Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

Oesterreichische Post Ag / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Aalberts | strong acceleration of organic revenue growth in 26Q2 • ABN Amro | Dutch state completes reduction of its stake, now at 20.5% • BE Semiconductor Industries | long-term outlook remains strong, well reflected in its share price • InPost | acceptance period extended until 18 September • RELX Group | continues to accelerate underlying growth and margin expansion • Sligro Food Group | interim dividend and share buyback despite poor 1H26 results • Austrian Post | strengthens its SEE parcel platform with Serbian acquisition</li></ul>

In this edition: • Aalberts | strong acceleration of organic revenue growth in 26Q2 • ABN Amro | Dutch state completes reduction of its stake, now at 20.5% • BE Semiconductor Industries | long-term outlook remains strong, well reflected in its share price • InPost | acceptance period extended until 18 September • RELX Group | continues to accelerate underlying growth and margin expansion • Sligro Food Group | interim dividend and share buyback despite poor 1H26 results • Austrian Post | strengthens its SEE parcel platform with Serbian acquisition

Oesterreichische Post AG - What's News in Amsterdam

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE / Technical Analysis

LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (MC FP)

<ul>
<li>Select regions such as the US, Europe, Japan, and India are bullish, while others are not -- namely Hong Kong and China.</li>
<li>Relative strength (RS) for MSCI ACWI Technology is breaking out to new highs while RS on the MSCI ACWI Discretionary Sector is on the cusp of a breakout. </li>
<li>We highlight several buy opportunities within global Technology and Consumer Discretionary.</li>
</ul>


Select regions such as the US, Europe, Japan, and India are bullish, while others are not -- namely Hong Kong and China.
Relative strength (RS) for MSCI ACWI Technology is breaking out to new highs while RS on the MSCI ACWI Discretionary Sector is on the cusp of a breakout. 
We highlight several buy opportunities within global Technology and Consumer Discretionary.


Add To Global Technology and Consumer Discretionary

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel | impairment on Russian assets looks inevitable • ASML Holding | strongly raises FY26 net sales and gross margin outlook • ASML Holding / ASM Int’l / Besi | SEMI strongly increases global semiconductor equipment sales forecast • TomTom | reiterates FY26 outlook as well as return to revenue growth from 2027 onwards • Bnode | political deadlock over proposed savings on management contract with bpost • Bnode | bpost launches personal locker rentals via its Bbox network • E-commerce and Logistics | MediaMarkt partners with Wolt for flash delivery in Germany</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | impairment on Russian assets looks inevitable • ASML Holding | strongly raises FY26 net sales and gross margin outlook • ASML Holding / ASM Int’l / Besi | SEMI strongly increases global semiconductor equipment sales forecast • TomTom | reiterates FY26 outlook as well as return to revenue growth from 2027 onwards • Bnode | political deadlock over proposed savings on management contract with bpost • Bnode | bpost launches personal locker rentals via its Bbox network • E-commerce and Logistics | MediaMarkt partners with Wolt for flash delivery in Germany

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) were able to shrug off recent news of a more contagious Covid variant that popped-up in the UK. Additionally, Covid fears have done nothing to derail ongoing positive market dynamics. As long as support levels hold and market dynamics remain positive, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to view any weakness as a buying opportunity. Actionable Themes in today's report: Services, Technology, Manufacturing, and Materials.

Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) were able to shrug off recent news of a more contagious Covid variant that popped-up in the UK. Additionally, Covid fears have done nothing to derail ongoing positive market dynamics. As long as support levels hold and market dynamics remain positive, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to view any weakness as a buying opportunity. Actionable Themes in today's report: Services, Technology, Manufacturing, and Materials.

Global Equity Strategy: Support Levels Holding; Bullish Outlook Intact

Our bullish outlook continues to be supported by ongoing positive market dynamics and the absence of breakdowns for major indexes around the globe. The path of least resistance remains higher and we continue to believe a melt-up is likely in the weeks/months ahead. The global Technology, Discretionary, and Manufacturing Sectors remain leadership -- add exposure/remain overweight. The Financial Sector has been playing catch-up and continues to show signs of price and RS bottoms as expectations rise for a global recovery -- add exposure.

Our bullish outlook continues to be supported by ongoing positive market dynamics and the absence of breakdowns for major indexes around the globe. The path of least resistance remains higher and we continue to believe a melt-up is likely in the weeks/months ahead. The global Technology, Discretionary, and Manufacturing Sectors remain leadership -- add exposure/remain overweight. The Financial Sector has been playing catch-up and continues to show signs of price and RS bottoms as expectations rise for a global recovery -- add exposure.

Global Equity Strategy: Santa Claus Rally Underway

Netherlands

BE Semiconductor Industries N.V. produces integrated semiconductor assembly equipment.  The Company designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and services machines that manufacture semiconductor packages, which provide the connection between the chip and other electronic components and protect the chip.  BE also produces automated molding and plating machines, and manufactures leadframes.

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BE Semiconductor Industries NV (BESI NA)

Oesterreichische Post AG - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Aalberts | strong acceleration of organic revenue growth in 26Q2 • ABN Amro | Dutch state completes reduction of its stake, now...

The IDEA!

Add To Global Technology and Consumer Discretionary

Relative strength (RS) for MSCI ACWI Technology is breaking out to new highs while RS on the ACWI Discretionary Sector is on the cusp of a...

Vermilion Research

bpost SA - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | impairment on Russian assets looks inevitable • ASML Holding | strongly raises FY26 net sales and gross margin...

The IDEA!

Global Equity Strategy: Support Levels Holding; Bullish Outlook Intact

As long as support levels hold and market dynamics remain positive, our outlook remains bullish and we continue to view any weakness as a buying...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Santa Claus Rally Underway

Our bullish outlook continues to be supported by ongoing positive market dynamics and the absence of breakdowns across indexes, and we continue to...

Vermilion Research

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