Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We met with the management of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dream-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15783:1" rel="noopener">Dream International (1126 HK)</a> in Hong Kong. The company is riding a hectic phase with its Vietnam operations running at full capacity.</li>
<li>Management is evaluating capacity expansion in Indonesia and Vietnam for plastic and plush toy production serving China, targeting an aggregate capacity increase of approximately 20–30% to meet demand.</li>
<li>The stock has pulled back and trades at 8.9x PE, 5.1 EV-EBITDA, with a 6.2% dividend yield and 21% of the market capitalization in cash, and 10 Yr-Avg ROCE ~20%. </li>
</ul>


We met with the management of Dream International (1126 HK) in Hong Kong. The company is riding a hectic phase with its Vietnam operations running at full capacity.
Management is evaluating capacity expansion in Indonesia and Vietnam for plastic and plush toy production serving China, targeting an aggregate capacity increase of approximately 20–30% to meet demand.
The stock has pulled back and trades at 8.9x PE, 5.1 EV-EBITDA, with a 6.2% dividend yield and 21% of the market capitalization in cash, and 10 Yr-Avg ROCE ~20%. 


Dream International (1126 HK): Postcard From Hong Kong, October 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Nomura Research Institute / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-research-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18129:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Research Institute (4307 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paper-industries-co-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:557:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paper Industries Co L (3863 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7343:1" rel="noopener">Dic Corp (4631 JP)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>'s CPAF will drop from 3 to 2.7 and there will be further selling in March 2025 as the CPAF drops to 2.4 (or possibly even 2.1!) </li>
<li>Passives will need to buy 7-15x ADV (13-14% of real float) in the adds and sell 2.7-6.5x ADV in the deletes. There is a big reverse funding trade too.</li>
</ul>



Nomura Research Institute (4307 JP) and Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP) will replace Nippon Paper Industries Co L (3863 JP) and Dic Corp (4631 JP) in the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX). 

Fast Retailing (9983 JP)'s CPAF will drop from 3 to 2.7 and there will be further selling in March 2025 as the CPAF drops to 2.4 (or possibly even 2.1!) 
Passives will need to buy 7-15x ADV (13-14% of real float) in the adds and sell 2.7-6.5x ADV in the deletes. There is a big reverse funding trade too.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: NRI, Ryohin Keikaku IN; Nippon Paper, DIC OUT; Fast Retailing Capped

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The healthcare and materials sectors have gained strength and momentum in Hong Kong over the last month, as the overall market has seen broader participation.</li>
<li>The market continues to see net outflows, although it has technically regained its trend support level, suggesting further gains in 2H26.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (325 HK)</a> shares have surged on positive news following the announcement of 1H26 earnings.  The company initiated a buyback earlier this year and announced its first dividend.
</li>
</ul>


The healthcare and materials sectors have gained strength and momentum in Hong Kong over the last month, as the overall market has seen broader participation.
The market continues to see net outflows, although it has technically regained its trend support level, suggesting further gains in 2H26.

Bloks Group (325 HK) shares have surged on positive news following the announcement of 1H26 earnings.  The company initiated a buyback earlier this year and announced its first dividend.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 2026)

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Oracle order for millions of homes worth of power consumption sends DC and server related higher.</li>
<li>Power semis also up as analysts continue to take a more constructive view.</li>
<li>Gaming names may bounce after yesterdays dip given they are seen as 'tariff proof' ahead of deadline.</li>
</ul>


Oracle order for millions of homes worth of power consumption sends DC and server related higher.
Power semis also up as analysts continue to take a more constructive view.
Gaming names may bounce after yesterdays dip given they are seen as 'tariff proof' ahead of deadline.


Japan Morning Connection: AI and Tech Snaps Back with SOX at Recent Highs

<ul>
<li>New smartphone offering from Micron lifts memory plays which may help EUV also.</li>
<li>Comments from Onsemi management that auto has turned the corner positive for Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas.</li>
<li>Kadokawa/Bandai Namco's Nightreign sells 3.5m copies in 4-days, plus a new DLC on the way.</li>
</ul>


New smartphone offering from Micron lifts memory plays which may help EUV also.
Comments from Onsemi management that auto has turned the corner positive for Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas.
Kadokawa/Bandai Namco's Nightreign sells 3.5m copies in 4-days, plus a new DLC on the way.


Japan Morning Connection: Coreweave +25% and Numbers from HP Enterprise Sets Positive Semi Tone

Japan

Bandai Namco Holdings Inc is a holding company established through merger of Bandai and Namco.  The Group manufactures toys, stuffed animals, character goods, video games, commercial- and home-use game equipment and software. Namco Bandai also operates video game arcades and theme parks.

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Bandai Namco Holdings (7832 JP)

Dream International (1126 HK): Postcard From Hong Kong, October 2025

Meeting summary with the Dream International (1126 HK) management in Hong Kong. Recent share pullback values stock at ~8.9x P/E with a ~6.2%...

Sameer Taneja

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: NRI, Ryohin Keikaku IN; Nippon Paper, DIC OUT; Fast Retailing Capped

Nomura Research Institute and Ryohin Keikaku replace Nippon Paper and DIC in the Nikkei 225. Fast Retailing will be capped (and probably again in...

Brian Freitas

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 2026)

The healthcare and materials sectors have gained strength and momentum in Hong Kong over the last month, as the overall market has seen broader...

David Mudd

Japan Morning Connection: AI and Tech Snaps Back with SOX at Recent Highs

DC and server-related stocks boosted by Oracle's deal, while power semiconductors rise with positive outlook. Gaming stocks may rebound after a...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Coreweave +25% and Numbers from HP Enterprise Sets Positive Semi Tone

Kadokawa and Bandai Namco attractive as longs, may be increased focus on derivative wire and cable plays as well as Japan's EUV related.

Andrew Jackson

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