HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Hangzhou Diagens Biotechnology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The willingness of hospitals/patients to purchase medical AI products/services is still not strong enough. The real turning point for the commercialization of medical AI hasn’t arrived yet.</li>
<li>The small revenue scale reflects that Diagens’ products have not received widespread recognition from the medical system. Market education cost would be high, leading to increasing selling and distribution expenses</li>
<li>Valuation should be higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/basecare-medical-device-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31086:1" rel="noopener">Basecare (2170 HK)</a> who just focuses on testing kits in assisted reproduction, but should be lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xunfei-healthcare-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40836:1" rel="noopener">Xunfei Healthcare</a>, who has better commercialization performance/channels advantage.</li>
</ul>


The willingness of hospitals/patients to purchase medical AI products/services is still not strong enough. The real turning point for the commercialization of medical AI hasn’t arrived yet.
The small revenue scale reflects that Diagens’ products have not received widespread recognition from the medical system. Market education cost would be high, leading to increasing selling and distribution expenses
Valuation should be higher than Basecare (2170 HK) who just focuses on testing kits in assisted reproduction, but should be lower than Xunfei Healthcare, who has better commercialization performance/channels advantage.


Pre-IPO Hangzhou Diagens Biotechnology - The Turning Point of Medical Imaging AI Has Not Arrived

Equity Bottom-Up

Basecare Medical Device / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Basecare has its strength in reproductive genetics medical device industry. Its performance improved based on 22H1 results. If positive momentum continues, Basecare is able to achieve breakeven in foreseeable future. </li>
<li>However, the actual market penetration of assisted reproduction in China is much lower than expected. This means the growth ceiling of Basecase is uncertain, indicating potential problems in long-term logic.</li>
<li>Basecase’s market value has fallen below its cash balance. There’s a mismatch between the intrinsic value and market price, so we expect that valuation repair could occur in the future. </li>
</ul>


Basecare has its strength in reproductive genetics medical device industry. Its performance improved based on 22H1 results. If positive momentum continues, Basecare is able to achieve breakeven in foreseeable future. 
However, the actual market penetration of assisted reproduction in China is much lower than expected. This means the growth ceiling of Basecase is uncertain, indicating potential problems in long-term logic.
Basecase’s market value has fallen below its cash balance. There’s a mismatch between the intrinsic value and market price, so we expect that valuation repair could occur in the future. 


Basecare Medical Device (2170.HK)- There's Valuation Repair Expectation, but Long-Logic Is Untenable

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Jinxin Fertility Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We have discussed in our previous note that Jinxin Fertility will be a beneficiary for the China's promotional policy for the third child. With the recent share price weakness and development on the policy front, we provide updates on the company and continue to believe that it is a name to hold for more favorable policy tailwinds to come. </p>

We have discussed in our previous note that Jinxin Fertility will be a beneficiary for the China's promotional policy for the third child. With the recent share price weakness and development on the policy front, we provide updates on the company and continue to believe that it is a name to hold for more favorable policy tailwinds to come. 

Jinxin Fertility: Signs of Policy Tailwind and Valuation Dislocation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zylox-tonbridge-medical-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32974:1" rel="noopener">Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology (2190 HK)</a> is a China-based neuro- and peripheral-vascular interventional medical device manufacturer. The product portfolio consists of a total of eight approved products in China and overseas. Its two core products which are launched in China are Thrombite Clot Retriever Device (Thrombite CRD) and Ultrafree Drug Coated PTA Balloon Catheter (Ultrafree DCB). </p>
<p>Zylox-Tonbridge will commence trading on Monday, 5 July. Zylox-Tonbridge priced its IPO at HK$42.70 and <a href="https://inews.hket.com/article/2996563/%E3%80%90%E6%96%B0%E8%82%A1IPO%E3%80%91%E6%AD%B8%E5%89%B5%E9%80%9A%E6%A9%8B2190%E6%9A%97%E7%9B%A4%E6%94%B6%E5%8D%8730-%E3%80%80%E4%B8%80%E6%89%8B%E5%B8%B3%E9%9D%A2%E8%B3%BA6575%E5%85%83?mtc=40001&amp;srkw=IPO%E6%9C%80%E5%BF%AB%E6%9C%80%E9%BD%8A" target="_blank" rel="noopener">closed 31% up at HK$55.85</a> in the Futu securities grey market. </p>
</div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zylox-tonbridge-ipo-living-on" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53469" rel="noopener">Zylox-Tonbridge IPO: Living On</a>, we opined that Zylox-Tonbridge is on the cusp of delivering on a sizeable addressable market opportunity as its two core products (Thrombite CRD and Ultrafree DCB) were only recently commercialised in China. While Thrombite CRD and Ultrafree DCB will account for most of the revenue over the short term, Zylox-Tonbridge has a strong near-term commercialisation pipeline, which further de-risks the story. We concluded that Zylox-Tonbridge’s product portfolio is attractive. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zylox-tonbridge-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53517" rel="noopener">Zylox-Tonbridge IPO: Valuation Insights</a>, we noted that the IPO price range is attractive.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Updating for the final IPO net raise, our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$48.89 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that we would take profits at the grey market price.</p></div></div></div>


Zylox-Tonbridge Medical Technology (2190 HK) is a China-based neuro- and peripheral-vascular interventional medical device manufacturer. The product portfolio consists of a total of eight approved products in China and overseas. Its two core products which are launched in China are Thrombite Clot Retriever Device (Thrombite CRD) and Ultrafree Drug Coated PTA Balloon Catheter (Ultrafree DCB). 
Zylox-Tonbridge will commence trading on Monday, 5 July. Zylox-Tonbridge priced its IPO at HK$42.70 and closed 31% up at HK$55.85 in the Futu securities grey market. 
In Zylox-Tonbridge IPO: Living On, we opined that Zylox-Tonbridge is on the cusp of delivering on a sizeable addressable market opportunity as its two core products (Thrombite CRD and Ultrafree DCB) were only recently commercialised in China. While Thrombite CRD and Ultrafree DCB will account for most of the revenue over the short term, Zylox-Tonbridge has a strong near-term commercialisation pipeline, which further de-risks the story. We concluded that Zylox-Tonbridge’s product portfolio is attractive. In Zylox-Tonbridge IPO: Valuation Insights, we noted that the IPO price range is attractive.Updating for the final IPO net raise, our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$48.89 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that we would take profits at the grey market price.

Kindstar Globalgene Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kindstar-globalgene-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32175:1" rel="noopener">Kindstar Globalgene Technology (9960 HK)</a> is a leading independent esoteric clinical testing service provider in China. Kindstar provides full-spectrum testing services primarily to hospitals in various speciality areas, including hematology, genetic diseases and rare diseases, infectious diseases, oncology, neurology and maternity-related diseases. In 2020, Kindstar had a 4.1% revenue market share of the total esoteric testing market in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. </p></div><div><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.60-9.78 per share, Kindstar will have a market cap of HK$7,788.3-8,857.0 ($1.0-1.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$1,931.1 million ($250 million). </p></div><div><p>Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $140 million of the offer shares (52.2% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include BlackRock, CPE, Snow Lake Capital, Carmignac Funds, Natixis Investment Managers, Athos Capital and IvyRock Asset Management.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kindstar-globalgene-ipo-initiation-testing-testing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53731" rel="noopener">Kindstar Globalgene IPO Initiation: Testing, Testing</a>, we stated that the business has successfully overcome the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with most of its segments displaying either a return to growth or lower revenue declines in 4Q20 in comparison to 9M20. In combination, with solid operating leverage and cash generation, we think that the Kindstar IPO is worth a look. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.</p></div></div></div>

Kindstar Globalgene Technology (9960 HK) is a leading independent esoteric clinical testing service provider in China. Kindstar provides full-spectrum testing services primarily to hospitals in various speciality areas, including hematology, genetic diseases and rare diseases, infectious diseases, oncology, neurology and maternity-related diseases. In 2020, Kindstar had a 4.1% revenue market share of the total esoteric testing market in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.60-9.78 per share, Kindstar will have a market cap of HK$7,788.3-8,857.0 ($1.0-1.1 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$1,931.1 million ($250 million). Seven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $140 million of the offer shares (52.2% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors include BlackRock, CPE, Snow Lake Capital, Carmignac Funds, Natixis Investment Managers, Athos Capital and IvyRock Asset Management.In Kindstar Globalgene IPO Initiation: Testing, Testing, we stated that the business has successfully overcome the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, with most of its segments displaying either a return to growth or lower revenue declines in 4Q20 in comparison to 9M20. In combination, with solid operating leverage and cash generation, we think that the Kindstar IPO is worth a look. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.

Kindstar Globalgene IPO: Valuation Insights

China

Suzhou Basecare Medical Corporation Limited operates as a genetic technology researching company. The Company provides a comprehensive clinical solution for reproductive health. Suzhou Basecare Medical also develops and markets innovative medical devices.

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Basecare Medical Device (2170 HK)

Pre-IPO Hangzhou Diagens Biotechnology - The Turning Point of Medical Imaging AI Has Not Arrived

Hospital/patients are not yet fully embracing medical AI, hindering commercialization.Diagens faces challenges in gaining recognition considering...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang