Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Given the size of Mandi - relative to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3sbio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:459:1" rel="noopener">3SBio Inc (1530 HK)</a> - higher market multiples for its in-specie spin-off may have a limited impact on the overall valuation.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a>  raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing in May 2025. The last day for their lockup was the 19th November 2025.</li>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grindr-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37106:1" rel="noopener">Grindr (GRND US)</a> Special Committee considers the MBO proposal, chairman James Lu has unusually opted to step down. And sell shares below the NBIO price. </li>
</ul>


Given the size of Mandi - relative to 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) - higher market multiples for its in-specie spin-off may have a limited impact on the overall valuation.

CATL (3750 HK)  raised around US$5.2bn in its H-share listing in May 2025. The last day for their lockup was the 19th November 2025.
While Grindr (GRND US) Special Committee considers the MBO proposal, chairman James Lu has unusually opted to step down. And sell shares below the NBIO price. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: 3SBio/Mandi, CATL, Grindr, Mandarin Oriental

<ul>
<li>As first discussed back in May (see <a href="https://skr.ma/LAfHm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>), shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xspring-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19807:1" rel="noopener">XSpring (XPG TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bec-world-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16881:1" rel="noopener">BEC (BEC TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-practical-solution-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45379:1" rel="noopener">The Practical Solution (TPS TB)</a> all went limit down. Twice.</li>
<li>Pledging in those shares - in what I call the Prakitchaiwattana Complex - have been static, to down, in the month of October.</li>
<li>Recent big-ish moves were seen in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siam-city-cement-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:346:1" rel="noopener">Siam City Cement (SCCC TB)</a> (up), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-expressway-and-metro-68c0c1b3-af0c-4380-a380-f3dc7ba5d5ac" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22849:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB)</a> (up); <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nakhonluang-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26954:1" rel="noopener">Next Capital (NCAP TB)</a> (down) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banpu-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15363:1" rel="noopener">Banpu Public (BANPU TB)</a> (down).</li>
</ul>


As first discussed back in May (see here), shares in Krungthai Card (KTC TB), XSpring (XPG TB), BEC (BEC TB), and The Practical Solution (TPS TB) all went limit down. Twice.
Pledging in those shares - in what I call the Prakitchaiwattana Complex - have been static, to down, in the month of October.
Recent big-ish moves were seen in Siam City Cement (SCCC TB) (up), Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB) (up); Next Capital (NCAP TB) (down) and Banpu Public (BANPU TB) (down).


Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Despite pressure on the SET from concerns that the Fed may delay rate cuts, continued selling in the technology sector, and ongoing fund outflows—along with the lack of positive catalysts—the index continued to move within a narrow range.</li><li>The index tested the support at 1,263 points and managed to rebound for consecutive sessions.</li><li>With trading volume remaining thin, it is difficult to gauge the index’s short-term trend.</li></ul>

Despite pressure on the SET from concerns that the Fed may delay rate cuts, continued selling in the technology sector, and ongoing fund outflows—along with the lack of positive catalysts—the index continued to move within a narrow range.The index tested the support at 1,263 points and managed to rebound for consecutive sessions.With trading volume remaining thin, it is difficult to gauge the index’s short-term trend.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 20, 2025

<ul><li>Asian bourses fell in tandem with the Dow Jones, pressured by fading prospects of a Fed rate cut and renewed selling in technology shares.</li><li>The index is now at a critical juncture, as any further pullback would increase the risk of slipping into a downtrend.</li><li>We expect it to hold above 1,266 points to preserve the current sideways pattern.</li></ul>

Asian bourses fell in tandem with the Dow Jones, pressured by fading prospects of a Fed rate cut and renewed selling in technology shares.The index is now at a critical juncture, as any further pullback would increase the risk of slipping into a downtrend.We expect it to hold above 1,266 points to preserve the current sideways pattern.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 19, 2025

<ul><li>Although the SET lacked clear catalysts after 3Q25 GDP grew only 1.2%, the index quickly stabilized and rebounded to the 1,280 level, supported by renewed buying in DELTA, ADVANC, CPN, banking, and energy stocks.</li><li>The index held above the 1,266 support level, backed by a bullish candlestick signal and sustained interest in large-cap stocks, indicating potential for a quick rebound.</li><li>We therefore recommend buying on weakness and selling on rebounds.</li></ul>

Although the SET lacked clear catalysts after 3Q25 GDP grew only 1.2%, the index quickly stabilized and rebounded to the 1,280 level, supported by renewed buying in DELTA, ADVANC, CPN, banking, and energy stocks.The index held above the 1,266 support level, backed by a bullish candlestick signal and sustained interest in large-cap stocks, indicating potential for a quick rebound.We therefore recommend buying on weakness and selling on rebounds.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 18, 2025

Thailand

Banpu Public Company Limited mines for coal and other minerals. The Company produces thermal coal and coking coal, and have expertise in open-pit and underground coal mining operations, as well as coal-fired power generation.  Banpu PCL has business bases in Thailand, Laos, Indonesia, China, Australia and Mongolia.

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Banpu (BANPU-R TB)

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Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 20, 2025

The index tested the support at 1,263 points and managed to rebound for consecutive sessions. With trading volume remaining thin, it is difficult...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 19, 2025

Asian bourses fell in tandem with the Dow Jones, pressured by fading prospects of a Fed rate cut and renewed selling in technology shares.

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 18, 2025

The index held above the 1,266 support level, backed by a bullish candlestick signal and sustained interest in large-cap stocks, indicating...

Krungthai XSpring

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