat-Chem Notes - Tariff Concerns Proliferate as Geopolitics Remain Center Stage

Balancing act. As the ag industry is preparing for the planting season, an early look at 2025 expectations by Farm Journal’s Ag Economists’ Monthly...

Water Tower Research

WTR Small-Cap Spotlight Recap - Trends That Could Shape Chemicals and Materials Industries in 2025

On the latest WTR Small-Cap Spotlight, we discussed our high-level views of the specialty chemicals and materials technology industries heading...

Water Tower Research

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