Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We spoke with multiple channels covering 3Ws, 2Ws, and 4Ws to understand the current dynamics of the Electric Vehicle (EV) scene in India.</li>
<li>Adoption of E-3 and E-4 Wheelers is hindered by high prices, range issues, inadequate charging infrastructure, and platform stability concerns.</li>
<li>E-2 Wheelers show resilience with stable sales led by aggressive pricing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We spoke with multiple channels covering 3Ws, 2Ws, and 4Ws to understand the current dynamics of the Electric Vehicle (EV) scene in India.
Adoption of E-3 and E-4 Wheelers is hindered by high prices, range issues, inadequate charging infrastructure, and platform stability concerns.
E-2 Wheelers show resilience with stable sales led by aggressive pricing from Ola Electric (1700674D IN). 


India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Bajaj reported Q1FY25 results largely in line with our estimates. Revenue grew ~15%/3.3% YoY/QoQ led by ~7%/3% YoY/QoQ volume growth.</li><li>ASP (~0.6% beat) grew by ~7.1% YoY and was flat QoQ. The YoY growth in the ASP was led by product premiumisation, higher sales of 3W in the product mix, and a ramp-up in EV sales.</li><li>EBITDA grew by ~23.6%/4.7% YoY/QoQ, a ~2.8% beat vs our estimates mainly on account of accrual benefits of the PLI Scheme. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</li></ul>

Bajaj reported Q1FY25 results largely in line with our estimates. Revenue grew ~15%/3.3% YoY/QoQ led by ~7%/3% YoY/QoQ volume growth.ASP (~0.6% beat) grew by ~7.1% YoY and was flat QoQ. The YoY growth in the ASP was led by product premiumisation, higher sales of 3W in the product mix, and a ramp-up in EV sales.EBITDA grew by ~23.6%/4.7% YoY/QoQ, a ~2.8% beat vs our estimates mainly on account of accrual benefits of the PLI Scheme. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Auto Ltd - Q1 Results Inline; Positives Largely Factored in Rich Valuations

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005380 KS)</a> is looking to raise around US$3bn via listing its India unit, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India</a>. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.</li>
<li>HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) is looking to raise around US$3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. HMI is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Hyundai Motor Group.
HMI primarily manufactures and sells four-wheeler passenger vehicles and parts. Currently its vehicle portfolio includes 13 passenger vehicle models across sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs and battery EVs.
In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


Hyundai Motor India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Doesn’t Stand Out

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The auto sector has outperformed the Nifty Index in Q4, led largely by a sharp rally in some 2W and PV stocks</li><li>We continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&amp;M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve their performance</li><li>Within 2Ws, we continue to like TVS Motors. We have rolled over the valuation to the year-ended Jun-26.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The auto sector has outperformed the Nifty Index in Q4, led largely by a sharp rally in some 2W and PV stocksWe continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&amp;M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve their performanceWithin 2Ws, we continue to like TVS Motors. We have rolled over the valuation to the year-ended Jun-26.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos (Q1FY25 Results Preview): 2W to Drive Growth While PVs Ride Pillion

<ul><li>Jun’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) , which were partly offset by weakness in entry-level cars.</li><li>The domestic 2W industry (excl HMSI) witnessed volume growth of ~11% YoY (down 3% MoM) led by rural recovery; however exports declined 4% YoY (down 9% MoM) respectively.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~4% YoY (up 6% MoM) mainly due to lower LCV and MHCV goods carrier volumes being partly set off by high industry volume for buses. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Jun’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) , which were partly offset by weakness in entry-level cars.The domestic 2W industry (excl HMSI) witnessed volume growth of ~11% YoY (down 3% MoM) led by rural recovery; however exports declined 4% YoY (down 9% MoM) respectively.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~4% YoY (up 6% MoM) mainly due to lower LCV and MHCV goods carrier volumes being partly set off by high industry volume for buses. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Bajaj Auto Limited manufactures and distributes motorized two-wheeled and three-wheeled scooters, motorcycles and mopeds.

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Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)

India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...

Pranav Bhavsar

Bajaj Auto Ltd - Q1 Results Inline; Positives Largely Factored in Rich Valuations

Bajaj reported Q1FY25 results largely in line with our estimates. Revenue grew ~15%/3.3% YoY/QoQ led by ~7%/3% YoY/QoQ volume growth.

Axis Direct

Hyundai Motor India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Doesn’t Stand Out

Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) is looking to raise around US$3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. In this note, we undertake a peer...

Sumeet Singh

Autos (Q1FY25 Results Preview): 2W to Drive Growth While PVs Ride Pillion

We continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve...

HDFC Securities

Auto Monthly Volume - June 2024

The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers...

Axis Direct

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India Channel Insight | What Is the EV Scene in India?

​Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...

Pranav Bhavsar

Bajaj Auto Ltd - Q1 Results Inline; Positives Largely Factored in Rich Valuations

Bajaj reported Q1FY25 results largely in line with our estimates. Revenue grew ~15%/3.3% YoY/QoQ led by ~7%/3% YoY/QoQ volume growth.

Axis Direct

Hyundai Motor India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Doesn’t Stand Out

Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) is looking to raise around US$3bn via listing its India unit, Hyundai Motor India. In this note, we undertake a peer...

Sumeet Singh

Autos (Q1FY25 Results Preview): 2W to Drive Growth While PVs Ride Pillion

We continue to like Maruti Suzuki, and M&M as we expect both of them to continue to outperform the UV segment, which would in turn help improve...

HDFC Securities

Auto Monthly Volume - June 2024

The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers...

Axis Direct

Current dynamics of Electric Vehicles in India show hindrances in adoption of 3 and 4 wheelers due to various challenges, while E-2 wheelers led...