Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.</li>
<li>China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.</li>
<li>China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.</li>
</ul>


AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.
China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.
China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You <em>might</em> have to go all the back to <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guoco-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5290:1" rel="noopener">Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)</a></strong>'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.</li>
<li>Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">TCM (570 HK)</a></strong>
</li>
<li>IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they <em>appear</em> to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.</li>
</ul>


You might have to go all the back to Guoco Group Ltd (53 HK)'s 2012/2013 unconditional cash offer, which was ostensibly blocked by First Eagle AND Elliott Advisors.
Otherwise, it's slim pickings. Past Schemes or Tender Offers arguably failed as minorities were simply not supportive. There are exceptions, like Soho China (410 HK) and TCM (570 HK)

IF LVC wish to remain active in this space/region, they appear to be going about it in a counterproductive way. I still don't understand why they would want to block.


Henlius (2696 HK): So, When Was The Last Time A PE/VC Outfit Blocked A Deal?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Almost a year in, Changhong Group has yet to secure the regulatory approvals for its HK$1.223 scheme offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/changhong-jiahua-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5849:1" rel="noopener">Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The offer will be effectively blocked, not by a Sichuan NDRC/Commerce rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude by the 20 September long stop date.</li>
<li>On a deal break, I expect little-to-no downside due to improving fundamentals, significant peer re-rating and significant discount to the undisturbed price. </li>
</ul>


Almost a year in, Changhong Group has yet to secure the regulatory approvals for its HK$1.223 scheme offer for Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK).
The offer will be effectively blocked, not by a Sichuan NDRC/Commerce rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude by the 20 September long stop date.
On a deal break, I expect little-to-no downside due to improving fundamentals, significant peer re-rating and significant discount to the undisturbed price. 


Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): The Upcoming Long Stop Date Sets the Pretext for a Deal Break

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>
<p>This revised guide is part of a series of M&amp;A guides that our Quiddity* team (see our profiles or the footnote below) are publishing to aid investors in understanding the rules, parameters, possibilities, and processes when companies conduct mergers and acquisitions. </p>
<p>The initial guide - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/7bVPk" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Quiddity Hong Kong M&amp;A Guide 2019</a></em> - was published in April 2019. Since that time, there have been various new developments, many of which pertain to PRC-incorporated companies being taken private. This is an update.</p>
<p><em>These insights are designed to be used as a reference. They are not actionable.</em></p>
<p></p>
</div>
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<p></p>
</div>
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This revised guide is part of a series of M&amp;A guides that our Quiddity* team (see our profiles or the footnote below) are publishing to aid investors in understanding the rules, parameters, possibilities, and processes when companies conduct mergers and acquisitions. 
The initial guide - Quiddity Hong Kong M&amp;A Guide 2019 - was published in April 2019. Since that time, there have been various new developments, many of which pertain to PRC-incorporated companies being taken private. This is an update.
These insights are designed to be used as a reference. They are not actionable.









<ul>
<li>More than a year in, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-natural-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16456:1" rel="noopener">ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH)</a> offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> lapses as the long stop date (12 June) was not extended.</li>
<li>The offer was effectively blocked, not by an explicit CSRC rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude within a viable timeframe.</li>
<li>The CSRC's non-approval is unprecedented, as the transaction has received NDRC, MoC, and SAFE approvals. My estimated deal-break price is HK$49.00 (broadly in line with the last close).</li>
</ul>


More than a year in, the ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) offer for ENN Energy (2688 HK) lapses as the long stop date (12 June) was not extended.
The offer was effectively blocked, not by an explicit CSRC rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude within a viable timeframe.
The CSRC's non-approval is unprecedented, as the transaction has received NDRC, MoC, and SAFE approvals. My estimated deal-break price is HK$49.00 (broadly in line with the last close).


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Precedent Set as the Offer Is Effectively Blocked by Regulators

China

Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy is primarily engaged in the generation of clean energy, including wind, photovoltaic, gas-fired, and hydropower. The company also provides heat energy, repair and maintenance, investment management, and finance leasing services. It is headquartered in Beijing, People's Republic of China, and was founded in 2010.

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Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK)

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David Blennerhassett

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This revised guide is part of a series of M&A guides to aid investors in understanding the rules, parameters, possibilities, and processes when...

David Blennerhassett

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Precedent Set as the Offer Is Effectively Blocked by Regulators

The CSRC's non-approval is unprecedented, as the offer has already received approvals from the NDRC, MoC, and SAFE. My estimated deal-break price...

Arun George

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