Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Zijin Mining is spinning off its seven overseas gold mines into Zijin Gold International, creating a dedicated, pure-play gold producer and positioning it for a Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>The IPO proceeds will primarily fund mine upgrades and overseas M&amp;A, with a portion earmarked to reinforce the balance sheet and corporate flexibility.</li>
<li>With media reports suggesting a $3B+ IPO size and potential launch in September, coupled with gold rallying above $3,600/oz, investor appetite around the listing is notably heightened.</li>
</ul>


Zijin Mining is spinning off its seven overseas gold mines into Zijin Gold International, creating a dedicated, pure-play gold producer and positioning it for a Hong Kong IPO.
The IPO proceeds will primarily fund mine upgrades and overseas M&amp;A, with a portion earmarked to reinforce the balance sheet and corporate flexibility.
With media reports suggesting a $3B+ IPO size and potential launch in September, coupled with gold rallying above $3,600/oz, investor appetite around the listing is notably heightened.


Zijin Gold International – Creating a Global Pure-Play Gold Champion

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Gold equities have seen a significant run up in price, with strong earnings being reported in the past few months.</li><li>Despite the increase in gold price, generalist investors have been slow to enter the gold market, causing some skepticism about the sustainability of the price above $3,000.</li><li>However, industry experts believe there is still room for growth in the gold market, with potential for more retail and institutional investors to enter the space and drive margins higher.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Gold equities have seen a significant run up in price, with strong earnings being reported in the past few months.Despite the increase in gold price, generalist investors have been slow to enter the gold market, causing some skepticism about the sustainability of the price above $3,000.However, industry experts believe there is still room for growth in the gold market, with potential for more retail and institutional investors to enter the space and drive margins higher.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Gold Miners That Actually Compound (Greg Orrell)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Shandong Gold Mining   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement, in order to pay down debt.</li>
<li>The H-shares are now trading at all-time highs and have been performing better than the A-shares this year.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement, in order to pay down debt.
The H-shares are now trading at all-time highs and have been performing better than the A-shares this year.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Shandong Gold Mining Placement - H-Share Running Ahead of A-Shares

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Giant Network Group Co Ltd / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.
We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.


Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

<ul>
<li>Recent Results: Newmont delivered a strong Q1 2025 performance with record free cash flow of $1.2 billion, driven by higher gold prices and increased production from Tier 1 assets.</li>
<li>Future Plans: The company plans to ramp up Tier 1 output to ~6.7 Moz by 2028, led by projects like Ahafo North, Tanami Expansion 2, and Cadia block-cave development.</li>
<li>Valuation Upside: If current gold prices around $3,400/oz persist, Newmont’s earnings could double vs. consensus, unlocking over 50% potential upside from current share levels.</li>
</ul>


Recent Results: Newmont delivered a strong Q1 2025 performance with record free cash flow of $1.2 billion, driven by higher gold prices and increased production from Tier 1 assets.
Future Plans: The company plans to ramp up Tier 1 output to ~6.7 Moz by 2028, led by projects like Ahafo North, Tanami Expansion 2, and Cadia block-cave development.
Valuation Upside: If current gold prices around $3,400/oz persist, Newmont’s earnings could double vs. consensus, unlocking over 50% potential upside from current share levels.


Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) – Strong Q1, Tier 1 Growth Ahead, Significant Upside if Gold Holds

United States

Barrick Mining Corporation is a mining company. The Company produces gold and copper, as well as operating mines and development projects. Barrick Mining serves customers worldwide.

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Barrick Mining (B US)

Zijin Gold International – Creating a Global Pure-Play Gold Champion

Zijin Mining to spin off overseas gold mines into Zijin Gold International for Hong Kong IPO, with proceeds funding upgrades, M&A, and bolstering...

Rahul Jain

Gold Miners That Actually Compound (Greg Orrell)

Gold miners are experiencing strong earnings and profit margins due to the rise in gold prices, but generalist investors are slow to enter the gold...

Money of Mine

Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

Still Bullish. China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 Int'l Compass titled "China and Japan Breaking Out." It...

Vermilion Research

Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) – Strong Q1, Tier 1 Growth Ahead, Significant Upside if Gold Holds

Newmont's strong Q1 performance driven by record free cash flow, plans to increase Tier 1 output by 2028, and potential for significant earnings...

Rahul Jain

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Zijin Gold International – Creating a Global Pure-Play Gold Champion

​Zijin Mining to spin off overseas gold mines into Zijin Gold International for Hong Kong IPO, with proceeds funding upgrades, M&A, and bolstering...

Rahul Jain

Gold Miners That Actually Compound (Greg Orrell)

Gold miners are experiencing strong earnings and profit margins due to the rise in gold prices, but generalist investors are slow to enter the gold...

Money of Mine

Shandong Gold Mining Placement - H-Share Running Ahead of A-Shares

Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement, in order to pay down debt. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

Still Bullish. China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 Int'l Compass titled "China and Japan Breaking Out." It...

Vermilion Research

Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) – Strong Q1, Tier 1 Growth Ahead, Significant Upside if Gold Holds

​Newmont's strong Q1 performance driven by record free cash flow, plans to increase Tier 1 output by 2028, and potential for significant earnings...

Rahul Jain

Zijin Mining to spin off overseas gold mines into Zijin Gold International for Hong Kong IPO, with proceeds funding upgrades, M&A, and bolstering...

Newmont's strong Q1 performance driven by record free cash flow, plans to increase Tier 1 output by 2028, and potential for significant earnings...