Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
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Equity Bottom-Up

Bassett Furniture Inds / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Bassett Furniture Industries (NASDAQ: BSET) is a 123-year-old, Virginia-headquartered, vertically integrated designer, manufacturer and retailer of residential furniture</li><li>Organized into Wholesale (three US-owned plants supplying its own stores plus ~1,000 independent dealers) and Retail (57 company-owned of 86 total Bassett Home Furnishings stores).</li><li>In October 2022 a private-equity-backed buyer, CSC Generation, offered $21/share cash for the whole company</li></ul>

Bassett Furniture Industries (NASDAQ: BSET) is a 123-year-old, Virginia-headquartered, vertically integrated designer, manufacturer and retailer of residential furnitureOrganized into Wholesale (three US-owned plants supplying its own stores plus ~1,000 independent dealers) and Retail (57 company-owned of 86 total Bassett Home Furnishings stores).In October 2022 a private-equity-backed buyer, CSC Generation, offered $21/share cash for the whole company

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our bullish outlook, intact since early November, has been based on the fact that virtually all signals from the market have been consistent with risk-on behavior that we would expect to see in bull markets. Now, the picture is less clear; we are still bullish, just slightly less so than we have been over the past 2-3 months. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Manufacturing, and Technology.

Our bullish outlook, intact since early November, has been based on the fact that virtually all signals from the market have been consistent with risk-on behavior that we would expect to see in bull markets. Now, the picture is less clear; we are still bullish, just slightly less so than we have been over the past 2-3 months. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Manufacturing, and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Downgrading Manufacturing & Transports

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Forecasted inclusions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CRWV</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/figma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45422:1" rel="noopener">FIG</a> due to increased public voting rights, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bitfarms-ltd-of-canada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35932:1" rel="noopener">KEEL</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener">SUNB</a> due to newly eligible US index nationality, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/opendoor-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32216:1" rel="noopener">OPEN</a> &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener"></a>Projected deletions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beyond-meat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28065:1" rel="noopener">Beyond Meat (BYND US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/getty-images-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37015:1" rel="noopener">Getty Images (GETY US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alight-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27940:1" rel="noopener">Alight (ALIT US)</a> because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.</li>
<li>Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloom-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34062:1" rel="noopener"> Bloom Energy (BE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextracker-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36731:1" rel="noopener">Nextpower (NXT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fabrinet" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8813:1" rel="noopener">Fabrinet (FN US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credo-technology-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35436:1" rel="noopener">Credo Technology (CRDO US)</a>, resulting in passive fund supply.</li>
</ul>


Forecasted inclusions include CRWV &amp; FIG due to increased public voting rights, KEEL &amp; SUNB due to newly eligible US index nationality, and OPEN &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.

Projected deletions include Beyond Meat (BYND US), Getty Images (GETY US), and Alight (ALIT US) because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.
Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include Bloom Energy (BE US), Nextpower (NXT US), Fabrinet (FN US), and Credo Technology (CRDO US), resulting in passive fund supply.


US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

The U.S. market continues to flash mixed signals, most recently Utilities have shown a big climb in our relative strength rankings. Given mixed signals , our outlook remains neutral and we continue to expect further consolidation and volatility.  In today’s report we highlight concerning groups that illustrate areas of growing deterioration across the market. Concerning groups: TE-04 and TE-05 (Semiconductor Equipment, Large, Mid, and Small-Cap), CD-08 (Home Furnishings), and FN-25 (Asset Management &amp; Custody Banks, Mid-Cap).

The U.S. market continues to flash mixed signals, most recently Utilities have shown a big climb in our relative strength rankings. Given mixed signals , our outlook remains neutral and we continue to expect further consolidation and volatility.  In today’s report we highlight concerning groups that illustrate areas of growing deterioration across the market. Concerning groups: TE-04 and TE-05 (Semiconductor Equipment, Large, Mid, and Small-Cap), CD-08 (Home Furnishings), and FN-25 (Asset Management &amp; Custody Banks, Mid-Cap).

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Manufacturing

United States

Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated manufactures and sells a full line of furniture for the home.  The Company offers bedroom and dining suites, occasional tables and entertainment units, upholstered sofas and love seats, recliners, and mattresses, among other products.  Bassett's products are sold through retailers, including Bassett Furniture Direct.

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Bassett Furniture Inds (BSET US)

Monday Delight: 05/10/2026

Bassett Furniture Industries (NASDAQ: BSET) is a 123-year-old, Virginia-headquartered, vertically integrated designer, manufacturer and retailer...

Contrarian Cashflows

U.S. Equity Strategy: Downgrading Manufacturing & Transports

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Manufacturing, and Technology

Vermilion Research

US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

The last annual reconstitution for index US‑R3000 is approaching, with additions and deletions driven by public voting rights, extreme price...

Dimitris Ioannidis

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Manufacturing

The U.S. market continues to flash mixed signals, most recently Utilities have shown a big climb in our relative strength rankings. Given mixed...

Vermilion Research

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