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Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

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<ul><li>Stocks continue to gain, even if only modestly, in much of the furniture and furnishings space, as the markets continue to digest the impact of the new administration’s policies.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 0.2%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was up 0.2%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 3.1%, while the large-cap indexes were up 1.7% and the R2K gained 1.5%.</li><li>Furniture imports from Mexico and Canada facing potential tariffs as Trump appears to be using tariff threat (for now) to exact concessions and policy changes from USMCA partners.</li></ul>

Stocks continue to gain, even if only modestly, in much of the furniture and furnishings space, as the markets continue to digest the impact of the new administration’s policies.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 0.2%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was up 0.2%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 3.1%, while the large-cap indexes were up 1.7% and the R2K gained 1.5%.Furniture imports from Mexico and Canada facing potential tariffs as Trump appears to be using tariff threat (for now) to exact concessions and policy changes from USMCA partners.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly -  Thinking Through Mexico and Canada Tariff Implications

<ul><li>Furniture and furnishings stocks moved sharply higher, as a small-cap rotation on top of generally positive sentiments dominated trading, in what is likely an anticipation of economic gains from the new administration’s policies.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 5.2%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was up 7.2%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 4.0%, while the large- cap indexes gained 2.7% and the R2K was up 3.8%.</li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">ARHS noted (1) its 4Q24 comps sales were up 6%, </span>reversing the “low single-digit declines” seen in October.</li></ul>

Furniture and furnishings stocks moved sharply higher, as a small-cap rotation on top of generally positive sentiments dominated trading, in what is likely an anticipation of economic gains from the new administration’s policies.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 5.2%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was up 7.2%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 4.0%, while the large- cap indexes gained 2.7% and the R2K was up 3.8%.ARHS noted (1) its 4Q24 comps sales were up 6%, reversing the “low single-digit declines” seen in October.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - ARHS 4Q Comps Up, Time at Home Up

<ul><li>Stocks were down as the Financial Conditions Index (FCI) tightened, indicating tougher financing conditions for both firms and individuals, on elevated inflation concerns and anticipation of a more hawkish Fed.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index declined 5.0% and the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index fell 2.5%, while the Home Goods Retailers Index improved 0.3%.</li><li>The large- cap indexes fell 1.9%, while the R2K fell 3.4%.</li></ul>

Stocks were down as the Financial Conditions Index (FCI) tightened, indicating tougher financing conditions for both firms and individuals, on elevated inflation concerns and anticipation of a more hawkish Fed.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index declined 5.0% and the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index fell 2.5%, while the Home Goods Retailers Index improved 0.3%.The large- cap indexes fell 1.9%, while the R2K fell 3.4%.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Climate Change; Lower Household Formation Rates, Globally

<ul><li>It was a relatively quiet holiday-shortened trading week.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down (-2.5%) and the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down (-0.3%), while the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 2.0% in a week where the large-cap indexes modestly declined (-0.5%) and the R2K was up 0.9%.</li><li>SCS posted solid 3QFY25 results (on December 18), noting that while FY25 demand has been a bit weaker than expected at the beginning of the year, recent activity suggests demand (finally) may be inflecting, especially in the Americas segment (~3/4 of revenue).</li></ul>

It was a relatively quiet holiday-shortened trading week.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down (-2.5%) and the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down (-0.3%), while the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 2.0% in a week where the large-cap indexes modestly declined (-0.5%) and the R2K was up 0.9%.SCS posted solid 3QFY25 results (on December 18), noting that while FY25 demand has been a bit weaker than expected at the beginning of the year, recent activity suggests demand (finally) may be inflecting, especially in the Americas segment (~3/4 of revenue).

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly SCS 3QFY25 Earnings; Winner Takes Most in US Retail

<ul><li>It was a mixed week for furniture and furnishings stocks, as earnings results and company-specific factors seemed to dominate trading for several issuers (LOVE, RH, BYON) while the market waits for the Fed’s next move.</li><li>The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down 3.7%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down 4.8%, the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 1.3%, and the Mass Retailers Index was down 0.1% for the week, while the large-cap indexes were flat and the R2K was down 2.0%.</li><li>RH up big after demonstrating market share gains in its latest quarter and accelerating demand trends in the core business. </li></ul>

It was a mixed week for furniture and furnishings stocks, as earnings results and company-specific factors seemed to dominate trading for several issuers (LOVE, RH, BYON) while the market waits for the Fed’s next move.The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down 3.7%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down 4.8%, the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 1.3%, and the Mass Retailers Index was down 0.1% for the week, while the large-cap indexes were flat and the R2K was down 2.0%.RH up big after demonstrating market share gains in its latest quarter and accelerating demand trends in the core business. 

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - December 16, 2024

United States

Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated manufactures and sells a full line of furniture for the home.  The Company offers bedroom and dining suites, occasional tables and entertainment units, upholstered sofas and love seats, recliners, and mattresses, among other products.  Bassett's products are sold through retailers, including Bassett Furniture Direct.

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Bassett Furniture Inds (BSET US)

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Thinking Through Mexico and Canada Tariff Implications

Stocks continue to gain, even if only modestly, in much of the furniture and furnishings space, as the markets continue to digest the impact of the...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - ARHS 4Q Comps Up, Time at Home Up

Furniture and furnishings stocks moved sharply higher, as a small-cap rotation on top of generally positive sentiments dominated trading

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Climate Change; Lower Household Formation Rates, Globally

Stocks were down as the Financial Conditions Index (FCI) tightened, indicating tougher financing conditions for both firms and individuals

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly SCS 3QFY25 Earnings; Winner Takes Most in US Retail

The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down (-2.5%) and the Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index was down (-0.3%)

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - December 16, 2024

It was a mixed week for furniture and furnishings stocks, as earnings results and company-specific factors seemed to dominate trading for several...

Water Tower Research

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