Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall,<em><strong> net inflow</strong></em> over the past week was ~US$5.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$2.98bn) and Shenzhen (+US$2.8bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (000333 CH)</a></strong>. The largest outflows were in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nari-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4364:1" rel="noopener">NARI Technology (600406 CH)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-yangtze-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3210:1" rel="noopener">China Yangtze Power  (600900 CH)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$5.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$2.98bn) and Shenzhen (+US$2.8bn).
The largest inflows were into Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) and Midea Group (000333 CH). The largest outflows were in NARI Technology (600406 CH) and China Yangtze Power  (600900 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,807.3 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by information technology, energy, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Longi Green, Shenzhen Mindray, Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 28th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,807.3 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by information technology, energy, real estate.
We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Longi Green, Shenzhen Mindray, Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL. 


Northbound Flows (Oct 28th): Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$886.9 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by communication services, industrials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$886.9 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by communication services, industrials, health care.
We highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC).


Northbound Flows (Oct 14th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, AMEC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.</li><li>4Q is unlikely to be a big surprise as property and its supply chain (20-30% of GDP) will still be the major drag that could neutralize the still resilient auto and gradually recovering consumption.</li><li>Together with more market volatility from pandemic and CPC meeting, we recommend investors to avoid one-sided long or short, but focus on pair trade opportunities to play the difference of BtoC over BtoB as BtoB is more vulnerable in terms of bad debts and pricing power than BtoC amid weak macro.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.4Q is unlikely to be a big surprise as property and its supply chain (20-30% of GDP) will still be the major drag that could neutralize the still resilient auto and gradually recovering consumption.Together with more market volatility from pandemic and CPC meeting, we recommend investors to avoid one-sided long or short, but focus on pair trade opportunities to play the difference of BtoC over BtoB as BtoB is more vulnerable in terms of bad debts and pricing power than BtoC amid weak macro.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows were USD 2,169.3 million last month, led by consumer staples and industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Longi Green, Yunnan Energy New Material, Yili, Moutai, Sanhua, Sungrow, Tbea, CMB, Beijing Oriental Yuhong. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that the inflows were USD 2,169.3 million last month, led by consumer staples and industrials.
We highlight flows for CATL, Longi Green, Yunnan Energy New Material, Yili, Moutai, Sanhua, Sungrow, Tbea, CMB, Beijing Oriental Yuhong. 


Northbound Flows Monthly (August): CATL, Longi, Yunnan Energy New Material

China

Beijing Oriental Yuhong Waterproof Technology Company Ltd. manufactures asphalt waterproof membranes.  The products are used for roofing, roads and bridge decks, and railroad bridges and culverts.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Beijing Oriental Yuhong A (002271 CH)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$5.7bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows (Oct 28th): Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Longi Green, Shenzhen Mindray, Moutai, Ping...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Oct 14th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, AMEC

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.

CMB International

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): CATL, Longi, Yunnan Energy New Material

We estimate $2.2bn northbound inflows into A-share in August and highlight flows for CATL, Longi Green, Yunnan Energy New Material, Yili, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$5.7bn, split between Shanghai...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows (Oct 28th): Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Longi Green, Shenzhen Mindray, Moutai, Ping...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Oct 14th): Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB, AMEC

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Gigadevice, Moutai, Wuliangye, Tongwei, CMB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.

CMB International

Northbound Flows Monthly (August): CATL, Longi, Yunnan Energy New Material

We estimate $2.2bn northbound inflows into A-share in August and highlight flows for CATL, Longi Green, Yunnan Energy New Material, Yili, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (18 November 2022)