HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China National Building Material / Equity Bottom-Up

China National Building Material (3323 HK)

<ul>
<li>The prices of the construction materials stocks collapsed recently, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> holding firm, thanks to the buyback proposal.</li>
<li>A sustained drop in cement prices and continued weakness in fixed asset investment revealed the challenging demand environment, making CNBM's offer attractive.</li>
<li>The buyback price equals 25.7x and 10.8x PERs for FY24F and FY25F, representing a hefty premium over peers. We continue to believe this is a good exit opportunity. </li>
</ul>


The prices of the construction materials stocks collapsed recently, with China National Building Material (3323 HK) holding firm, thanks to the buyback proposal.
A sustained drop in cement prices and continued weakness in fixed asset investment revealed the challenging demand environment, making CNBM's offer attractive.
The buyback price equals 25.7x and 10.8x PERs for FY24F and FY25F, representing a hefty premium over peers. We continue to believe this is a good exit opportunity. 


China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Getting Even More Convincing

<ul>
<li>We view <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>'s proposal to buy back 9.98% of H-shares as a good opportunity for the shareholders to cash out in their position.</li>
<li>Without further significant government stimulus, CNBM will find it difficult to return to the HK$4.03 offer price. Potential weak FY24 results also mean downside risks.</li>
<li>Other companies with high gearing and low P/B may follow CNBM's move. We single out the infrastructure construction companies as the likely candidates.</li>
</ul>


We view China National Building Material (3323 HK)'s proposal to buy back 9.98% of H-shares as a good opportunity for the shareholders to cash out in their position.
Without further significant government stimulus, CNBM will find it difficult to return to the HK$4.03 offer price. Potential weak FY24 results also mean downside risks.
Other companies with high gearing and low P/B may follow CNBM's move. We single out the infrastructure construction companies as the likely candidates.


China National Building Materials (3323 HK): Buying Back 9.98% of H-Shares

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China National Building Material / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> has launched a conditional share buyback to acquire a maximum of 841.7 million H Shares (18.47% of H Shares) at HK$4.03.</li>
<li>The share buyback seems designed to enable the CNBM parent company to bypass the creeper rule and squeeze the shorts. </li>
<li>The buyback is unattractive and will leave minorities short-changed, weakening a stretched balance sheet. Nevertheless, while potentially tricky, the votes should pass. </li>
</ul>



China National Building Material (3323 HK) has launched a conditional share buyback to acquire a maximum of 841.7 million H Shares (18.47% of H Shares) at HK$4.03.
The share buyback seems designed to enable the CNBM parent company to bypass the creeper rule and squeeze the shorts. 
The buyback is unattractive and will leave minorities short-changed, weakening a stretched balance sheet. Nevertheless, while potentially tricky, the votes should pass. 


China National Building Material (3323 HK): H Share Buyback Short Changes Minorities

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 102.8% as of Dec 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, health care and offset by consumer staples, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZOOMLION, CanSinoBIO, GAC Group, Asymchem.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 102.8% as of Dec 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, health care and offset by consumer staples, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZOOMLION, CanSinoBIO, GAC Group, Asymchem.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 6th):ZOOMLION, CanSinoBIO, GAC Group, Asymchem

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.8% as of Oct 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, real estate and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.8% as of Oct 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, real estate and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

China

BBMG Corporation is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the manufacture and sale of building materials, including cement and concrete, and modern building materials. It also has significant operations in property development, investment, and management. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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BBMG (2009 HK)

China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Getting Even More Convincing

Construction materials stock prices collapsed recently except for CNBM due to a buyback proposal, offering an attractive exit opportunity with a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China National Building Materials (3323 HK): Buying Back 9.98% of H-Shares

CNBM's buyback proposal offers shareholders a chance to cash out, but without government stimulus, returning to the offer price is not easy. Other...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 6th):ZOOMLION, CanSinoBIO, GAC Group, Asymchem

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ZOOMLION, CanSinoBIO, GAC Group, Asymchem.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China National Building Material (3323 HK): Buyback Getting Even More Convincing

​Construction materials stock prices collapsed recently except for CNBM due to a buyback proposal, offering an attractive exit opportunity with a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China National Building Materials (3323 HK): Buying Back 9.98% of H-Shares

​CNBM's buyback proposal offers shareholders a chance to cash out, but without government stimulus, returning to the offer price is not easy. Other...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China National Building Material (3323 HK): H Share Buyback Short Changes Minorities

The buyback is unattractive and will leave minorities short-changed, weakening a stretched balance sheet. Nevertheless, while potentially tricky,...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 6th):ZOOMLION, CanSinoBIO, GAC Group, Asymchem

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ZOOMLION, CanSinoBIO, GAC Group, Asymchem.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Construction materials stock prices collapsed recently except for CNBM due to a buyback proposal, offering an attractive exit opportunity with a...

CNBM's buyback proposal offers shareholders a chance to cash out, but without government stimulus, returning to the offer price is not easy. Other...