Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>Global markets have deteriorated considerably over the past couple weeks. The MSCI EM index has decisively broken down below the 60,000 major support level we identified as support, and the MSCI ACWI ETF has broken below its 200-day MA, leading us to believe additional consolidation is likely. </p>

Global markets have deteriorated considerably over the past couple weeks. The MSCI EM index has decisively broken down below the 60,000 major support level we identified as support, and the MSCI ACWI ETF has broken below its 200-day MA, leading us to believe additional consolidation is likely. 

EM and ACWI Showing Decisive Breakdowns - Metals & Miners Still Attractive

Index Rebalance and Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Afridi Reyal

Index Rebalance and Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. It is not highly tracked, but we can expect many index changes during its quarterly review.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the SE600 index for the June 2026 rebal.</li>
<li>The final rankings will be based on the float market caps as of the close of trading on 29th May 2026.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. It is not highly tracked, but we can expect many index changes during its quarterly review.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the SE600 index for the June 2026 rebal.
The final rankings will be based on the float market caps as of the close of trading on 29th May 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Jun26: TEN ADDs/DELs; Many Intra-Review Changes After Rebal

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>'s scheme meeting is scheduled for 3 November. The IE considers the A$5.23 per share offer fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The key condition is approval from shareholders - headcount test and approval by at least 75% of the votes cast on the scheme resolution. Cooke has received FIRB approval.</li>
<li>We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 21 November implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 1.2% and 8.8%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Tassal (TGR AU)'s scheme meeting is scheduled for 3 November. The IE considers the A$5.23 per share offer fair and reasonable.
The key condition is approval from shareholders - headcount test and approval by at least 75% of the votes cast on the scheme resolution. Cooke has received FIRB approval.
We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 21 November implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 1.2% and 8.8%, respectively.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> entered a scheme implementation deed with Cooke at A$5.23 per share, a 48.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.52.</li>
<li>The offer price is an all-time share price high. The scheme is not subject to due diligence or a financing condition. Cooke also noted that it had received FIRB approval.</li>
<li>This is a done deal. At last close and for year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.8% and 4.6%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Tassal (TGR AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with Cooke at A$5.23 per share, a 48.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.52.
The offer price is an all-time share price high. The scheme is not subject to due diligence or a financing condition. Cooke also noted that it had received FIRB approval.
This is a done deal. At last close and for year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.8% and 4.6%, respectively.


<ul>
<li>On 19 July, Cooke, the spurned suitor, increased its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a> to 10.49%. The average price to build the 10.49% stake is A$4.14 per share. </li>
<li>Cooke also hired Phil Wiese, the former CEO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huon-aquaculture-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12348:1" rel="noopener">Huon Aquaculture (HUO AU)</a>, as a MD in Canada. Mr Wiese is well qualified to run Tassal should Cooke acquire it. </li>
<li>With shareholders happy to sell to Cooke despite the Board’s assertions that the previous bid undervalued Tassal, a new offer will force the Board to engage.</li>
</ul>


On 19 July, Cooke, the spurned suitor, increased its stake in Tassal (TGR AU) to 10.49%. The average price to build the 10.49% stake is A$4.14 per share. 
Cooke also hired Phil Wiese, the former CEO of Huon Aquaculture (HUO AU), as a MD in Canada. Mr Wiese is well qualified to run Tassal should Cooke acquire it. 
With shareholders happy to sell to Cooke despite the Board’s assertions that the previous bid undervalued Tassal, a new offer will force the Board to engage.


Tassal: Cooke Increases Its Stake to 10.49%

Norway

Bakkafrost P/F operates a fish farm. The Company offers a wide range of salmon products supplied by its own processing facilities. Bakkafrost provides fresh salmon to the fresh fish market, smokehouses and processors of ready meals, and frozen salmon portions vacuum packed in catering boxes or in retailboxes.

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Bakkafrost P/F (BAKKA NO)

EM and ACWI Showing Decisive Breakdowns - Metals & Miners Still Attractive

Global markets have deteriorated considerably over the past couple weeks. The MSCI EM index has decisively broken down below the 60,000 major...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Jun26: TEN ADDs/DELs; Many Intra-Review Changes After Rebal

Based on the latest estimates, we now expect 10 ADDs and 10 DELs. The ADDs collectively have an inflow of around US$200mn to trade. We have one...

Afridi Reyal

Tassal Scheme Meeting on 3 November

This looks like a done deal. At the last close price and for the 21 November implementation date, the annualised spread is 8.8%.

Arun George

Tassal Recommends Cooke’s A$5.23 Offer

This is a done deal. At last close and for year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.8% and 4.6%, respectively.

Arun George

Tassal: Cooke Increases Its Stake to 10.49%

Cooke has increased its stake in Tassal to 10.49%. With shareholders happy to sell despite the Board’s assertions that Cooke's bid undervalued...

Arun George

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