Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Gaming Award nominations could spark sales lift into key holiday selling season   </li>
<li>Highly watched Industry Scores are moving higher for FF7 Rebirth. FF7 Rebirth moving higher up key US gaming charts</li>
<li>Five CQ4 release titles could drive revenues higher from recent lower reset. Big valuation discount and balance sheet opportunities exist</li>
</ul>


Gaming Award nominations could spark sales lift into key holiday selling season   
Highly watched Industry Scores are moving higher for FF7 Rebirth. FF7 Rebirth moving higher up key US gaming charts
Five CQ4 release titles could drive revenues higher from recent lower reset. Big valuation discount and balance sheet opportunities exist


Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> September rebalance ended yesterday. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance in focus for the additions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>'s capping in the index has been confirmed and its index weight will drop by around 0.9% resulting in big selling at the close on 30 September. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 3.5-35x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-42.5x ADV on the deletions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) September rebalance ended yesterday. There could be three changes at the rebalance with sector balance in focus for the additions.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP)'s capping in the index has been confirmed and its index weight will drop by around 0.9% resulting in big selling at the close on 30 September. 
Passive trackers will need to buy between 3.5-35x ADV (2.4%-24% of real float) on the inclusions and sell between 3.7-42.5x ADV on the deletions.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Review Period Done; Fast Retailing Capping Confirmed

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bloks Group, a fast-growing toy company and leader of assembly character toys, filed for a Hong Kong IPO. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, PRC, and has 410 full-time employees.</li>
<li>Bloks Group has raised $200M+ to date from investors, including YF Capital, Legend Capital, Source Code Capital, Gaorong Capital and SinoMedia Asia Pacific.</li>
<li>The Chinese toy maker has delivered an exceptional revenue hyper-growth of 169% y/y in 2023. Elite operating metrics and impressive financial profile make IPO attractive for investors.</li>
</ul>


Bloks Group, a fast-growing toy company and leader of assembly character toys, filed for a Hong Kong IPO. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, PRC, and has 410 full-time employees.
Bloks Group has raised $200M+ to date from investors, including YF Capital, Legend Capital, Source Code Capital, Gaorong Capital and SinoMedia Asia Pacific.
The Chinese toy maker has delivered an exceptional revenue hyper-growth of 169% y/y in 2023. Elite operating metrics and impressive financial profile make IPO attractive for investors.


Bloks Group IPO: Exceptional Revenue Hyper-Growth and Profitability Are Unique Among Toy Makers

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Event-Driven

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)

<ul>
<li>Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-mitsui-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:217:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)</a> cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>SMFG had a stake over US$100m in at least 47 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$17bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) cross-shareholding.
SMFG had a stake over US$100m in at least 47 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$17bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


SMFG Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Nippon Express Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-express-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18582:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 4.8 million shares (including overallotment). There are seven selling shareholders.</li>
<li>The secondary offering comes ahead of the implementation of regulatory restrictions on truck drivers' overtime in April 2024, which is widely known as the ‘2024 Problem’.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between 11 and 13 March (likely 11 March).</li>
</ul>



Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 4.8 million shares (including overallotment). There are seven selling shareholders.
The secondary offering comes ahead of the implementation of regulatory restrictions on truck drivers' overtime in April 2024, which is widely known as the ‘2024 Problem’.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between 11 and 13 March (likely 11 March).


Nippon Express (9147 JP): A US$260 Million Secondary Offering

Japan

Bandai Namco Holdings Inc is a holding company established through merger of Bandai and Namco.  The Group manufactures toys, stuffed animals, character goods, video games, commercial- and home-use game equipment and software. Namco Bandai also operates video game arcades and theme parks.

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Bandai Namco Holdings (7832 JP)

Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

Gaming award nominations and industry scores for FF7 Rebirth could boost sales during the holiday season. CQ4 releases may drive revenues higher...

Neil Campling

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Review Period Done; Fast Retailing Capping Confirmed

Review period ended yesterday. Fast Retailing's capping will result in a 0.9% drop in index weight. There could be 3 index changes with sector...

Brian Freitas

Bloks Group IPO: Exceptional Revenue Hyper-Growth and Profitability Are Unique Among Toy Makers

Bloks Group, a fast-growing leader of assembly character toys, is seeking to raise capital in Hong Kong. The company is something exceptional in...

Andrei Zakharov

SMFG Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) cross-shareholding. SMFG...

Sumeet Singh

Nippon Express (9147 JP): A US$260 Million Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Gaming. Square Enix (9684 JP). 3 NOTABLE POSITIVES SO FAR IN OCTOBER. BIG MONTH AHEAD

​Gaming award nominations and industry scores for FF7 Rebirth could boost sales during the holiday season. CQ4 releases may drive revenues higher...

Neil Campling

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2024): Review Period Done; Fast Retailing Capping Confirmed

Review period ended yesterday. Fast Retailing's capping will result in a 0.9% drop in index weight. There could be 3 index changes with sector...

Brian Freitas

Bloks Group IPO: Exceptional Revenue Hyper-Growth and Profitability Are Unique Among Toy Makers

Bloks Group, a fast-growing leader of assembly character toys, is seeking to raise capital in Hong Kong. The company is something exceptional in...

Andrei Zakharov

SMFG Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) cross-shareholding. SMFG...

Sumeet Singh

Nippon Express (9147 JP): A US$260 Million Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will likely fall between...

Arun George

Gaming award nominations and industry scores for FF7 Rebirth could boost sales during the holiday season. CQ4 releases may drive revenues higher...