Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Nov)

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextbillion-technology-pvt-ltd-groww" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34787:1" rel="noopener">Groww (1573648D IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$736m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures,is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing financial products and services, where customers can invest/ trade in stocks, derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Groww (1573648D IN) is looking to raise up to US$736m in its upcoming India IPO.
Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures,is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing financial products and services, where customers can invest/ trade in stocks, derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Groww Pre-IPO - Scaling Fast in a Competitive Market

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (27 Oct)

Orkla India Ltd. / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orkla-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45300:1" rel="noopener">Orkla India Ltd. (0752506D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Orkla India is a multi-category food company offering a diverse range of spices and convenience food products, catering to every meal occasion across breakfast, lunch, dinner, snacks, beverages and desserts.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Orkla India Ltd. (0752506D IN) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming India IPO.
Orkla India is a multi-category food company offering a diverse range of spices and convenience food products, catering to every meal occasion across breakfast, lunch, dinner, snacks, beverages and desserts.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Orkla India Pre-IPO - Strong Market Presence, Growth Yet to Catch Up

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

India’s non-banking finance company (NBFC), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15425" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15425:1">Muthoot Finance (MUTH IN; "MTF")</a>, lends against gold, arguably the best collateral of all. Its gold jewelry kept as security is up from 147 tons to 166 tons, from December 2016 to December 2018. This may be one reason that the company’s bad loans are low, not only in an India context, but in Asia. Its stage three loans surged after demonetization peaking in December 2017 at INR21.5bn. Since then, figures have fallen sharply, to INR6.4bn as at December 2018. As a percentage of loans, stage three loans declined from 7.6% to 2.0% over this period. With credit costs and write-offs down 96% during 9M19 YoY, credit metrics appear healthy.

India’s non-banking finance company (NBFC), Muthoot Finance (MUTH IN; "MTF"), lends against gold, arguably the best collateral of all. Its gold jewelry kept as security is up from 147 tons to 166 tons, from December 2016 to December 2018. This may be one reason that the company’s bad loans are low, not only in an India context, but in Asia. Its stage three loans surged after demonetization peaking in December 2017 at INR21.5bn. Since then, figures have fallen sharply, to INR6.4bn as at December 2018. As a percentage of loans, stage three loans declined from 7.6% to 2.0% over this period. With credit costs and write-offs down 96% during 9M19 YoY, credit metrics appear healthy.

Muthoot Finance – Top ROA Lender, with 116 Tons of Gold!

India

Bajaj Finance Limited is a financial services company that operates branches in India, which provide an assortment of financial services.

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Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Nov)

Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Groww Pre-IPO - Scaling Fast in a Competitive Market

Groww is looking to raise up to US$736m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Akshat Shah

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (27 Oct)

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Orkla India Pre-IPO - Strong Market Presence, Growth Yet to Catch Up

Orkla India has launched a smaller IPO of up to INR 16.6bn (US$190m) in a INR695–730 range. Anchor books open on 28th October, with the rest of the...

Akshat Shah

Muthoot Finance – Top ROA Lender, with 116 Tons of Gold!

Muthoot Finance lends based on gold collateral, with gold prices so much higher now than in the past, there is far less likelihood of defaults. The...

Daniel Tabbush

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Nov)

​Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Groww Pre-IPO - Scaling Fast in a Competitive Market

Groww is looking to raise up to US$736m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Akshat Shah

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (27 Oct)

​Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative...

Gaudenz Schneider

Orkla India Pre-IPO - Strong Market Presence, Growth Yet to Catch Up

Orkla India has launched a smaller IPO of up to INR 16.6bn (US$190m) in a INR695–730 range. Anchor books open on 28th October, with the rest of the...

Akshat Shah

Muthoot Finance – Top ROA Lender, with 116 Tons of Gold!

Muthoot Finance lends based on gold collateral, with gold prices so much higher now than in the past, there is far less likelihood of defaults. The...

Daniel Tabbush

Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative...