Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearing completion, there could be 14/15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 6.6bn (US$79m). With US$38bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>Performance of a long adds/short deletes trade was very good in March, and we could see a repeat over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearing completion, there could be 14/15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 6.6bn (US$79m). With US$38bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
Performance of a long adds/short deletes trade was very good in March, and we could see a repeat over the next couple of months.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Changes & Good Performance as Actives Start Trading

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Q4 highlights: Revenue grew 2.5% YoY to INR7.98bn (HSIE: INR8.11bn) due to weak consumer demand.</li><li>The sub-INR500 product range (&lt;10% of sales for FY24) and distribution channel continue to remain under pressure while premium categories (~40% of sales for FY24) continue to backstop a decline.</li><li>SSSG is likely to be negative over FY24. Bata added 27 stores (net) in Q4 (franchise/total store count: 533/1,862) primarily in Tier 3-5 cities to cater to unfulfilled demand and clock higher RoCE (target store addition for FY25 – 120; 80% franchise stores).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q4 highlights: Revenue grew 2.5% YoY to INR7.98bn (HSIE: INR8.11bn) due to weak consumer demand.The sub-INR500 product range (&lt;10% of sales for FY24) and distribution channel continue to remain under pressure while premium categories (~40% of sales for FY24) continue to backstop a decline.SSSG is likely to be negative over FY24. Bata added 27 stores (net) in Q4 (franchise/total store count: 533/1,862) primarily in Tier 3-5 cities to cater to unfulfilled demand and clock higher RoCE (target store addition for FY25 – 120; 80% franchise stores).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bata India - Continues to Be a Category Laggard

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Geojit BNP Paribas

Geojit

Geojit BNP Paribas

Geojit BNP Paribas is a leading Indian investment services company with a strong presence in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Geojit's research report onBata India Bata India Ltd.</li><li>(BIL) is the largest retailer and leading manufacturer of footwear in India, with 1,835 retail store presence in 1518 towns (Dec 2023).</li><li>We downgrade our rating to Accumulate with a revised target price of Rs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Geojit's research report onBata India Bata India Ltd.(BIL) is the largest retailer and leading manufacturer of footwear in India, with 1,835 retail store presence in 1518 towns (Dec 2023).We downgrade our rating to Accumulate with a revised target price of Rs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bata India Ltd. - High Ad Spends to Push Demand

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>BATA’s result was below our/street estimates across all parameters.</li><li>The company’s revenue grew by a marginal 0.4% YoY (versus our estimate of 10% YoY) due to muted performance in the mass end of the portfolio.</li><li>However, the premium portfolio continued to remain strong. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BATA’s result was below our/street estimates across all parameters.The company’s revenue grew by a marginal 0.4% YoY (versus our estimate of 10% YoY) due to muted performance in the mass end of the portfolio.However, the premium portfolio continued to remain strong. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BATA INDIA - Subdued Performance; Maintain HOLD

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> too.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the NIFTY Index and Nifty Next 50 Index too.
The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

India

Bata India Limited manufactures a wide range of leather, rubber/canvas and plastic footwear products.  The Company also manufactures sports apparel and leather accessories.  Bata India sells its products through its chain of company owned retail stores in India, as well as to businesses in the USA, United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East and the Far East.

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Bata India Ltd (BATA IN)

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Changes & Good Performance as Actives Start Trading

There could be 14/15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap150 Index in Sep. Apart from the passive trackers, there are huge active funds tracking the index....

Brian Freitas

Bata India - Continues to Be a Category Laggard

The sub-INR500 product range (<10% of sales for FY24) and distribution channel continue to remain under pressure while premium categories (~40% of...

HDFC Securities

Bata India Ltd. - High Ad Spends to Push Demand

Geojit's research report onBata India Bata India Ltd. (BIL) is the largest retailer and leading manufacturer of footwear in India, with 1,835...

Geojit

BATA INDIA - Subdued Performance; Maintain HOLD

The company’s revenue grew by a marginal 0.4% YoY (versus our estimate of 10% YoY) due to muted performance in the mass end of the portfolio.

Axis Direct

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

We see 41 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

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