Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our 2023 outlook, initially discussed in our January 6th 2023 Int'l Compass, was for $93 to cap upside on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); this has again proven prescient.</li>
<li>Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives, and MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care (IXJ-US), Utilities (JXI-US), and Consumer Staples (KXI-US) are now hitting 3-4-month RS highs.</li>
<li>With the ACWI-US just now starting to turn down after testing $93, we continue to recommend a tactical overweight to the aforementioned defensive Sectors, and also to gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
</ul>


Our 2023 outlook, initially discussed in our January 6th 2023 Int'l Compass, was for $93 to cap upside on the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US); this has again proven prescient.
Since late-January/early-February we have recommended shifting to defensives, and MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care (IXJ-US), Utilities (JXI-US), and Consumer Staples (KXI-US) are now hitting 3-4-month RS highs.
With the ACWI-US just now starting to turn down after testing $93, we continue to recommend a tactical overweight to the aforementioned defensive Sectors, and also to gold miners (GDX-US).


Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

Index Rebalance and Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Afridi Reyal

Index Rebalance and Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is a widely followed benchmark index in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>The potential ADDs and DELs of SE600 September 2026 rebal are starting to take shape, with the ranking cutoff (31st August 2026 close) now about six weeks away.</li>
<li>We now expect three intra-review index changes before the regular rebal and seven regular changes during the September 2026 rebal.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is a widely followed benchmark index in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
The potential ADDs and DELs of SE600 September 2026 rebal are starting to take shape, with the ranking cutoff (31st August 2026 close) now about six weeks away.
We now expect three intra-review index changes before the regular rebal and seven regular changes during the September 2026 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep26: Base Date Six Weeks Out; Seven ADDs and DELs Likely

Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate).

Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate). 

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is a widely followed benchmark index in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>In this insight, we consider potential index changes that could take place in the September 2026 rebal, along with a few M&amp;A deals that could have consequences for index changes.</li>
<li>We expect four intra-review index changes before the regular rebal and seven changes during the September 2026 rebal.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is a widely followed benchmark index in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
In this insight, we consider potential index changes that could take place in the September 2026 rebal, along with a few M&amp;A deals that could have consequences for index changes.
We expect four intra-review index changes before the regular rebal and seven changes during the September 2026 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep26: Seven Regular ADDs/DELs Likely; Four M&A Deals Coming Up

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. It is not highly tracked, but we can expect many index changes during its quarterly review.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be 14 ADDs/DELs for SE600 in the June 2026 rebal.</li>
<li>The final rankings will be based on the float market caps as of the close of trading on 29th May 2026.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. It is not highly tracked, but we can expect many index changes during its quarterly review.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be 14 ADDs/DELs for SE600 in the June 2026 rebal.
The final rankings will be based on the float market caps as of the close of trading on 29th May 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Jun26: Base Date This Week; Many Changes Incoming

Norway

Bakkafrost P/F operates a fish farm. The Company offers a wide range of salmon products supplied by its own processing facilities. Bakkafrost provides fresh salmon to the fresh fish market, smokehouses and processors of ready meals, and frozen salmon portions vacuum packed in catering boxes or in retailboxes.

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Bakkafrost P/F (BAKKA NO)

Stay Tactically Overweight Defensives; Remain Overweight Europe, Japan, & EAFE. Buys in Defensives

$93 on $ACWI continues to be a key resistance that we have discussed since early-Jan as capping upside for 2023. Stick with defensives $IXJ $XLV...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep26: Base Date Six Weeks Out; Seven ADDs and DELs Likely

The SE600 Rankings are stabilizing with six weeks to go; banking-name ADDs Alior Bank, Van Lanschot Kempen, and Vontobel are expected to see...

Afridi Reyal

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight, while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples,...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Sep26: Seven Regular ADDs/DELs Likely; Four M&A Deals Coming Up

Early predictions for the September 2026 rebal show four intra-review changes before the rebalance and seven regular changes during September.

Afridi Reyal

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Jun26: Base Date This Week; Many Changes Incoming

The final rankings for the June 2026 rebal will be based on data as of 29th May 2026. The ADDs/DELs will be announced on 1st June 2026. Bank...

Afridi Reyal

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